Bad News Thread

Agree, which despite being labelled anti-mask, is the reason I think we should still wear them....because it's impossible to tell right now. But I do think it's possible (as this study shows) to test my hypothesis (actually, the hypothesis of that PPE engineer I cited a while back) that one of the reasons masks aren't working is because they are getting wet, washed or not replaced often enough. The design of this experiment was pretty good (from what I've been told by peeps in the know) and took into account for the first time human speech as well (should also take into account sneezes and coughs). I'd bet money the results show that we should be doing single (or perhaps double/triple) use...if so a targeted mask approach might be more effective instead of having people wear (and use them out) outside (or worse while driving alone in their cars because they are scared to touch it on and off).
You know of any studies of wet /misted masks? Seems easy enough to design and do.
 
Plenty of $$$ being made from CV19 testing. Average cost of a nasal swab test in AZ is $141, in CA $143. In NJ it cost $319. I know more people are getting the free test than not, but many people are paying.

Many people will pay (to include yours truly) in order to avoid quarantine and immediately rule out Covid. I don't necessarily think testing has turned into a side hustle but it is lucrative. That doesn't include other tests that you can get at various clinics in your community that cost $$

A lot of sniffles this time of the year.
Yep, much easier to get a test now, fortunately. Frustrating though a few months ago in SD when you could only get one if you showed very specific symptoms and just being exposed was not enough to get your healthcare provider to approve the test. Made it difficult for work place decisions when you can't get a test for your non-symptom, but exposed employee. We figured it out, but it wasn't easy. Our company's healthcare provider does provide free testing, which is nice.
 
I'm all for wearing masks when appropriate, just don't assume they're a panacea, because clearly they're not. Social distancing is probably way more effective.

I question the relevance of both actions though when people make stupid decisions after they know they've been exposed, or have mild symptoms they ignore. Please stay home if you have anything remotely resembling a Covid symptom regardless of severity, or if you been exposed or potentially exposed. Stay home (other than to get a test) until you can confirm you don't have the virus. Don't go out because you think a mask may protect others. IMO opinion its the people that ignore this advice that are the primary drivers of the spread of the virus. Can't prove it, but based upon some of the stories I'm hearing that's what my gut tells me.

A plumber friend of my father's went out to the market (got to eat) and tried to go into work (his employer sent him home) after testing asymptomatic positive. His rationale was "I'm wearing a mask".
 
You know of any studies of wet /misted masks? Seems easy enough to design and do.

some of the flu studies mention them as a problem with the advice to replace often. Nothing on COVID, but I suspect they aren't running them for fear of what they might find.
 
Plenty of $$$ being made from CV19 testing. Average cost of a nasal swab test in AZ is $141, in CA $143. In NJ it cost $319. I know more people are getting the free test than not, but many people are paying.

Many people will pay (to include yours truly) in order to avoid quarantine and immediately rule out Covid. I don't necessarily think testing has turned into a side hustle but it is lucrative. That doesn't include other tests that you can get at various clinics in your community that cost $$

A lot of sniffles this time of the year.


Get the point but a test, technically, is not really enough "to avoid quarantine". You could become positive after the test (exhibit A: Trump and the debates). The only way to be sure is to test after (I can't remember the exact recommended time...heard different things when a pod of my son's had to quarantine after exposure) 7-10 days.
 
Yep, much easier to get a test now, fortunately. Frustrating though a few months ago in SD when you could only get one if you showed very specific symptoms and just being exposed was not enough to get your healthcare provider to approve the test. Made it difficult for work place decisions when you can't get a test for your non-symptom, but exposed employee. We figured it out, but it wasn't easy. Our company's healthcare provider does provide free testing, which is nice.
Lack of testing early (for good reasons) certainly frustrated efforts to keep workplace momentum going. Much easier now, basically on demand.
 
