Good News Thread

Now that they can stay open and the men can have a place to go, can we have a place for girls to play soccer? This is so lame and wrong I can;t believe we all sit around and watch this before our very eyes.
Strip Clubs Lead the Way: Judge Blocks San Diego Coronavirus Restrictions


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crush said:
Now that they can stay open and the men can have a place to go, can we have a place for girls to play soccer? This is so lame and wrong I can;t believe we all sit around and watch this before our very eyes.
Strip Clubs Lead the Way: Judge Blocks San Diego Coronavirus Restrictions


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Hard to believe that strip clubs would pave the way for our freedoms. Judge left the door wide open for restaurants. Youth soccer needs to hire these attorneys immediately as do parents that want schools open. Interesting how the Judge's decision was apparently tied to ICU beds and not infections.

404 - Page Not Found | FOX 5 San Diego & KUSI News

www.kusi.com www.kusi.com
 
Ruling gets even better:

“The court’s intention is all businesses which provide restaurant services in the county of San Diego are encompassed in the court’s order,” he said.

www.sandiegouniontribune.com

Judge clarifies ruling on COVID-19 restrictions applies to restaurants in county; state plans appeal

A ruling by a San Diego judge that stopped state and local officials from enforcing COVID-19 shutdown orders against restaurants and live entertainment venues was met with a guarded response from l…
www.sandiegouniontribune.com www.sandiegouniontribune.com
 
dad4 said:
That links to a graph of tests performed.

How does a peak in tests performed imply a peak in cases?
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Agree if tests performed are based on capacity of testing (plateau would indicate capacity not infection threshold). However, if testing capacity is not the cause of the plateau, but percentage of the population that is symptomatic seeking testing, then there may be some correlation when comparing this chart to %positivity.
I’ve gotten the impression that Grace looks at multiple sources of information... so what may not stand out as significant or relevant, in and of itself only, may still be significant in the context of other information (likely previously addressed here or elsewhere on this forum).
 
Grace T. said:
other charts....they unfortunately don't collate them into a single one for some reason
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If you look at the daily cases they top out at 12725 on 12-11. The 12th and 13th are weekend numbers so you have discount those. If you look at the 7 day average chart it's falling too. You then got to look at the testing by date which is pretty flat. The reason I said might is because there looks to be a reporting lag on 12-15 and 12-16. Sorry for the confusion....I'm moving very fast so sometimes just short hand it and cut corners.
 
Grace T. said:
If you look at the daily cases they top out at 12725 on 12-11. The 12th and 13th are weekend numbers so you have discount those. If you look at the 7 day average chart it's falling too. You then got to look at the testing by date which is pretty flat. The reason I said might is because there looks to be a reporting lag on 12-15 and 12-16. Sorry for the confusion....I'm moving very fast so sometimes just short hand it and cut corners.
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Ah. I think LA must be getting close to peak. you’re at almost 6%.

I just don’t see it in the data yet. positivity is still going up. And Christmas is going to make it worse. After that, you ought to be able to bring it down.
 
“We’re rounding the curve! Many people say we did a great job millions would have died if we had done absolutely nothing!” Thousands would have survived if we had just taken it half-way seriously.
 
dad4 said:
Ah. I think LA must be getting close to peak. you’re at almost 6%.

I just don’t see it in the data yet. positivity is still going up. And Christmas is going to make it worse. After that, you ought to be able to bring it down.
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Positivity may be artificially inflated due to: 1) the change of advice from county health authorities (from everyone get a test to just get one if you need it), 2) the long lines at drive thru sites, 3) av production being suspended for the holiday weeks, and 4) school activities and day cares being suspended for the holiday. Around the country thanksgiving led to small bumps in cases but didn’t alter overall trends (places rising still rise, places falling still fell). With shopping winding down, day cares taking a break, studios shutting down, and even non-emergency doctors taking a week off hopefully it’s a wash. I’ll know better on Monday when I get a chance to see the freeways.
 
Grace T. said:
Positivity may be artificially inflated due to: 1) the change of advice from county health authorities (from everyone get a test to just get one if you need it), 2) the long lines at drive thru sites, 3) av production being suspended for the holiday weeks, and 4) school activities and day cares being suspended for the holiday. Around the country thanksgiving led to small bumps in cases but didn’t alter overall trends (places rising still rise, places falling still fell). With shopping winding down, day cares taking a break, studios shutting down, and even non-emergency doctors taking a week off hopefully it’s a wash. I’ll know better on Monday when I get a chance to see the freeways.
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I've been looking at positivity to guess the relationship between confirmed and actual cases.

LA had a low multiplier for a while, but most of the cases have happened recently, when the multiplier was high.

In areas with low overall cases, turkey day seems to cause large a one time bump in cases, after which the growth goes back to what it was/would have been.

For socal, I think this will push you into decline, assuming no policy or compliance changes.
 
Hüsker Dü said:
“We’re rounding the curve! Many people say we did a great job millions would have died if we had done absolutely nothing!” Thousands would have survived if we had just taken it half-way seriously.
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I'm just saying we ran out of people to infect. Don't mistake my nonsense for optimism.
 
dad4 said:
I've been looking at positivity to guess the relationship between confirmed and actual cases.

LA had a low multiplier for a while, but most of the cases have happened recently, when the multiplier was high.

In areas with low overall cases, turkey day seems to cause large a one time bump in cases, after which the growth goes back to what it was/would have been.

For socal, I think this will push you into decline, assuming no policy or compliance changes.
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One sm friend I get info from covid and other things (the bad cat) thinks SoCal in general tops out by New Years. He’s been extremely right about everything including the southern summer wave. The bad news is he thinks the west coast wave (driven by NorCal Oregon and Seattle) is just really getting started and won’t be going into decline any time soon. He also thinks notwithstanding vaccine deployment the SoCal slump will be very slow. If true bad news for SoCal...very bad news for NorCal. It’s only one persons guess but he has been accurate to date.
 
kickingandscreaming said:
This is the best this graph has looked in some time.

View attachment 9766
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kickingandscreaming said:
This is the best this graph has looked in some time.

View attachment 9766
Click to expand...
Kansas and Tennessee have been especially hard hit in recent weeks. Looks like they are both improving. California still not looking so good (my friend may be right....few week to go before peak especially norcal). Looks like it's Oklahoma's turn from Kansas, West Virginia from Tennessee. New Hampshire and Maine (which had been spared a lot to date) getting hit. What's up with Hawaii? And how's Washington managed to escape things for so long?
 
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