Retails and bars/restaurants, travel are not main drivers of the plague. Nor are gyms, sports, churches, etc.
Follow the science.
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It strikes me that its self evident that if you get lots of people gathered together in a social setting - guard is down - and if one of them arrives with the virus, then it is likely to spread.
So where did that one person arrive from that was the
actual source. Could that be one of the groupings above outside of the super spreader? Maybe if we had an actual comprehensive track & trace system we would know that.
The virus originated in Wuhan. It didn't then just materialize all over the world. People spread it, by travelling from there and then going to various businesses and participating in activities etc. and so on. The earliest reference I've seen to its origin point is November 2019, the world was shut down in March 2020.
I'm grateful that my kids can still play soccer. I do think the sports restrictions in CA are too much, but the converse of course is that CA
deaths are proportionately much lower than AZ, 21K vs 7.3K for a population of roughly 5 times as many. So maybe CA has "saved" 14K lives by being more restrictive (relative to AZ).
On a broader front, it is fascinating to me how everyone has become experts armed with their own facts. Many times I see people dispute prior testimony of actual experts based on current facts. They rarely acknowledge that those experts state opinion based on what is or was known at that point -
and they say this, they take pains to say this. Its why we have scientific theories, so named theories as scientists know that they are true based on the facts as they are currently known, but that they could change as new knowledge is attained and therefore new facts become evident.
It's maybe part of the "instant" culture we exist in, something I see in my kids all the time. Everything is a web search away, but many lack the understanding that the first result isn't necessarily the best result (or even true).
Fortunately vaccines are here and starting to get distributed. Normalcy in time for next summer. I'm looking forward to a short drive to SoCal to laze on the beach, eat out and maybe even get in some soccer ... but truth be told, my kids have played in multiple Surf Cups and the attraction has never been the soccer, its San Diego in July/Aug after 50-60 days of 100+ AZ. Yeah, sign me up for that.