Here are 15 things that a $15 minimum wage law
does not and
cannot do:
- It does not raise unskilled workers’ productivity or their value to an employer to accompany the 100% increase in wages that employers are forced to pay unskilled workers.
- It does not guarantee that a single new job will be created, and in fact a minimum wage law outlaws them; and outlawed jobs are the inevitable result.
- It cannot stop employers from reducing the number of low-skilled workers they employ.
- It cannot stop employers from reducing the number of weekly work hours assigned to employees at the higher wage.
- It cannot stop employers from hiring fewer unskilled workers in the future following a minimum wage hike.
- It cannot stop firms from investing in labor-saving technologies like self-ordering kiosks following a minimum wage hike.
- It cannot stop firms from decreasing the amount of on-the-job training provided to unskilled workers.
- It cannot stop firms from reducing or eliminating workers’ non-monetary fringe benefits.
- It cannot stop firms from adjusting (to the disadvantage of workers) other “non-wage attributes” of jobs including: the strictness of work demands, flexibility in scheduling, and upward mobility.
- It cannot stop firms from discriminating against low-skilled workers and substituting higher-skilled workers. In fact, the minimum wage law is a law that forces employers to discriminate against workers who have low skills.
- It cannot stop firms from discriminating against minority groups.
- It cannot stop firms from making location and expansion decisions that avoid geographic areas that have high minimum wages. Example: Buffalo Wild Wings decision to avoid expansion in cities like Seattle with $15 an hour minimum wage laws.
- It cannot stop firms from closing down or contracting their operations (and eliminating jobs) following a minimum wage hike.
- It cannot stop entrepreneurs and potential small business owners from deciding to not start new businesses, or to not expand their current businesses because of the higher labor costs from government-mandated minimum wages.
- It cannot stop manufacturing firms from outsourcing production overseas and it cannot stop service-sector firms from outsourcing call centers overseas.
Those 15 outcomes, and there are certainly more, represent the many ways that employers will respond to a $15 minimum wage to offset the increase in labor costs mandated by government fiat – and all of those responses disadvantage unskilled workers and reduce employment opportunities.
We can all agree that what we want is for as many Americans as possible to have GOOD JOBS, jobs that pay well and allow workers to live a good life. We can also agree that before you can get a good job, you first need A job, and those first jobs are almost always entry-level jobs.
If we wanted to design a perverse public policy that would minimize employment opportunities for unskilled, entry-level workers, and prevent as many of them as possible from finding their first job, an entry-level job that would put them on the path to eventually getting a really good job, we might propose a $15 an hour minimum wage law. That would guarantee that entry level jobs would be eliminated, and the higher the minimum wage, the more jobs that would be eliminated (see Henry Payne cartoons above).
On the other hand, if we want to maximize employment opportunities for as many Americans as possible, especially the most vulnerable among us (the unskilled, the poor, and minorities), we should NOT erect artificial barriers that will deny employment opportunities to those Americans, and we shouldn’t be outlawing jobs with minimum wage laws. Rather, we should allow market-determined wages to prevail, because we know from ECON 101 that market wages will maximize employment opportunities, while government-mandated wages are guaranteed to reduce employment opportunities.
In closing, remember that the real minimum wage is always zero, because that is the wage that thousands, possibly millions of workers will receive following a government-mandated $15 minimum wage, because they will either lose their jobs or fail to find jobs when they enter the labor force. That’s a very cruel public policy, and I urge the city of Minneapolis and the citizens of Minneapolis and Minnesota to reject that form of cruelty, a cruelty that would inflict the most harm on the most vulnerable and disadvantaged among us.
Bonus Venn Diagram: