I knew a violinist who went to an ivy-league equivalent and graduated with honors as a music major, then played in orchestras, founded a non-profit, and taught high school music. The equivalent amount of time she invested in playing violin was less than what was required for a kid who ultimately got recruited to play soccer at a local CSU but didn't even get a soccer degree at the end. Are you arguing in favor of Soccer as the path or are you arguing that there are definitely better ones? Are you agreeing that soccer is a waste of time in relation to other school-oriented things if they aren't going to play in college?
I knew quite a few athletes that actually got into an Ivy League school and probably wouldn't have been there if the athletic track wasn't part of the equation. I also know a handful of athletes that are on "academic" or "financial aid" scholarships for their respective private high schools that probably wouldn't have gotten in and/or been able to afford the high school but for their focus on athletics. There are too many variables to come to a clear answer. But here are the questions.
-Does this kid want to go to college or not (playing AYSO is certainly not going to take you pro, which is admittedly for a small handful of kids only)?
-What track is the kid best suited for?
-Where do they want to go to college?
-What major is the kid pursuing?
-How much does the kid like soccer?
-How good are they really?
-What else have they got going for them?
-How much is scholarship money a consideration (for some poorer families it may be a big one)?
I agree that if the player is not looking to go on the athletic route into college and is very interested in going to a good school (not just a safety) and/or needs the scholarship that, at least in high school, playing at a very high level travel ball is probably a waste of time and money, since playing more local is enough to check the "well rounded" and "does a sport" box and, particularly if the kid is applying to private school, the time is probably better spent on something that will actually catch the admission's committee eye as something that will carry on in college.