Good News Thread

kickingandscreaming said:
Nationwide, we appear to have reached the top / very near the top of the cases in the current surge. I took a quick look at the individual states to see the general direction from data as of Dec 7 to data as of Dec 14. Overall, states are trending down with 30 rising more slowly or trending down faster than last week. I only count 5 with cases rising faster than last week. The east coast has slowed their increases considerably and CA is showing some signs of slowing the explosive growth - but still growing fast. We also appear to be past any Thanksgiving effect. There was a noticable bump in many individual states' data starting about a week after Thanksgiving (interestingly preceded by a noticable dip seen on the national level), but many (all?) states that were trending down prior to Thanksgiving are trending down currently after the Thanksgiving bump up. Once CA starts dropping, cases will trend down strongly.

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Another "indicator" that things are moving the right direction. About a week or so ago, only two states were "green"

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kickingandscreaming said:
Another "indicator" that things are moving the right direction. About a week or so ago, only two states were "green"

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Wow Hawaii.....probably the only state to handle things more stupidly than California or New York. Wrecked their economy with 7 months of lockdowns and sealing themselves off only to open back up when things are at at their worst on the mainland. When they opened up, I'm sure dad loves that they have indoor dining open at 50% capacity. The airplane policy is they require you to have a negative COVID test or to quarantine 14 days but that means you might be traveling with someone asymptomatic and catch it on the plane and then spread it at your hotel. Their school policy has been an absolute mess.

I keep getting emails from them offering to pay for my flight for free if I'm a remote worker, go for 30 days or more, and commit to doing some zoom community service (whatever that is).
 
Grace T. said:
Wow Hawaii.....probably the only state to handle things more stupidly than California or New York. Wrecked their economy with 7 months of lockdowns and sealing themselves off only to open back up when things are at at their worst on the mainland. When they opened up, I'm sure dad loves that they have indoor dining open at 50% capacity. The airplane policy is they require you to have a negative COVID test or to quarantine 14 days but that means you might be traveling with someone asymptomatic and catch it on the plane and then spread it at your hotel. Their school policy has been an absolute mess.

I keep getting emails from them offering to pay for my flight for free if I'm a remote worker, go for 30 days or more, and commit to doing some zoom community service (whatever that is).
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They need the vaccine ASAP.
 
kickingandscreaming said:
Vaccine number 2 about ready to go. Hard to believe we are going to have two vaccines in about 10 months. This is truly an amazing accomplishment.

www.nytimes.com

Moderna Vaccine Is Highly Protective Against Covid-19, the F.D.A. Finds (Published 2020)

The positive review most likely ensures that the Food and Drug Administration will grant emergency authorization to a second coronavirus vaccine this week for millions of Americans.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Let’s pray all goes well!
 
Congrats to Laura!!!!!
Laura Ingraham signs multi-year deal to remain at Fox News: ‘It is a great privilege’ ((you think?))

"The fraud happened. The election in many ways was stolen and the only way it will be fixed is by in the future reinforcing the laws."

So she signs a big fat deal for millions and tells us all the election was loaded with fraud and stolen from 74,000,000 Americans. However, we will deal with it in da future and enforce the laws next time? Oh joy, this is going to get real interesting. Who the heck thinks this is going to be ok? I'm happy she got rich in all this, but that is just weird to be bragging about this fat raise during the worst time ever for so many of us.
 
Now that they can stay open and the men can have a place to go, can we have a place for girls to play soccer? This is so lame and wrong I can;t believe we all sit around and watch this before our very eyes.
Strip Clubs Lead the Way: Judge Blocks San Diego Coronavirus Restrictions


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crush said:
Now that they can stay open and the men can have a place to go, can we have a place for girls to play soccer? This is so lame and wrong I can;t believe we all sit around and watch this before our very eyes.
Strip Clubs Lead the Way: Judge Blocks San Diego Coronavirus Restrictions


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Hard to believe that strip clubs would pave the way for our freedoms. Judge left the door wide open for restaurants. Youth soccer needs to hire these attorneys immediately as do parents that want schools open. Interesting how the Judge's decision was apparently tied to ICU beds and not infections.