Get the point but a test, technically, is not really enough "to avoid quarantine". You could become positive after the test (exhibit A: Trump and the debates). The only way to be sure is to test after (I can't remember the exact recommended time...heard different things when a pod of my son's had to quarantine after exposure) 7-10 days.
Is there a reasonable delay where you can assume that you may have been infected and then test? Wait X number of days after someone tests positive and you know you had potential exposure to them.

Has happened on multiple occasions with my kids. Confirmed positive tests from friends (asymptomatic). We waited 3-4 days then tested everyone in our household. Tests came back negative. Frustrating to say the least but a necessary evil I suppose.
 
Is there a reasonable delay where you can assume that you may have been infected and then test? Wait X number of days after someone tests positive and you know you had potential exposure to them.

Has happened on multiple occasions with my kids. Confirmed positive tests from friends (asymptomatic). We waited 3-4 days then tested everyone in our household. Tests came back negative. Frustrating to say the least but a necessary evil I suppose.

We were told 7-10 days when it happened to us a month back. I tested my son 3 days out but the relevant party didn't accept that and made him retest after 10 days (he was annoyed because he had to get COVID test twice). For Trump he tested negative 2+ days after exposure. But I don't know what the actual right number is (I suspect 3 is too short though because our school requires 10 as well to be back for sports/wellness camps/clubs on campus).
 
some of the flu studies mention them as a problem with the advice to replace often. Nothing on COVID, but I suspect they aren't running them for fear of what they might find.
They may not run them on covid because they run them on droplets and aerosols. If you have a good ten year old wet mask droplet study, that may be enough.

I just want to know so I know what to do. If the advice is to carry an extra mask and replace my mask when it gets wet, I can do that. It's not like I don't have a bag of them by the front door.
 
They may not run them on covid because they run them on droplets and aerosols. If you have a good ten year old wet mask droplet study, that may be enough.

I just want to know so I know what to do. If the advice is to carry an extra mask and replace my mask when it gets wet, I can do that. It's not like I don't have a bag of them by the front door.

I had done one on the old COVID thread that specifically said wet masks should be replaced for flu and recommended medical practioners replace in between patient visits. If I come across it I'll post (hard with that archive gone) but for what it's worth my dad (old timey surgeon) said that's consistent with what they've always been told in the hospital.
 
We were told 7-10 days when it happened to us a month back. I tested my son 3 days out but the relevant party didn't accept that and made him retest after 10 days (he was annoyed because he had to get COVID test twice). For Trump he tested negative 2+ days after exposure. But I don't know what the actual right number is (I suspect 3 is too short though because our school requires 10 as well to be back for sports/wellness camps/clubs on campus).
Our school is on a 14 day policy, regardless of the number of negative tests.

They quarantined the entire football team in SEP because of 1 positive test. Not one other kid tested positive and......the team practiced distanced, by position group, every day. The positive case came from the offensive lineman group (about 10 kids total). Even the kicker and punter were quarantined. They also had not been using the locker room. Very strict polities had been enacted to avoid spread...but...well, they were all quarantined for 14 days.
 
Get the point but a test, technically, is not really enough "to avoid quarantine". You could become positive after the test (exhibit A: Trump and the debates). The only way to be sure is to test after (I can't remember the exact recommended time...heard different things when a pod of my son's had to quarantine after exposure) 7-10 days.
Yes, we had an employee that lost their taste and smell and tested negative. They still got a 10 day, paid vacation.

We follow CalOsha and CDC guidelines at a minimum. They've reduced the number of days you're required to keep the employee out of work, but I don't have the days memorized based on the circumstances of the symptoms, fevers or exposure. Our HR person does.
 

true that and it’s only a sup court opinion so not controlling. Given though the instruction from SCOTUS I don’t expect too many of the other cases (including ours locally) to go different. And if you get an appellate decision at that point the plaintiffs get to add other nastier claims such as civil rights infringements. Plus not to mention the legal costs that build as others copycat. The SCOTUS ruling though left very little room to a maneuver and even though it’s a pc given the instruction the other lower courts have no real leeway or discretion unless they can distinguish, hence this
 
As expected, Newsom gets slapped down on churches, given the instructions from SCOTUS

On the theory that religious services are akin to grocery stores.

