Bad News Thread

I want to introduce Arinya. Amazing lady originally from Thailand who is trying to do the right thing and keep everyone safe. This was in 90 degree heat at the beach the other day. I was a life guard back in the day so I needed to help her out big time. I spoke to her and got permission to share a few health tips about this and that and she said she was confused with the "law." Poor thing didnt understand the guidance put forth and is just doing her part she says. I did tell her that it would be for own well being to take off mask 6 feet a way but she said she doesn't want delta either. She already got Jabbed twice she said. She took off mask as we were leaving and she thanked us for helping her with a thumbs up :)

Lady at beach.jpg
 
I remember back in the old days when our family American Dr told us to just relax and chill for 15 days so we can slow the spread. At the time he said masks are completely use less. 18 months later, and oh boy, we have AF Jets and Blackhawks landing on our streets for exercise. Espola actually thinks their looking for me and my wife. Let's see what happens. Buckle friends :)

1628348956762.png
 
Mask Mandate Reinstated in San Francisco—as Daily COVID Deaths Hit Zero
Mask orders have the effect of keeping the public in a perpetual state of emergency—and that might be the whole point.
Wednesday, August 4, 2021

https://fee.org/articles/mask-mandate-reinstated-in-san-francisco-as-daily-covid-deaths-hit-zero/


Why the Leviathan Loves Crisis
Many will argue that mask requirements are not overly invasive measures, and therefore are prudent as a mere precaution. After all, the case can be made that masks can offer protection against COVID-19 and help us wind down the pandemic sooner.

The problem is there’s a vast distance between recommending a policy for protection and mandating one. And as Washington, DC Mayor Muriel Bowser recently demonstrated, many public officials seem more fond of mask mandates than actually wearing masks themselves in social situations.

Additionally, mask orders have the effect of keeping the public in a state of emergency. As Stanford Professor of Medicine Dr. Jay Bhattacharya recently told FEE, there seems to be a reluctance on the part of many to admit the pandemic is all but over.

“We should be declaring a great and resounding success,” Bhattacharya told FEE’s Brad Polumbo. “The COVID emergency is over. We still need to take COVID seriously, and there are still vulnerable people here and abroad left to vaccinate. But we can start to treat it as one disease among many that afflict people rather than an all-consuming threat.”

This reluctance should come as little surprise. History shows that public officials struggle mightily to relinquish powers claimed during periods of emergency.

In his classic book Crisis and Leviathan, economist Robert Higgs noted that crises served as some of the biggest government power grabs in modern history. The New Deal was born out of the crisis of the Great Depression. The War on Terror and the Patriot Act were the rotten fruits of the 9-11 attacks. It was not accidental that these massive expansions of government followed crises.

“‘Emergencies’ have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have eroded,” the Nobel-Prize-winning economist Friedrich Hayek once observed. “And once they are suspended it is not difficult for anyone who has assumed emergency powers to see to it that the emergency will persist.”
Huh.

So, with a mask mandate and a 70% vaccination rate, SF has zero daily covid deaths.

Meanwhile, with no mask mandates and a 35% vaccination rate, Arkansas has about 20 daily covid deaths.

You'd almost think there is some kind of link there.
 
Huh.

So, with a mask mandate and a 70% vaccination rate, SF has zero daily covid deaths.

Meanwhile, with no mask mandates and a 35% vaccination rate, Arkansas has about 20 daily covid deaths.

You'd almost think there is some kind of link there.

Maybe. Let's see.

State of Arkansas IFR .0072

County of San Francisco IFR .0051

Three largest counties in Arkansas with a population of 891k+ has an IFR of .0097 compared to San Francisco's 874k+ at .0051.

Apples to Apples.....
 
Maybe. Let's see.

State of Arkansas IFR .0072

County of San Francisco IFR .0051

Three largest counties in Arkansas with a population of 891k+ has an IFR of .0097 compared to San Francisco's 874k+ at .0051.

Apples to Apples.....
I don't think you'll be able to find a high vaccination rate city with a high IFR for current infections.

You see, the vaccine is designed to lower IFR.

You won't be able to find a place with universal masks, 80% adult Pfizer/moderna vax rate, and over 5 daily covid deaths per million people. Go look. I'll wait.

Plenty of low vax rate, mask optional places with high deaths rates, though.
 
I was considering starting a new thread called something like "Covid Karma" just listing those critics of covid-prevention policies who subsequently became ill with the disease, but then I realized I didn't want to spend all day looking for morbid stories.
Start the thread. I'll take care of the morbidity without the stories. Here is your first post. .00something. Takes all the emotion out of it.
 
I don't think you'll be able to find a high vaccination rate city with a high IFR for current infections.

You see, the vaccine is designed to lower IFR.
The immune system is designed to lower IFR as well. Only better when we look at low vax to high vax areas of comparable sizes.

You won't be able to find a place with universal masks, 80% adult Pfizer/moderna vax rate, and over 5 daily covid deaths per million people. Go look. I'll wait.

Plenty of low vax rate, mask optional places with high deaths rates, though.
Funny you picked Arkansas. They have 8 deaths, not 20 for comparable population size to SF. Less than half for a population that is half as vax'd as SF if you want to link anything.
 
“‘Emergencies’ have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have eroded,” the Nobel-Prize-winning economist Friedrich Hayek once observed. “And once they are suspended it is not difficult for anyone who has assumed emergency powers to see to it that the emergency will persist.”
 
