Desert Hound
DA
Now early on countries locked down based on models. Models that turned out to wildly overestimate deaths.
Then as states started opening up in May models showed huge spikes in deaths. @dad4 @espola @EOTL and other referenced the experts and claimed doom was at hand.
"These flawed ICL models begin with an unproven assumption, namely that lockdowns are effective at combating the coronavirus. The models are therefore automatically calibrated to produce a sharp spike in deaths after the removal of lockdowns or any move toward reopening."
We can go back and look at some of these models and see they failed.......AGAIN.
www.aier.org
As a side note...but a rather important one. If the experts who deal with infectious diseases, have lots of experience in modeling etc, get these so wrong. At what point do we start wondering about climate models predicting where we are going to be in 80 yrs? We know a lot more about the human body and disease vs all the millions of variables that go into what makes our climate. Food for thought no?
Then as states started opening up in May models showed huge spikes in deaths. @dad4 @espola @EOTL and other referenced the experts and claimed doom was at hand.
"These flawed ICL models begin with an unproven assumption, namely that lockdowns are effective at combating the coronavirus. The models are therefore automatically calibrated to produce a sharp spike in deaths after the removal of lockdowns or any move toward reopening."
We can go back and look at some of these models and see they failed.......AGAIN.

The Models Were Wildly Wrong about Reopening Too | The Daily Economy
"These flawed models begin with an unproven assumption, namely that lockdowns are effective at combating the coronavirus. The models are therefore auto ...

As a side note...but a rather important one. If the experts who deal with infectious diseases, have lots of experience in modeling etc, get these so wrong. At what point do we start wondering about climate models predicting where we are going to be in 80 yrs? We know a lot more about the human body and disease vs all the millions of variables that go into what makes our climate. Food for thought no?