Bad News Thread

I will advance the possibility that I used "fantastic" in a different sense than you read it.

One of the miserable effects of the t years is that many words have been reduced to meaningless spaceholders.


Ah, I see...you used it in the sense as one might, for example describe your entire thought process. Got it.
 
The cost isn't zero. If you've looked at any park in Los Angeles and seen the masks strewn about that's pretty self-evident. They don't degrade readily. There is a cost to manufacture them and they aren't free. There are also social and psychological costs, especially what we are doing to children. So if you are going to claim cost/benefit, don't claim zero costs. The "STFU" is nice talk from the guy always decrying the incivility of personal attacks.


As I recall California banned plastic bags and at the time we were told there was an enormous environmental cost that required this immediately (as opposed to just telling consumers hey maybe not the best idea).....

 
So a bad flu season???
We do occasionally have extra measures for bad flu seasons.

I don't know whether we will have to do anything this fall. It may be that enough of us got vaccinated or recovered that Delta goes nowhere.

But, if asked to put on a mask, we should each do our part and not second guess it.
 
We do occasionally have extra measures for bad flu seasons.

I don't know whether we will have to do anything this fall. It may be that enough of us got vaccinated or recovered that Delta goes nowhere.

But, if asked to put on a mask, we should each do our part and not second guess it.

we have not, at least in my life time, had a state mask mandate for a bad flu season, despite several that have made their way through

so either we are forced to conclude: a) you believe when we have such bad flu seasons it’s a good idea to have a mask mandate or b) you’ve back tracked and now your argument is an appeal to authority (I.e., defer to experts who may ask for it)

If 2) no thanks...your experts have proven horrible at this. They’ve destroyed whatever trust and goodwill they began this with.
 
we have not, at least in my life time, had a state mask mandate for a bad flu season, despite several that have made their way through

so either we are forced to conclude: a) you believe when we have such bad flu seasons it’s a good idea to have a mask mandate or b) you’ve back tracked and now your argument is an appeal to authority (I.e., defer to experts who may ask for it)

If 2) no thanks...your experts have proven horrible at this. They’ve destroyed whatever trust and goodwill they began this with.
You can drop the appeal to authority if you like. I’d have no trouble wearing a mask if the flu season was likely to cause 100K deaths. It’s just a mask, and I’m not a big fan of the flu.

What trust and goodwill? The right have been second guessing and sniping against public health measures ever since March of 2020. They started with anti-mask protests, moved on to indoor rallies in Tulsa, and began the next year with maskless legislators spreading covid in the capitol. When was this “trust and goodwill” period of which you speak?
 
You can drop the appeal to authority if you like. I’d have no trouble wearing a mask if the flu season was likely to cause 100K deaths. It’s just a mask, and I’m not a big fan of the flu.

What trust and goodwill? The right have been second guessing and sniping against public health measures ever since March of 2020. They started with anti-mask protests, moved on to indoor rallies in Tulsa, and began the next year with maskless legislators spreading covid in the capitol. When was this “trust and goodwill” period of which you speak?

It started to go out the window when we were assured it wasn't a significant problem in February 2020 (sure you can ascribe it to China lied, but some of us knew what was coming). Then when they flipped flopped on the mask thing. Then when they said the BLM protests were essential and more important than the lockdowns (but worship wasn't). Yeah, I know it's hard to accept that the public health authorities have been botching this from the beginning....some of it can be ascribed to the fog of war, some of it to just not knowing what we know now, and some of it to the Chinese lying.....but in the end, they largely did it to themselves.

So where is your number on the mask thing? A bad RSV year qualify too....kills 100-200 kids annually, thousands of adults, hospitalizes 15,000...where do you draw your line?
 
It started to go out the window when we were assured it wasn't a significant problem in February 2020 (sure you can ascribe it to China lied, but some of us knew what was coming). Then when they flipped flopped on the mask thing. Then when they said the BLM protests were essential and more important than the lockdowns (but worship wasn't). Yeah, I know it's hard to accept that the public health authorities have been botching this from the beginning....some of it can be ascribed to the fog of war, some of it to just not knowing what we know now, and some of it to the Chinese lying.....but in the end, they largely did it to themselves.
Normal errors during a crisis. Hard to stomach, but also hard to avoid.

What nationally recognized group had better advice at the time? ( Equivalently, do you propose we follow next time? Or do we act like cats? )

The main contrarian view was Trump and his media. Trump was encouraging us all to believe it was a minor blip. Had we followed his advice, we would have had last winter’s surge around May of 2020. At the time, we had no good treatments, no masks, and no vaccines. It would have been a lot worse.
 
