Vaccine

So show me how it’s done. Explore your theory. Give an explanation for why in home tests might move the case peak.

The statement:

The vaccinated are only incentivized to take unreported ‘at home’ tests to get out of isolation.

What changed at or near the peak of the vaccinated positive reported cases?

It was the removal of incentive for vaccinated individuals to test, excepting to test out of isolation on Monday, December 27th.

Vax/unvax reporting bias doesn’t really wash as an explanation. Even if only 10% of vax cases get reported, that just forces the curve lower. It doesn‘t change the peak timing unless you have some reason that the reporting bias would change over time.

 
The statement:



What changed at or near the peak of the vaccinated positive reported cases?

It was the removal of incentive for vaccinated individuals to test, excepting to test out of isolation on Monday, December 27th.



Your theory is that New York residents stopped getting PCR tests because isolation rules changed for Californians?
 
Sure. Numbers were inflated and skewed. Inflated and skewed by 3% or so.

That is not an issue.
Where do you come up with 3%?

We haven't had a break down of the numbers.

If it were just 3% Biden wouldn't be talking about changing the standards. The number is far greater.
 
Where do you come up with 3%?

We haven't had a break down of the numbers.

If it were just 3% Biden wouldn't be talking about changing the standards. The number is far greater.
Very old ground that has been rehashed several times here. He’s going to say with the omicron because it’s more inflated than it was but if you look back at the records the with/for split was around 20-40%/80%~60% and Is now more than 50/50 by most guesses. 3% is laughable.
 
Are you fat-shaming the obese? Where’s their freedom? Is there a body type that should be seen as ideal? Maybe we could start youth clubs to promote such ideas and to groom out the undesirables that may hinder our great American destiny! Eh Jojo?
Wonder what would have been more effective, Mask Mandates or a Diet and Excercise Mandate:

 
Yeah it's a bit funny to read the comments about how shutting down schools was so bad for our kids but now that they can go back the schools just suck, close them down. Sorta weird. Part of the overall fatalism I guess. With my 2ed grader there were challenges with the shut down to be sure, but some highlights too. When the time came was it far better for her to go back to a professional trained to teach her age group? Absolutely. I would have thought greater respect for teachers might have been something universal to come out of this whole experience. But I guess not.
It was until they tried to keep the schools shut.

the choice thing was made worse by the leadership sending their kids to private schools which were open while public’s were shut. Then the entire crt thing hit and the bottom dropped out.
 
It was until they tried to keep the schools shut.

the choice thing was made worse by the leadership sending their kids to private schools which were open while public’s were shut. Then the entire crt thing hit and the bottom dropped out.

Serious truth to that -- pretty sure the Carters were the last ones to send their kids to public school.
 
Very old ground that has been rehashed several times here. He’s going to say with the omicron because it’s more inflated than it was but if you look back at the records the with/for split was around 20-40%/80%~60% and Is now more than 50/50 by most guesses. 3% is laughable.

50% is laughable.
 
I just spent several seconds trying to find public school fraud in San Diego -- nothing comes up (except for that A3 charter school fiasco). I'm not saying it doesn't exist, but I'm not finding it. Can you send me some links? I'm willing to listen here. The problem is it's incredibly difficult to commit fraud in public schools due to all of the checks and balances -- it's also the reason why people complain about bureaucracy in our school system. I mean just go to any school board meeting and what the brown act unfold.
.


This happened at my kids elementary. We werent aware of this specific issue, but reported this principal a number of times over the course of 3 years for various odd behaviors including being under the influence. Our complaints were ignored. Eventually led to a federal investigation for covering up sexual abuse.


These are just a few examples and I have first hand experience with other bad teachet and administrator behavior. So while I'm pro public schools Im very diisillushioned with what Ive experienced lately. Charter schools arent a panacea but they offer a positive alternative for msny students.
 
Your theory is that New York residents stopped getting PCR tests because isolation rules changed for Californians?

