really we don't don't know much about mrna vaccines. - they could cause ibs, cancer, likley causing stroke, cardiac issues, excess death in europe....never let an emergency go to waste though, especially when government $$s are involved.Why do you assume it is to protect me?
Your exact quote was,
So why point out one fear mongering cancer risk, but not the other?
Bad logic like that might potentially cause irritable bowel syndrome. Potentially.
really we don't don't know much about mrna vaccines. - they could cause ibs, cancer, likley causing stroke, cardiac issues, excess death in europe....never let an emergency go to waste though, especially when government $$s are involved.
it's a pretty good experiment , the whole world is the petri dish. It's never been approved outside of of experimental trials until 2020..curious right, when we have othe proven tech...novovax comes to mind. But hey, jab away. I heard someone the other day compare the vaccine to software, consistently updated. And yes, the flu vaccine is updated every year...but that is different. When was the last time you received your flu vaccine then wore a mask to protect you and others from the flu...silliness.
Actually, the flu is a pretty good example...we've never been able to stop a respiratory disease. Looks like a similar outcome for this one. Unfortunately this one has had more of an appetite for very specific demographics.
nice pivot - why would you think I don't like it? as if it's personal? When was the last time you wore a mask after you received a flu shot in the US?Japan has been doing masks + vaccine for flu for decades now.
You may not like it, but it's certainly not new.
Have you seen the Japanese numbers against the current variants?Japan has been doing masks + vaccine for flu for decades now.
You may not like it, but it's certainly not new.
Not really interested in looking at short term numbers from anywhere. It's like measuring sea level by looking only at the top of the tallest wave at high tide.Have you seen the Japanese numbers against the current variants?
Nah you’re the guy checking out the New Orleans sea wall and because New Orleans Was dry in the spring declared the sea wall works until Katrina comes alongNot really interested in looking at short term numbers from anywhere. It's like measuring sea level by looking only at the top of the tallest wave at high tide.
I would be curious whether mask-prone places like Japan have different results for flu season. That's more of a 10 year average thing than a latest numbers thing.
But, given Japan's density and age profile, that might be hard to do. Who else is old enough and dense enough to create a reasonable comparison?
@espola. Too easy.Who else is old enough and dense enough to create a reasonable comparison?
Grace, if you were able to tell me the impact of changing a parameter in a system of differential equations, our conversations on this would be different.you were the one obsessed with r0. Have you stopped to think that at certain point the virus is so contagious that nothing short of an n95 makes a difference (and then only for limited times exposure assuming a proper fit). That the difference in r reduced from 1 to .8 is tons more impactful than reducing from 8 to 7.8?
Grace, if you were able to tell me the impact of changing a parameter in a system of differential equations, our conversations on this would be different.
Your example is off, btw. Changes to R are mostly multiplicative, not additive. So it should be 1.0/0.8 versus 8/6.4.
Second mistake is that 1.0 is not immensely different from 0.8. Both are no-ops.
The comparison you want is 1.1/0.9 versus 11/9.
Grace, if you were able to tell me the impact of changing a parameter in a system of differential equations, our conversations on this would be different.
Your example is off, btw. Changes to R are mostly multiplicative, not additive. So it should be 1.0/0.8 versus 8/6.4.
Second mistake is that 1.0 is not immensely different from 0.8. Both are no-ops.
The comparison you want is 1.1/0.9 versus 11/9.
I merely informed you that, if you are going to pull numbers out of your butt, you picked the wrong ones. You picked 8, 7.8, 1 and 0.8. Those are the wrong numbers to pull out of your butt. If you want to make your particular case, your butt needs to produce the numbers 11, 9, 1.1, and 0.9.great. Assume arguendo the numbers you pulled out of your butt are correct: you willing to concede 11 to 9 does practically nothing…hence Japan?
My authoritarian translator is going ape: “your hypothetical made me uncomfortable so I preferred to duck the question and criticize your numbers. I feel more confident discussing math anyways. Then when you accepted my critique I got all flustered because I really prefer to talk numbers than admit to things that shake my beliefs and terrify me so I’m just going to ignore it again”I merely informed you that, if you are going to pull numbers out of your butt, you picked the wrong ones. You picked 8, 7.8, 1 and 0.8. Those are the wrong numbers to pull out of your butt. If you want to make your particular case, your butt needs to produce the numbers 11, 9, 1.1, and 0.9.
Your translator misfired.My authoritarian translator is going ape: “your hypothetical made me uncomfortable so I preferred to duck the question and criticize your numbers. I feel more confident discussing math anyways. Then when you accepted my critique I got all flustered because I really prefer to talk numbers than admit to things that shake my beliefs and terrify me so I’m just going to ignore it again”
man it really is like talking to someone about the perpetual virginity of the Virgin Mary…all faith and no room for the slightest movement that might shake that faith.
ps You should know we have little control over when and how we pull things out of our butt. Shy pooping is just a sad attempt to control the uncontrollable.
Same old same old. Sigh.Your translator misfired.
What I said was “you do not understand the models well enough to have the discussion you requested.”
You asked me for my opinion on what happens when R changes from 11 to 9. I can talk to you about what happens to peak hospitalizations in the SIR model when you change R from 11 to 9. ( Other people can do it better. ) But would you be able to reply in kind?
I came into the wrong part of this conversation!I merely informed you that, if you are going to pull numbers out of your butt, you picked the wrong ones. You picked 8, 7.8, 1 and 0.8. Those are the wrong numbers to pull out of your butt. If you want to make your particular case, your butt needs to produce the numbers 11, 9, 1.1, and 0.9.
If you feel you know everything you’ll never learn anything.Same old same old. Sigh.