The Aug–Dec Soccer Disadvantage For MLS next

It all depends on in SY if Aug-Dec players are playing on the team thats their grade in school or if they're playing on the grade below them in school.

If they're playing on the team thats their grade in school HG BY Biobands can only potentially be 2 levels higher. If they're playing on the team thats a grade below them in school HG BY biobands can be 3 levels higher. This is all in regards to what level players are used to playing at. Not their age.

So being the oldest (Aug-Dec) on a SY team might not be the best option if your kid is looking to get noticed to play on a BY Homegrown team.
Iiuc ea (and most lower leagues including ayso) will be done on a sy but still by age, not by grade level. So it’s not really possible to redshirt them (you can only play up)…you still need to produce birth certificates. So Oct-Dec players will grow up with a shot at the most elite programs as Youngers, will be the strongest going to ea (which are the early puberty years where size makes the most difference) and be noticed by coaches as potentials to be pulled down when mls opens up (these players will be marked as Oct-Dec possible biobands when recruiting comes along) so they’ll just get pulled down 1 to play by.
 
Iiuc ea (and most lower leagues including ayso) will be done on a sy but still by age, not by grade level. So it’s not really possible to redshirt them (you can only play up)…you still need to produce birth certificates. So Oct-Dec players will grow up with a shot at the most elite programs as Youngers, will be the strongest going to ea (which are the early puberty years where size makes the most difference) and be noticed by coaches as potentials to be pulled down when mls opens up (these players will be marked as Oct-Dec possible biobands when recruiting comes along) so they’ll just get pulled down 1 to play by.
So the Dec-July birthdays will be priority when BY HG teams are first forned?

Seems like a chicken or the egg situation when it comes to who will be biobanded.
 
for next year is

MLS next HG U14 is Jan 2013-Dec 2013
MLS next HG U13 is Jan 2014-Dec 2014

MLS next AD U13 Aug 2013-July 2014?

So if an Aug 2013 kid doesn’t make MLS next U14 HG they can try out for U13 AD?

And a July 2014 kid that doesn’t make MLS next U13 can also try out for the same U13 AD?

Do I have this right?
 
So the Dec-July birthdays will be priority when BY HG teams are first forned?

Seems like a chicken or the egg situation when it comes to who will be biobanded.
You can bio band an October kid and those kids will have been playing at ea and other top teams so a club will have earmarked the 3 kids they want biobanded. Other than that it’s who’s tall (January-July having the edge) and who has skills (which will over time reduce that to January-March for most who aren’t early bloomers since the may-julys will struggle to get on top teams).
 
You can bio band an October kid and those kids will have been playing at ea and other top teams so a club will have earmarked the 3 kids they want biobanded. Other than that it’s who’s tall (January-July having the edge) and who has skills (which will over time reduce that to January-March for most who aren’t early bloomers since the may-julys will struggle to get on top teams).
You are most likely correct. I have no reason to argue with your logic. One thing I will point out is that ealier you said that coaches are looking for short term wins and therefore wouldn't be monitoring SY teams for BY oldest players.

I think that its going to be more nuanced. Clubs/Coaches with SY league teams will keep Jan-July players engaged knowing that a few will end up on MLSN HG teams. How long and how deep this will occur remains to be seen. Also it will probably vary if a youth club has a HG team or a relationship with a HG team/club.

In the end I do believe having both BY and SY leagues at the same tine will translate into more potential talent available to play at the highest levels at least at the younger ages. I dont think theres much incentive to keep Jan birthdays around in a SY league when players get older. But being the oldest doesnt matter as much the older the players get. So maybe its a wash. Either way MLS has biobanding so it doesnt matter.
 
One interesting aspect of MLSN HG staying BY is I guarantee NWSL + USL are watching very closely how having BY and SY youth leagues at the same time plays out.

If things go well for MLSN HG implementing a top league thats BY on top of a general SY landscape. It Might be the perfect way for MLS + others to maintain the lowest level of investment by walling themselves from p2p but but still receiving the benefits of working within the youth ecosystem.
 
I find all this hand wringing and pearl clutching about the so-called "disadvantage" of when you're kid as born quite humorous. Here is a dose of reality for everyone. I think we would all agree that San Diego has a very strong pool of soccer talent, yet out of the 2026 class only 4 boys have signed D1 soccer offers. One kid is from SD but plays on a team from the other coast and one primarily played EA. I know that one of those kids has no scholarship and I suspect its the same for two others. They're probably are a few that may still sign and maybe some that are trying to pursue a professional route. The best player from SD who hasn't played on a SD club in years and was a Generation Cup MVP gets limited play time for an MLS Next Pro team, although still gets play time on the Mexico Youth National Teams.

The disadvantage is not when you're kid is born, the disadvantage is playing in the American youth soccer system.
 
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