Centers for Disease Control, not California Department of Public Health.

Did the New York Department of Public Health’s quarantine (not isolation) requirements align with the CDC at the time?

I’m sure there was plenty of press about the CDC guidance in NYC.
 
Very old ground that has been rehashed several times here. He’s going to say with the omicron because it’s more inflated than it was but if you look back at the records the with/for split was around 20-40%/80%~60% and Is now more than 50/50 by most guesses. 3% is laughable.
Summer 2020.

30k positive tests per day.
Times 10 because of the test undercount back then.
Times 30 because people test positive for a while.

Roughly 9M people who would have tested positive, if you had tested them on that day. Just under 3% of 330M.

Nowhere near enough to mess up hospitalization counts.
 
50% is laughable.
Grace made no effort to explain where the numbers came from, or what they measure.

I think she's referring to the split between those who are sick because of covid, and those who have covid but are sick for another reason.

I have no idea where she gets the 40/60 assertion. Pulled the number out of thin air as far as I can tell.

I explained the claim of 3% of all hospital admissions. You'd have to combine it with covid hospital admissions to compare it to Grace's split.

The 3% is probably an overestimate. Not everyone got tested in hospital back then. Why waste a test on a healthy 25 year old with a broken leg?
 
Grace made no effort to explain where the numbers came from, or what they measure.

I think she's referring to the split between those who are sick because of covid, and those who have covid but are sick for another reason.

I have no idea where she gets the 40/60 assertion. Pulled the number out of thin air as far as I can tell.

I explained the claim of 3% of all hospital admissions. You'd have to combine it with covid hospital admissions to compare it to Grace's split.

The 3% is probably an overestimate. Not everyone got tested in hospital back then. Why waste a test on a healthy 25 year old with a broken leg?
Didn't they have to test everyone to determine whether they needed to be "isolated" or not?
 
Didn't they have to test everyone to determine whether they needed to be "isolated" or not?
As soon as they had enough tests, yes.

June 2020, there was still a shortage. They wanted to test everyone, but couldn't.

Remember Cuomo jumping the queue to get tests for his family? It was an issue because there were not enough to go around.
 
Grace made no effort to explain where the numbers came from, or what they measure.

I think she's referring to the split between those who are sick because of covid, and those who have covid but are sick for another reason.

I have no idea where she gets the 40/60 assertion. Pulled the number out of thin air as far as I can tell.

I explained the claim of 3% of all hospital admissions. You'd have to combine it with covid hospital admissions to compare it to Grace's split.

The 3% is probably an overestimate. Not everyone got tested in hospital back then. Why waste a test on a healthy 25 year old with a broken leg?
I made no effort because the conversation was kicked to death already, including several estimates from various hospital staff. It’s not just hospitalizations btw but also deaths (an overcount you’ll remember espola assured us could never happen and led to several states revising their numbers). In any case the conversation bores me. You are increasingly grasping at straws as your world view and narrative crumble around you. 3% is laughable…only you could come up with such a number.
 
You are increasingly grasping at straws as your world view and narrative crumble around you.
This is true.

Everything he and a set of politicians have advocated for has failed. Not only failed, but has inflicted great harm.

Combine a highly contagious respiratory virus with human nature, the need to work, etc, we were never going to stop the virus.

You have some die hards out there. The true believers.

Most people are not interested anymore and are becoming increasingly agitated regarding restrictions.

Dem gov and politicians are changing their stance. And that is because they are looking at polling data and know they are getting killed on the issue.
 
I made no effort because the conversation was kicked to death already, including several estimates from various hospital staff. It’s not just hospitalizations btw but also deaths (an overcount you’ll remember espola assured us could never happen and led to several states revising their numbers). In any case the conversation bores me. You are increasingly grasping at straws as your world view and narrative crumble around you. 3% is laughable…only you could come up with such a number.
Show me the 40/60 number for summer 2020, back when Fox started making the claim and you all started parroting it.
 
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