Vaccine

If you have a stats minor, then why such trouble handling the probability distribution in vaccine efficacy?

I get the argument that certain things ought not be mandated. That’s just a moral question where we disagree.

I don’t get the “reduction != prevention” schtick. Any stats minor ought to have the math chops to handle repeated probabilistic events. You were tossing up nonsense like “some vaccinated people still got covid, therefore it isn’t a vaccine”.
It looks to me as if he is rationalizing his fear of needles into an anti-vax position based on a statistical quirk. I doubt that he dug up that little fragment all by himself, but he hasn't been forthcoming as to its source.
 
If you have a stats minor, then why such trouble handling the probability distribution in vaccine efficacy?

I get the argument that certain things ought not be mandated. That’s just a moral question where we disagree.

I don’t get the “reduction != prevention” schtick. Any stats minor ought to have the math chops to handle repeated probabilistic events. You were tossing up nonsense like “some vaccinated people still got covid, therefore it isn’t a vaccine”.
Yikes, a moral question? With the data available it's a moral question? "probability distribution in vaccine efficacy"?? That went out the door once the vaccines really starting sucking. Where would you start with it? against which variant? It's not about the math silly, it's about medicine..and this medicine sucks.

"some vaccinated people still got covid, therefore it isn’t a vaccine" Change this to most then spitball some stats.
 
It looks to me as if he is rationalizing his fear of needles into an anti-vax position based on a statistical quirk. I doubt that he dug up that little fragment all by himself, but he hasn't been forthcoming as to its source.
What's the quirk? 6 in 10 dead adults, as reported by the CDC were vaxed and boosted? Needles are scary, especially in this context.
 
You're reading the stats inside out. Are you doing that on your own, or are you the victim of a liar with an agenda?
Complete gibberish from you. Liars and agendas are very common, as you seem to know..especially common in the bobble head medical community - that last few years has seen that play out. How many bobbleheads are still on TV? Not many, their schtick is up.
 
Why Webster’s? We aren’t American Studies majors who hide in a closet every time numbers come up. If you’ve got the stat’s minor, use it.

You have a chain of repeated probability events. You have the ability to change the average return by some amount. Does this, or does this not, change your total return? By how much?

It’s essentially the same question as what happens to a casino if you improve the odds at the roulette table by x%And the correct answer is NOT that the casino’s profits change by x%.
Ha...I see that you've picked up the flag you firmly planted on the top of the vax/mask hill and took it home. It will be fascinating, from a morbid medical research perspective how this all plays out over the next 10-20 years....But you will be ok, your chops will help you in your interpretation of the facts.
 
No dip shit…you say they are misreading stats, prove it!

Or keep deflecting because you can’t prove it, because it is just your opinion.

pS - I have a minor in both Econ and statistics so there is that!
Given a population A with a proportion p of a certain characteristic, what are the expected results when choosing a sample B from A that the sample will have proportion q of that same characteristic? How is the result affected when p is close to 1?
 
17-Year-Old High School Student in Ohio Dies Suddenly From “Cardiac Arrest” While at School

“Blaze Jacobs, a junior in our building, had cardiac arrest activity and was transported to Children’s Hospital this morning. We have received the information that Blaze has passed away,” Mrs. Cooper said in a statement.
 
Remember when several on here supported the idea that the vaccine gives greater protection than being previously infected? Yeah, no. That never passed the smell test, but it was quickly supported by the authoritarians here - @dad4, @espola, @EOTL and his spawn.


It will be interesting to see where the data leads w.r.t. athletes and young people dropping dead and/or having cardiac episodes. Experts indicated rather early in the vaccine process that young men developed myocarditis at a concerning rate. The data will eventually be there for that question and many more. It could end a few careers. Of course, a looney tune like Paul Ehrlich still gets a platform to yell "fire" on 60 Minutes after having done so incorrectly multiple times, so who knows? But if you think Gio's mom was unhinged for what she did to Berhalter regarding his treatment of her son, wait until you see what happens if these moms and dads find out their boys and girls died from a vaccine they didn't need to take based on the risk profile. As usual, the only "winners" in this scenario will be the lawyers.
 
Remember when several on here supported the idea that the vaccine gives greater protection than being previously infected? Yeah, no. That never passed the smell test, but it was quickly supported by the authoritarians here - @dad4, @espola, @EOTL and his spawn.


It will be interesting to see where the data leads w.r.t. athletes and young people dropping dead and/or having cardiac episodes. Experts indicated rather early in the vaccine process that young men developed myocarditis at a concerning rate. The data will eventually be there for that question and many more. It could end a few careers. Of course, a looney tune like Paul Ehrlich still gets a platform to yell "fire" on 60 Minutes after having done so incorrectly multiple times, so who knows? But if you think Gio's mom was unhinged for what she did to Berhalter regarding his treatment of her son, wait until you see what happens if these moms and dads find out their boys and girls died from a vaccine they didn't need to take based on the risk profile. As usual, the only "winners" in this scenario will be the lawyers.
I'm surprised to find out that I am an authoritarian. You don't know me very well.
 