Those of you who dismiss as unwarranted the warnings issued by those of us who worry about government officials using fear of Covid as an occasion to seize dangerous powers might wish to read this piece by Scott Shackford. A slice:

L.A. City Council President Nury Martinez and Councilman Mitch O’Farrell have introduced a motion instructing the city attorney to draft an ordinance requiring people in Los Angeles to provide proof of at least one vaccine dose in order to enter any indoor spaces “including but not limited to restaurants, bars, retail establishments, fitness centers, spas, and entertainment centers such as stadiums, concert venues, and movie theaters.”

There is no actual scientific or safety justification for such a demand. The motion itself notes that more than 70 percent of Los Angeles County residents over the age of 16 have gotten at least one vaccine dose. Hospitalizations and deaths in Los Angeles due to COVID-19 are indeed rising again, but they’re nowhere near where they were before vaccines became available. Hospitalizations won’t reach that spot again precisely because more than 70 percent of residents are at least partly vaccinated
 
16 Days ago Joe said, "You're not going to get Covid if you take these vaccinations."

Stop blaming others for getting sick all the time, moo!!!

I talked with a super nice dad yesterday and all was good until..... He did not believe my wife and i were 54 and 50. He's in a rough spot physically and emotionally. Has all the shots and wears a mask at work and is not happy. I would say 289+ weight and only 5 11'. He asked us our secret and I told him, "stopped eating meat bro." The he goes, "oh man, I can;t do that" and just kind of walked away in a weird kind of way.

1628356792112.png
 
“‘Emergencies’ have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have eroded,” the Nobel-Prize-winning economist Friedrich Hayek once observed. “And once they are suspended it is not difficult for anyone who has assumed emergency powers to see to it that the emergency will persist.”

Wasn't that the advice he gave Pinochet? It's a feature not a bug.
 
The immune system is designed to lower IFR as well. Only better when we look at low vax to high vax areas of comparable sizes.

Funny you picked Arkansas. They have 8 deaths, not 20 for comparable population size to SF. Less than half for a population that is half as vax'd as SF if you want to link anything.

Ok. 0 in SF compared to 8 daily deaths in Arkansas. Or 20 in Arkansas versus 0 in SF, depending on which population size is your default.

Sounds like the mask + vaccine plan has fewer covid deaths than the no mask + no vaccine plan.

Any luck finding a highly vaccinated city with high daily deaths?
 
Ok. 0 in SF compared to 8 daily deaths in Arkansas. Or 20 in Arkansas versus 0 in SF, depending on which population size is your default.

Sounds like the mask + vaccine plan has fewer covid deaths than the no mask + no vaccine plan.

Any luck finding a highly vaccinated city with high daily deaths?
Good luck attempting to have a rational conversation with that one.
 
comparable sizes.

Ah, see that's the thing. If you want to weaponize IFR measurements you should play by the same rules as those who are trying to get real epidemiological data. What sort of sample size do you need? What is the sampling density? What is the time period? What is the age structure of the sample population (that was likely a factor in Sweden's big up front mortality hit that Twitter Science seems to forget about for example)? Are you really doing an IFR calculation or just using cases as the denominator? Context. Here we see it starting to creep into play when you realize you can't plug 0 into the ratio.
 
I was considering starting a new thread called something like "Covid Karma" just listing those critics of covid-prevention policies who subsequently became ill with the disease, but then I realized I didn't want to spend all day looking for morbid stories.
Wow the fact you even thunk it shows what a horrible human being you are. We’re all eventually going to get it. At a minimum you’d think you’d limit your search to antivaxxers who subsequently came to acknowledge they made an error but guess that’s not you…no limiting principles.

My besties step daughter just came down with covid. Double vaxxed. Always wears a work supplies n 95 when she goes out even walking. Doesn’t fly, doesn’t do bars or indoor dining, doesn’t go to the gym anymore. Probably caught it at work. Despite everyone who fell ill being masked gave it to her double vaxxed cousin and double vaxxed uncle at an outdoor bbq where everyone was masked except eating. She and the cous in 20s had the sniffles for 4 days (wouldn’t have know if hadn’t tested for work). Uncle in his 50s more ill like the flu with fever and cough but at day 10 improving and no breathing or hospital problems. Bestie was at same bbq with her Hubbie but they were both unmasked and have natural immunity and did not come down with it, despite step daughter coming to shelter in place with them once confirmed positive.
 
Wow the fact you even thunk it shows what a horrible human being you are. We’re all eventually going to get it. At a minimum you’d think you’d limit your search to antivaxxers who subsequently came to acknowledge they made an error but guess that’s not you…no limiting principles.

I don't see that at all. To me, the horrible human beings in this issue are those who campaign against common sense and science for selfish or political reasons. I was thinking of nominating as my first self-induced victim DIck Ferrel, a Florida radio personality who declared the vaccine to be poisonous, and then died from covid a few weeks later.


If that makes me a horrible person, then just ignore what I have to say on the subject. And maybe ignore him, too, obviously.
 
Ok. 0 in SF compared to 8 daily deaths in Arkansas. Or 20 in Arkansas versus 0 in SF, depending on which population size is your default.

Sounds like the mask + vaccine plan has fewer covid deaths than the no mask + no vaccine plan.

Any luck finding a highly vaccinated city with high daily deaths?
Or you could compare the no mask high vaccinated places like in the uk v masked high vaccinated places and maybe realize the masks aren’t doing that much esp ag the delta???
 
Back
Top