Why keep arguing, NO FALL SOCCER!

Grace T. said:
IIUC yet another kick in the teeth from the governor's new county ratings. Instead of a 14 day wait to move it's now 21 days. The goalpost moving is astounding. You are widespread if a positivity rating of over 8% or over 100 per 100,000. Wow. 38 counties are widespread as a result.
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and people still think this is about a disease that has a 98% recovery? GTFOH....end of November is the target
 
Question for many of you that are smarter than me...it says the case rate is a 7 day rolling average/7 day lag. Does this mean that say if today was Sep 15 the case rate would be based on the average from Sep 1-7?

I'm not sure how the lag part fits in?
 
watfly said:
Some kids do have access to the school lunch program through our organization, otherwise we're 100% privately funded. I'm not aware of any "illegals" served by our program, but I have a tough time calling any child an illegal. Adults yes, children no.
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I misunderstood.
 
Grace T. said:
Haven't verified this or had time to do the math (busy afternoon). But here's another mindblower if true....some places mathematically can't even get to the lowest tier short of a 100% effective 100% compliance vaccine.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1299468786521616384
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33Kings County152,940
34Napa County137,744
35Humboldt County135,558
36Nevada County99,755
37Sutter County96,971
38Mendocino County86,749
39Yuba County78,668
40Tehama County65,084
41Lake County64,386
42San Benito County62,808
43Tuolumne County54,478
44Calaveras County45,905
45Siskiyou County43,539
46Amador County39,752
47Lassen County30,573
48Glenn County28,393
49Del Norte County27,812
50Colusa County21,547
51Plumas County18,807
52Inyo County18,039
53Mariposa County17,203
54Mono County14,444
55Trinity County12,285
56Modoc County8,841
57Sierra County3,005
58Alpine County1,129
 
Desert Hound said:
33Kings County152,940
34Napa County137,744
35Humboldt County135,558
36Nevada County99,755
37Sutter County96,971
38Mendocino County86,749
39Yuba County78,668
40Tehama County65,084
41Lake County64,386
42San Benito County62,808
43Tuolumne County54,478
44Calaveras County45,905
45Siskiyou County43,539
46Amador County39,752
47Lassen County30,573
48Glenn County28,393
49Del Norte County27,812
50Colusa County21,547
51Plumas County18,807
52Inyo County18,039
53Mariposa County17,203
54Mono County14,444
55Trinity County12,285
56Modoc County8,841
57Sierra County3,005
58Alpine County1,129
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Alpine County is screwed. Based on my calculations if they had one positive in 3 months they would be over the 1 per 100,000 rate.
 
NO POLITICS
TangoCity said:
False positive tests alone will keep the state of California (and probably all counties) in the governors new "Widespread" (hammer lockdown) category.
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Told everyone months ago stop taking the test. It’s weaponized against the citizens. Gavin is a political corrupt individual. Continuously Moving the goal posts is Bottom of the barrel politics.
 
Grace T. said:
IIUC yet another kick in the teeth from the governor's new county ratings. Instead of a 14 day wait to move it's now 21 days. The goalpost moving is astounding. You are widespread if a positivity rating of over 8% or over 100 per 100,000. Wow. 38 counties are w
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OC positivity rate is now at 5.4.


The way this works out to movie theatres, hair salons, and indoor dining (but not bars, but yes winieries outdoors) will be open before schools resume.

The governor specifically said there is no green level because he does not foresee any return to normal any time in the near future.

For professional sports, restrictions such as testing and live audiences continue even into the yellow zone which means youth sports are now in question even for fall 2021.
[/QUOTE]
 
Grace T. said:
Here's how rough the standards are. There is no "green" tier for return to normal life. It's purple/red/orange/yellow. To get yellow you need to get less than 1 case per 100,000. So LA County would need to report less than 90 cases per day. LA County reported 1,604 cases yesterday.

It also means unless the vaccine is about 90-93% effective or above and compliance is somewhere in the neighborhood of 85-95% in taking the vaccine, or unless the thing somehow herd immunities and magically disappears (very unlikely) we are looking at restrictions FOR YEARS into the future.
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Feels like their hoping for a Dorthy moment on her trip to Oz with her clicking her heels and saying, “There’s no place like home.”
 
Although the 5.4 positivity rate will change with all the adult party goers partying on the roof top of a restaurant/hotel in San Juan Capistrano this last weekend without masks or social distancing, will probably change all that. Thanks San Juan!
 
Copa9 said:
Although the 5.4 positivity rate will change with all the adult party goers partying on the roof top of a restaurant/hotel in San Juan Capistrano this last weekend without masks or social distancing, will probably change all that. Thanks San Juan!
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the math is vicious here. The more you test the more cases you’ll find. Test less and less asymptomatic and the positivity goes up. Can’t win
 
Grace T. said:
Maybe the amount of time then? I'm stumped. ^\_(;?)_/^
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guessing it has something to do with changing the metric from a 3-day rolling average to a 7-day rolling average. OC came off the "watch list" a week plus after San Diego, so the higher numbers for a few days might keep them in the new purple till at least Sep 14.

One thing I haven't been able to figure out...what if someone from OC gets tested in SD? Does the positive test count against county of residence or county where test was taken? If, where taken, then everyone from OC should get tested in LA or SD :)
 
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