Normal errors during a crisis. Hard to stomach, but also hard to avoid.

What nationally recognized group had better advice at the time? ( Equivalently, do you propose we follow next time? Or do we act like cats? )

The main contrarian view was Trump and his media. Trump was encouraging us all to believe it was a minor blip. Had we followed his advice, we would have had last winter’s surge around May of 2020. At the time, we had no good treatments, no masks, and no vaccines. It would have been a lot worse.

From the Fauci email (see articles above) it's pretty clear Trump was being encouraged in that belief by Fauci.

You yourself have acknowledged seasonality is a big factor. Given the panic (which created self imposed distancing measures), the variant at the time, and seasonality, it was unlikely to have been particularly bad or moved things up any time prior to the fall of 2020. One of your mistaken beliefs is that restrictive measures are possible in perpetuity. They should have been saved for moments when the hospital systems were in fact in danger of collapse.

You are fine to argue that normal errors occur during a crisis and that they are avoidable....but that's pretty hard to reconcile with the notion that we should also just give up our own thinking and defer to the experts making these errors.
 
From the Fauci email (see articles above) it's pretty clear Trump was being encouraged in that belief by Fauci.

You yourself have acknowledged seasonality is a big factor. Given the panic (which created self imposed distancing measures), the variant at the time, and seasonality, it was unlikely to have been particularly bad or moved things up any time prior to the fall of 2020. One of your mistaken beliefs is that restrictive measures are possible in perpetuity. They should have been saved for moments when the hospital systems were in fact in danger of collapse.

You are fine to argue that normal errors occur during a crisis and that they are avoidable....but that's pretty hard to reconcile with the notion that we should also just give up our own thinking and defer to the experts making these errors.
I don't mind people asking "why did it take CDC so long to recommend going outside?".

I find it helpful when people say "here are five respected studies about the risks of indoor air. Maybe we should change the rules."

I object when people say "the CDC has no credibility. I will do whatever I want.".

Most of the criticism here falls into that self indulgent third bucket.
 
I don't mind people asking "why did it take CDC so long to recommend going outside?".

I find it helpful when people say "here are five respected studies about the risks of indoor air. Maybe we should change the rules."

I object when people say "the CDC has no credibility. I will do whatever I want.".

Most of the criticism here falls into that self indulgent third bucket.

No, and that's where you have always fundamentally misunderstood things. The proper framing is: "The CDC has torched its credibility. We need to think through things and question what the experts are telling us." Otherwise you get the list of experts failures including the Iraq war, the 2008 financial crisis, and the rona. What's really funny is the experts and science may have created this mess to begin with, and you want us to blindly trust them notwithstanding that.
 
Today's mask survey --

At Albertson's pharmacy, the staff was all masked, and none of the customers were except the family (mom and two kids) signing up for vaccinations. At Dollar Tree, the staff was masked and customers were not. At the Alpine LIbrary, masks were required even for those vaccinated because it is designated as one of the County's Cool Zones. I pulled the mask out of my back pocket to comply, but one of the ear loops broke so I had to go back to the car to get a new one. At Walmart, the staff was all masked except for the guy in the doorway leading back to the auto service department, and the customers were divided.

My wife says I should always wear a mask when out in public even though I am vaccinated because I am doubly compromised.
 
No, and that's where you have always fundamentally misunderstood things. The proper framing is: "The CDC has torched its credibility. We need to think through things and question what the experts are telling us." Otherwise you get the list of experts failures including the Iraq war, the 2008 financial crisis, and the rona. What's really funny is the experts and science may have created this mess to begin with, and you want us to blindly trust them notwithstanding that.

Is this what you meant by your more aggressive persona?
 
Today's mask survey --

At Albertson's pharmacy, the staff was all masked, and none of the customers were except the family (mom and two kids) signing up for vaccinations. At Dollar Tree, the staff was masked and customers were not. At the Alpine LIbrary, masks were required even for those vaccinated because it is designated as one of the County's Cool Zones. I pulled the mask out of my back pocket to comply, but one of the ear loops broke so I had to go back to the car to get a new one. At Walmart, the staff was all masked except for the guy in the doorway leading back to the auto service department, and the customers were divided.

My wife says I should always wear a mask when out in public even though I am vaccinated because I am doubly compromised.
WalMart up here over 95% still masked.

It felt weird to be the only one without one, so I put mine back on.
 
At least in Los Angeles it seems the way things are shaking up so far is the vaccinated will not need to wear a mask but the unvaccinated (including kids too young for the vaccine) will. Still nothing decided yet though.
Those wanting in class higher education may need to vaccinate or be relegated to zoom classes.
 
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