I'm not liking the signs I'm seeing. Have returned from a trip to the middle of the country and can confirm they are still deeply passionate about Trump. Plus his recent rallies attract a crowd which DeSantis can only imagine to happen. DeSantis is a better brawler than Trump but he lacks the same snake oil salesman charm. Unless Trump is indicted or something happens to his health or some other reason he can't run, or DeSantis and his supporters somehow persuade Trump not to run (good luck with that), I'm beginning to think the reality is it will be Trump.
Meanwhile Biden is pretty much gone. There was always a question whether he was going to be able to run again in 2022 but the most recent teleprompter and other issues make it apparent he is deteriorating quickly now. His media allies are openly questioning his competence now. His poll ratings have completely collapsed. Because of really really bad choices the Rs made the Ds may still hold the Senate but they are headed into a really bad collapse in the house and on the state levels for which Biden will get the blame.
BTW we really are living in two Americas now. Saw first hand one America that no one wears a mask (even in situations that make me uncomfortable and where vax uptake isn't very high) and that is celebrating the end of Roe and that during the 4th celebrations breaks into rousing chants of "let's go Brandon", and now one in Los Angeles where people are blocking the freeways for Roe and 1/2 the people in the markets are wearing masks again. I'm really beginning to question how the country can stay together under such circumstances, when everything the other 1/2 of the country does is such an existential threat.