404 - Page Not Found | FOX 5 San Diego & KUSI News

www.kusi.com www.kusi.com
 
Ruling gets even better:

“The court’s intention is all businesses which provide restaurant services in the county of San Diego are encompassed in the court’s order,” he said.

www.sandiegouniontribune.com

Judge clarifies ruling on COVID-19 restrictions applies to restaurants in county; state plans appeal

A ruling by a San Diego judge that stopped state and local officials from enforcing COVID-19 shutdown orders against restaurants and live entertainment venues was met with a guarded response from l…
www.sandiegouniontribune.com www.sandiegouniontribune.com
 
dad4 said:
That links to a graph of tests performed.

How does a peak in tests performed imply a peak in cases?
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Agree if tests performed are based on capacity of testing (plateau would indicate capacity not infection threshold). However, if testing capacity is not the cause of the plateau, but percentage of the population that is symptomatic seeking testing, then there may be some correlation when comparing this chart to %positivity.
I’ve gotten the impression that Grace looks at multiple sources of information... so what may not stand out as significant or relevant, in and of itself only, may still be significant in the context of other information (likely previously addressed here or elsewhere on this forum).
 
Grace T. said:
other charts....they unfortunately don't collate them into a single one for some reason
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If you look at the daily cases they top out at 12725 on 12-11. The 12th and 13th are weekend numbers so you have discount those. If you look at the 7 day average chart it's falling too. You then got to look at the testing by date which is pretty flat. The reason I said might is because there looks to be a reporting lag on 12-15 and 12-16. Sorry for the confusion....I'm moving very fast so sometimes just short hand it and cut corners.
 
Grace T. said:
If you look at the daily cases they top out at 12725 on 12-11. The 12th and 13th are weekend numbers so you have discount those. If you look at the 7 day average chart it's falling too. You then got to look at the testing by date which is pretty flat. The reason I said might is because there looks to be a reporting lag on 12-15 and 12-16. Sorry for the confusion....I'm moving very fast so sometimes just short hand it and cut corners.
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Ah. I think LA must be getting close to peak. you’re at almost 6%.

I just don’t see it in the data yet. positivity is still going up. And Christmas is going to make it worse. After that, you ought to be able to bring it down.
 
“We’re rounding the curve! Many people say we did a great job millions would have died if we had done absolutely nothing!” Thousands would have survived if we had just taken it half-way seriously.
 
dad4 said:
Ah. I think LA must be getting close to peak. you’re at almost 6%.

I just don’t see it in the data yet. positivity is still going up. And Christmas is going to make it worse. After that, you ought to be able to bring it down.
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Positivity may be artificially inflated due to: 1) the change of advice from county health authorities (from everyone get a test to just get one if you need it), 2) the long lines at drive thru sites, 3) av production being suspended for the holiday weeks, and 4) school activities and day cares being suspended for the holiday. Around the country thanksgiving led to small bumps in cases but didn’t alter overall trends (places rising still rise, places falling still fell). With shopping winding down, day cares taking a break, studios shutting down, and even non-emergency doctors taking a week off hopefully it’s a wash. I’ll know better on Monday when I get a chance to see the freeways.
 
Grace T. said:
Positivity may be artificially inflated due to: 1) the change of advice from county health authorities (from everyone get a test to just get one if you need it), 2) the long lines at drive thru sites, 3) av production being suspended for the holiday weeks, and 4) school activities and day cares being suspended for the holiday. Around the country thanksgiving led to small bumps in cases but didn’t alter overall trends (places rising still rise, places falling still fell). With shopping winding down, day cares taking a break, studios shutting down, and even non-emergency doctors taking a week off hopefully it’s a wash. I’ll know better on Monday when I get a chance to see the freeways.
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I've been looking at positivity to guess the relationship between confirmed and actual cases.

LA had a low multiplier for a while, but most of the cases have happened recently, when the multiplier was high.

In areas with low overall cases, turkey day seems to cause large a one time bump in cases, after which the growth goes back to what it was/would have been.

For socal, I think this will push you into decline, assuming no policy or compliance changes.
 
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