I can’t wait to see what the courts say when a theater claims that, unless they can open, the state has discriminated against them.

Either the court authorizes a further unravelling of the gathering restrictions, or the court contrives some non-religious explanation of the difference between a sermon and a poetry reading.
 
On the theory that religious services are akin to grocery stores.

I can’t wait to see what the courts say when a theater claims that, unless they can open, the state has discriminated against them.

Either the court authorizes a further unravelling of the gathering restrictions, or the court contrives some non-religious explanation of the difference between a sermon and a poetry reading.

There have been a couple of these cases already, and so far they've lost. Because they charge, the T/P/M restrictions you put on these can be more restrictive than say if you were trying to ban a free indoor Trump or BLM rally or a free religious service. One of the reasons, though, they've lost is that generally they've been held to a similar standard as indoor dining and other indoor facilities....where it gets tricky is when they are treated differently. So far, in most places if the indoor restaurants have been shut so have the theaters. See also the poll dancer cases in San Diego and Buffalo.

The bigger vulnerability for lockdowns is the lack of a rational basis behind certain governmental policies (outdoor dining, and maybe even schools). Given the data that's emerged, the behavior of some officials (like Newsom and the LA Supervisor), and public statements by California, HHS, and La County that they don't have data showing outdoor dining---> spread, it's an area of vulnerability. Leaves them only the argument it was a necessary step to stop people from gathering (but they'd have to prove that's the case....don't know if they can). Gorsuch's concurrence touched on this and I think he was signaling to folks his concern about this issue (Alito too given his remarks on lockdown, but he's approaching it more from an executive action without legislative input for too long approach)
 
Ugh. There's actually some indication that we may be near the peak in the case rise. It's tough to call though as there are many regional "waves" that make up this national graph. CA and NY aren't helping much.

1607740508776.png

1607740543019.png
 
There have been a couple of these cases already, and so far they've lost. Because they charge, the T/P/M restrictions you put on these can be more restrictive than say if you were trying to ban a free indoor Trump or BLM rally or a free religious service. One of the reasons, though, they've lost is that generally they've been held to a similar standard as indoor dining and other indoor facilities....where it gets tricky is when they are treated differently. So far, in most places if the indoor restaurants have been shut so have the theaters. See also the poll dancer cases in San Diego and Buffalo.

The bigger vulnerability for lockdowns is the lack of a rational basis behind certain governmental policies (outdoor dining, and maybe even schools). Given the data that's emerged, the behavior of some officials (like Newsom and the LA Supervisor), and public statements by California, HHS, and La County that they don't have data showing outdoor dining---> spread, it's an area of vulnerability. Leaves them only the argument it was a necessary step to stop people from gathering (but they'd have to prove that's the case....don't know if they can). Gorsuch's concurrence touched on this and I think he was signaling to folks his concern about this issue (Alito too given his remarks on lockdown, but he's approaching it more from an executive action without legislative input for too long approach)
Given the current ruling, how do you permit church services while prohibiting live theater and poetry readings?

It seems unarguably a content restriction. One is a 60 minute reading and commentary on Alan Ginsberg. The other is a 60 minute reading and commentary from the Bible. It isn't even clear that you could tell the difference if you have the sound turned off.

I expect this will return to bite the court in the butt within months.
 
Ugh. There's actually some indication that we may be near the peak in the case rise. It's tough to call though as there are many regional "waves" that make up this national graph. CA and NY aren't helping much.

View attachment 9653

View attachment 9654
Near the peak nationally or for CA?

The CA case count is nowhere near the 6-10% that has preceded other states' count declines. I thought we are in for it for another few weeks.
 
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