State Cup
- Thread starter TheStr1kerz
- Start date
irishvirus
BRONZE
If they would gain more from a loss than a win you better believe SO cal blues is thinking about it. You definitely don't say that to the families or the players but you make sure that it happensJust can’t see teams purposely trying not to win at this age , but nothing would surprise me
There is really only 2 teams that can win this thing ( maybe 3) , so just go out and play and have fun
YSR Predictor Model predicted 11/12 results correctly this past weekend (only Eagles vs Sharks was wrong). In total, YSR accurately predicted 29/36 group stage games (80.6%). This is an increase over Vegas Cup's 66.7% accuracy. Interestingly enough, every Eagles game prediction was incorrect.
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
It looks to me like there are two Eagles 2012 teams, both now being called Eagles SC (2012G). (One ranked 18th in state with a Coach Farrar, and one ranked 77th with a Coach Bozzi). Second one (Bozzi) was called Eagles White up until the most recent State Cup results assigned to them, where they were entered as "Eagles Soccer Club G2012". I wondered whether those results should really be assigned to the other, higher ranked team also called Eagles SC, but it looks like they played on the same days in separate State Cup events, so they likely couldn't be the same team. If that really is the White team, it should show as renamed back to that once they enter their next event and the results are pulled in.
I can confirm that the results are accurate. Two things I can think of as to why the team out performed the predictor: 1. They got better or 2. The predictor model didn't like the close games against lower ranked opposition during the fall season. The rankings tend to move when the margins of victory are greater. Mind you - it doesn't accounts for the team playing up against older competition (and maybe it shouldn't).
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
Not sure where this belief comes from, but the model for SR absolutely accounts for teams playing up (or down, or even across gender). Every team entity has its own standalone rating, that adjusts over time due to results against other teams with their own standalone ratings. Now the validity and predictability of those comparative ratings depends on how much relevant data exists. If a team plays up occasionally, the validity is likely pretty strong. If a team never plays any adjacent age groups, the validity probably isn't as strong. If there is limited to no data for teams playing up or down for any of the teams that the initial team played either, or even one further step removed, the validity is likely lower still.
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
(tried to edit original, but ran into the 4 minute timer!)
You're right though, they definitely outperformed their existing rating, as shown by the results in their game history for the state cup - performed as expected against the Sharks, and overperformed in the two other games (marked in green) - all of which helps the rating move up over time.
You're right though, they definitely outperformed their existing rating, as shown by the results in their game history for the state cup - performed as expected against the Sharks, and overperformed in the two other games (marked in green) - all of which helps the rating move up over time.
TheStr1kerz
SILVER
Story lines of the group stage...
The rise of Sporting Slammers...
LAFC So Cal Youth parents fighting each other and the coach...
Empire and LA Surf imploding before the next round of state cup...
The rise of Sporting Slammers...
LAFC So Cal Youth parents fighting each other and the coach...
Empire and LA Surf imploding before the next round of state cup...
Code
GOLD
I don't think the name Sporting Slammers is ever going to sound correct to my ears. It's like hearing of a new sports apparel called Nike Adidas, or the new soda Fanta Coke. Just pick one brand and/or location, or make a novel name. Next up Galaxy Surf, and Rams Legends teams.
irishvirus
BRONZE
Tell us more about the LAFC parents fighting
TheStr1kerz
SILVER
Coach picked who was taking the spot kick and a moron told his DD to go take it instead. Coach benched the DD and the dad lost his shit and it continued with the parents in the parking lot
irishvirus
BRONZE
The dad is a donkey. A parent on the LAFC team has the ego to act like this??? What a muppet to try to over rule the coach on a PK
TheStr1kerz
SILVER
Here are my predictions for the next weekend...
Blues Lime v Legends...Blues
Surf v CFA Riptide...Surf
Slammers HB Elite v Blues Leslie...Slammers
Slammers FC AW v City SC...Slammers
Empire v Rebels...Rebels
Sporting Slammers v Blues Shelton....Blues
Slammers HB Crowley v Beach...Slammers
Eagles v LA Surf...Eagles
Next round
Blues Lime v Eagles...Blues
Surf v Slammers HB Crowley...Surf
Slammers HB Elite v Blues Shelton...Slammers
Slammers FC Aw v Rebel...Rebels
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
Seems reasonable; those are SR's picks all the way down the line save 1 - SR goes for LA Surf over Eagles (barely). It's close to a toss-up.
TheStr1kerz
SILVER
That game & Sporting Slammers v Blues Shelton was tough for me. I just know that LA Surf lost the starting forward to Beach right before State Cup. Hard to over come that but kudos to them if they do...
There are actually some great match ups here according to the teams. I definitely see some suprises in store for the next rounds.
Here's YSR's prediction. The ones that ended in a draw I went with who has the higher Win% according to the app.
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
YSR is dead. Long live SR.
irishvirus
BRONZE
Blues Lime v Legends...Blues
Surf v CFA Riptide...Surf
Slammers HB Elite v Blues Leslie...Slammers
Slammers FC AW v City SC...City
Empire v Rebels...Empire
Sporting Slammers v Blues Shelton....Blues
Slammers HB Crowley v Beach...Beach
Eagles v LA Surf...Eagles
Blues Lime v Eagles...Blues
Surf v Beach...Surf
Slammers HB Elite v Blues Shelton...Blues
City v Empire...City
Upsets!
irishvirus
BRONZE
looks like Blues starting striker broke her leg. Does anybody change the picks to win this weekend or win the cup?