Remember when several on here supported the idea that the vaccine gives greater protection than being previously infected? Yeah, no. That never passed the smell test, but it was quickly supported by the authoritarians here - @dad4, @espola, @EOTL and his spawn.
Natural v/s vaccine immunity was only an argument pushed by the anti vax folks. We pro-vax folks were kind of confused that people were arguing that they wanted to get covid, so that they would become immune, so that they wouldn’t get covid. It is kind of like saying you’re going to shoot yourself in the foot so that you know not to shoot yourself in the foot.

The main pro vax argument had nothing to do with which type is better. The best argument was that the primary path to acquiring natural immunity has three nasty side effects. One- you get covid. Two- you spread covid to others. Three- you help incubate new covid variants.

I’m hoping we don’t see much of #3 coming out of China’s current wave. But we may. I still think they would have been better off paying for Moderna instead of using a cut rate domestic version.
 
Natural v/s vaccine immunity was only an argument pushed by the anti vax folks. We pro-vax folks were kind of confused that people were arguing that they wanted to get covid, so that they would become immune, so that they wouldn’t get covid. It is kind of like saying you’re going to shoot yourself in the foot so that you know not to shoot yourself in the foot.

The main pro vax argument had nothing to do with which type is better. The best argument was that the primary path to acquiring natural immunity has three nasty side effects. One- you get covid. Two- you spread covid to others. Three- you help incubate new covid variants.

I’m hoping we don’t see much of #3 coming out of China’s current wave. But we may. I still think they would have been better off paying for Moderna instead of using a cut rate domestic version.
From the article he cited but apparently didn't comprehend --

<<
If you are willing to risk hospitalization, death, or prolonged illness (currently termed Long COVID), then naturally acquired immunity will be more robust in protecting you from a second episode. It will not be as protective from the outcomes of that second infection. This is a real-world example of the tradeoff between “an abundance of caution” and rolling the viral dice that may or may not be loaded by your underlying frailty as measured by risk factors or your access to care.
>>
 
Remember when several on here supported the idea that the vaccine gives greater protection than being previously infected? Yeah, no. That never passed the smell test, but it was quickly supported by the authoritarians here - @dad4, @espola, @EOTL and his spawn.


It will be interesting to see where the data leads w.r.t. athletes and young people dropping dead and/or having cardiac episodes. Experts indicated rather early in the vaccine process that young men developed myocarditis at a concerning rate. The data will eventually be there for that question and many more. It could end a few careers. Of course, a looney tune like Paul Ehrlich still gets a platform to yell "fire" on 60 Minutes after having done so incorrectly multiple times, so who knows? But if you think Gio's mom was unhinged for what she did to Berhalter regarding his treatment of her son, wait until you see what happens if these moms and dads find out their boys and girls died from a vaccine they didn't need to take based on the risk profile. As usual, the only "winners" in this scenario will be the lawyers.
I love you brother. They "coerced" EVERYONE who wanted to play high level sports to be fully jabbed or no play. High level athletes are born with a rare instinct to work hard to win and a goal to be their best and ain't nothing going to stop that for 99%. "They" also coerced us parents to take the jabs or we would be fired and lose EVERYTHING we worked so hard to achieve. Our kids saw the stress on mom and dad. It was a tough choice and I saw good friends agonies over the decision, Jab or no Jab. Two years later and now these same friends have had adverse reactions that have caused Blood Clots, Massice Cardiac Arrest, Cardiac Arrest, Heart Attacks, Myocarditis, Bells, the thing Justin, Katie and Celine have and sometimes death. Cardiac Arrest in young athlete's in their prime needs to be looked at 100%. Kids walking to class and then dying needs to be looked at 100%. Healthy 50 year old's dying in their sleep peacefully needs to be looked at 100%. The first step in humility 101 is to utter the three magic words: I Was Wrong or I Am Sorry or Please Forgive Me or I Forgive You or I Love You.
After finding that inner peace, we need to wake up and lead with Empathy, Forgiveness, Grace and Mercy. I have news for everyone on here. Karma is coming and no one will escape it's pain. Justice Is Coming and for some, Justice is here and for others, justice came and they are gone. "Blessed for those who mourn, for they will be comforted." Pay To Play was how we were all taught to play. Tel A Vision played a big roll into shaping us. I hated school and just day dreamed of playing professional sports as I looked out my 6th grade window at the playground and the Pacific Ocean in the back drop. Another schoolmate dreamed of being on the Supreme Court some day and by golly, he might just do it. I had another pal dream about being a top lawyer and boy is he. Still another who dreamed of being a top Realtor and he's one of the top and the list goes on and on. Something very wrong happen to all of us. 4-6% are lost forever. They (Klause and Krew at WEF)) wanted to de-populate the world and start all over with just the top bloodlines, their family and some of their friends in high places and a few really good ass kissers. From what I have read and saw, this group was well on it's way to achieving their goals and bought, bribed and blackmailed just about everyone. As sick as this sounds and harder to believe, it get's worse bro and will get worse before things get better. 4-6% is better than 95% wiped off with a deadly Kool Aid shot that we all would have been forced to drink. Sometimes great leaders with good hearts have only two bad choices to choose and both will result in high death and you have to pick one over the other and no turning back. Thank God for people like me and I say that with humility. Their is a group of humans who said no to the jabs for some reason and lost their lively hood and some lost college scholarship and pay checks because they saw what most did not see. This does not make me or them better than anyone who took the jabs, but we should be thanked. Without folks like me, we would not have the data and the live test to see the results.
 
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