Pretty much. You will fight tooth and nail to block the minor inconveniences, like masks or vaccine passports. Then you’ll complain like heck if/when the resulting surge triggers major inconveniences, like business and school closures.A. Vc didn’t install a mask mandate until the state did and then only did it kicking and screaming. Same when they did it for kids and schools getting waivers.
B. The unvaccinated have had ample opportunity to get vaccinated. I should not be inconvenienced for their recklessness
C. The masks didn’t stop the winter wave. You yourself have conceded that (assuming arguendo now) masks stopped the initial waves in Asia that they aren’t as effective as they once were hence the problems in India, Taiwan, Korea, Japan and Thailand.
D. So in 2 weeks the curve will still be up and la county will be back at the well.
E. If they shut down indoor dining again you’ll be the first to say it’s necessary claiming the data now supports it
F. I’ll be the first to then say “told you so that it was the way it would play out”
G. The restrictions imho should be reserved only for places and times when the icus are new capacity and hospitals are near collapse (which so far has really only happened in the 3rd world but I could see places like Alabama getting there)
F. You’re all going to get it or at a minimum be exposed to it and asymptomatic. It’s inevitable. This is just postponing the inevitable
G. Seroprevalence in la pre vaccine take off was just under 50%….discount to 40% if you like for selection bias. See article above re natural immunity.
It’s the same as last time. But there are fewer people left unvaccinated, so it will be smaller. We also might get lucky and see a vaccination surge following the hospitalization surge. Or not. I am watching MS/AR/MO vax rates to try to predict that one.