This depends on the club. I think at 01 and up you will have a couple of very strong ECNL teams. The already committed/ HS factor will prevail. Or just so good it doesn't matter what league they are in: Blues Baket
You may be right.
I'll probably venture off the path for a bit here but I hope to tie it together with a nice bow at the end.
I think it also depends upon the player, college program (athletic director, coach, etc) and where that program fits (or wants to fit) in the college post season "field of 64." Some kids think that post-commit means time to chill and relax and their college programs are just ok with that. Look at a few of the Big 10 women's soccer programs (and yes other conferences too) and look at the tenure of some of their coaches being mediocre at best FOR YEARS AND YEARS! Some schools and coaches just don't care.
Compare that to programs that are regulars in the NCAA tournament (or in and out more often over the last few years) where "just chilling" post-commit won't cut it or the scholarship gets cut.
So, what's my point? A post-commit player should be pushing herself to get on the very best team, in the most difficult and competitive club conference with the very best coaching, etc., to ensure they continue to improve on their way to a college program. In my book, that should be a given. That's why most on this board are passionate about calling out a "fraud league" designed to keep the cash flowing. No one here wants to see a family of limited means and time, etc., get duped.
So, laying out the best-to-worst leagues can be insightful for the player / parent looking to achieve (or not achieve) going forward. At the end of the day, US Soccer DA will continue to draw the very best of the best and the impact will hit hard against ECNL and other leagues starting August 1, 2017. Like it or not, it is what it is.
I think HS is inconsequential at this point because DA, ECNL, etc have made allowances for players desiring the HS experience.
As far as SW conference ECNL and the 2017-2018 season goes, yeah probably a few teams that are outliers and have no DA option will look more respectable because of the "lowering" of competition in the SoCal market. Not to take anything away from those clubs but seriously? I dont think anyone should be fooled.
I am curious, what 01+ ECNL teams / clubs do you see in the SW ECNL conference actually staying strong?