Bad News Thread

What did he miss? Is he qualified to provide the R-squared that you are still avoiding.
If you want to make a point about correlation coefficients, make it. Please do better than “Weather has a large correlation coefficient, therefore nothing else has any impact.”

So far, you seem to like to trash talk without bothering to chain two coherent thoughts together.
 
If you want to make a point about correlation coefficients, make it. Please do better than “Weather has a large correlation coefficient, therefore nothing else has any impact.”

So far, you seem to like to trash talk without bothering to chain two coherent thoughts together.

Ask him a question involving percentages. I'll make the popcorn.
 
LA county Unemployment hit a whopping 12% in January. CA EDD says the County lost 562,000 jobs in 2020. 143,000 more than first estimated.

Not really surprising. Just anecdote, but if you drive down Ventura Blvd in the Val you see lots of shops closing (I know of a handful of restaurants, couple hair salons, a vet clinic, a few stores, a bike repair shop, 3 karate studios). Homeless situation has gotten more out of control with pop up encampments all over various points in the city and under freeway overpasses. Only places that seem to be thriving on Ventura seem to be the weed shops and liquor stores.
 
Not really surprising. Just anecdote, but if you drive down Ventura Blvd in the Val you see lots of shops closing (I know of a handful of restaurants, couple hair salons, a vet clinic, a few stores, a bike repair shop, 3 karate studios). Homeless situation has gotten more out of control with pop up encampments all over various points in the city and under freeway overpasses. Only places that seem to be thriving on Ventura seem to be the weed shops and liquor stores.
A bike repair shop should be thriving during Covid.
 
Florida's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate is now 4.8 percent in January 2021, which is up just one and a half percent from a year ago. What the p-value on this?
For n=1? P is not defined. If you want to do stats, you need more data points, like unemployment rates for Korea, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand.
 
If you want to make a point about correlation coefficients, make it. Please do better than “Weather has a large correlation coefficient, therefore nothing else has any impact.”

So far, you seem to like to trash talk without bothering to chain two coherent thoughts together.
I was thinking that very thing about the glorified garbage you've been posting.
 
For n=1? P is not defined. If you want to do stats, you need more data points, like unemployment rates for Korea, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand.

Australia's unemployment rate topped 8%. It's currently at 5.8%. So worse than Florida. The one thing you can say about it is that with the lockdowns ending, they are having a quick recovery.

 
Australia's unemployment rate topped 8%. It's currently at 5.8%. So worse than Florida. The one thing you can say about it is that with the lockdowns ending, they are having a quick recovery.

That points to a claim that, economically, you don't want to be in the middle. Half hearted attempts to contain the outbreak may be worse than either extreme. ( Fully open or full containment.)
 
That points to a claim that, economically, you don't want to be in the middle. Half hearted attempts to contain the outbreak may be worse than either extreme. ( Fully open or full containment.)

agree with this. Hawaii enacted very strict policies including indoor dining, a quarantine for travelers and outdoor restrictions. But they left the door and borders open if you quarantined or worked for the airlines. A few quarantine violations and an outbreak at a flight attendant training and it went south. Worst unemployment in the us, massive damage to their tourist industry where 1/5 businesses have closed and while their results are better than some places they still got the virus. As I’ve been telling you forever: it is an all or nothing proposition (not really nothing but certainly what you’d regard as nothing). La had the strictest measures outside of Hawaii in the us and still ended where it did economically and virus’s wise.
 
agree with this. Hawaii enacted very strict policies including indoor dining, a quarantine for travelers and outdoor restrictions. But they left the door and borders open if you quarantined or worked for the airlines. A few quarantine violations and an outbreak at a flight attendant training and it went south. Worst unemployment in the us, massive damage to their tourist industry where 1/5 businesses have closed and while their results are better than some places they still got the virus. As I’ve been telling you forever: it is an all or nothing proposition (not really nothing but certainly what you’d regard as nothing). La had the strictest measures outside of Hawaii in the us and still ended where it did economically and virus’s wise.
I think we are kind of accustomed to treating most rules like we treat speed limits. The idea of a $1000 fine for a dinner party sounds like tyrrany.

Newsom should have had to pay a serious fine for the French Laundry dinner. Proportionate to income and assets, so that it is big enough to get his attention, and help him remember not to do it again. Same for the rest of us, when we do something similar.

Not because I think he’s an evil guy. I would just rather live in a place which is capable of having rules when we need them.
 
I think we are kind of accustomed to treating most rules like we treat speed limits. The idea of a $1000 fine for a dinner party sounds like tyrrany.

Newsom should have had to pay a serious fine for the French Laundry dinner. Proportionate to income and assets, so that it is big enough to get his attention, and help him remember not to do it again. Same for the rest of us, when we do something similar.

Not because I think he’s an evil guy. I would just rather live in a place which is capable of having rules when we need them.
What nonsense.
 
I think we are kind of accustomed to treating most rules like we treat speed limits. The idea of a $1000 fine for a dinner party sounds like tyrrany.

Newsom should have had to pay a serious fine for the French Laundry dinner. Proportionate to income and assets, so that it is big enough to get his attention, and help him remember not to do it again. Same for the rest of us, when we do something similar.

Not because I think he’s an evil guy. I would just rather live in a place which is capable of having rules when we need them.
The protests in April may broke everything. Unless you were prepared to crack down on them (even peaceful ones and with violent force if necessary) you’d always get to the dinner parties. Because you can’t have restrictions by veto— once one thing has special exemption everyone feels entitled to one.
 
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