...Where is that 14% drop data coming from? Should we take it as fact, or is someone sifting through a larger data set in order to find data that supports their argument.
Here is an article that I believe talks about the data that provides the 14% number -
https://www.aspeninstitute.org/blog-posts/7-charts-show-fix-youth-sports/
Some things I notice in this data. All youth team sport participation is down............
To me, the answer starts with build more parks. The newer suburbs have lots of parks (read, upper middle class people). But the urban cores do not. And after those parks are built, make sure everyone feels safe going to them. ....
On our street the solution was a basketball hoop that we put outside our house with a pile of basketballs and a sign that says everyone is welcome to play. We get kids from all over coming to play once they find it. But how many parents let their 6-12 year old kids go wandering off until they find a friendly basketball hoop?
The article is written from the perspective of inactive kids problem, the decline in sports participation is a symptom of inactivity.
What is interesting is looking at the data bit closer, albeit at macro level, about drop off in participation from 2011 to 2016 occurs at 2 of 5 income levels in the study. The biggest drop-off comes from real poverty level income households (<$25k/yr). The drop is 41.9% down to 34.6%, or decline of 7.3% of total population at the income level. The next biggest drop comes from lowest end of the middle class income households ($50k/yr~$75/yr). The drop is 59.6% down to 53.7%, or decline of 5.9% of those population.
Interestingly, the 25K/yr~$50k/yr had an increase in participation, as well as over $100K/yr, while $75k/yr~$100k/yr remained steady. What this tells me, speculating of course, is that those in poverty got worse due to lack of income increasing with time while the cost of participation increased. The increase in participation fees from rec to club was quite noticeable during early part of this decade as we started to recover from a hard recession/financial crisis in 08/09.
The next income level witnessed increase. Probably it was a case where families who always wanted to participate in team sports or had to drop out of team sports due to economic condition was now able to do so. The following level, 50~75, probably suffered due to price of X-Box and PS3/4 dropping to more affordable level as well as a second hand units became readily available, in addition to playing with handheld low cost Android phones.
The rest of the upper level income families coped with costs and increased in participation as more and more sports became available to them (e.g., club crewing, sand volleyball, etc).
The lack of participation in the inner city has always been an issue. Having grown up in a metropolitan city as well as a bedroom community, there is a clear difference in access to playing sports and how frequently. In a city, I recall playing stick-ball in the streets, where as once we moved to the "burbs" we had a proper baseball diamond nearby. That said, building more parks is probably not the solution.
Real solution in the inner cities require schools to run sports programs after-hours, where they do have the fields and adult supervision - both coaching and security. Unfortunately, sports is the first item to be cut when there is a funding shortfall and is expensive to maintain the infrastructure.
Personally, I do not find lack of participation to be necessarily a bad thing. One of my old boss was a 3-star general/flag officer who said "when America stopped the draft, the military won, but the country lost". What he meant was the those who enlisted wanted to be there whereas the draft required everyone, which means most that did not want to be there. Clearly you can extend the similar analogy to sports. Parents drag their kids who have no interest in participating but are forced to do so.
If we had less kids participating, we'd have less teams and that equates to less clubs and less money grabbing opportunist pretending to be a coach. The overall quality of the game will increase and those who want to stay in the sports will prosper and have more opportunities. I know this is not a popular opinion but its likely to be true....