Opening up all Schools and Youth Sports now

in between meetings but follow this guy --hope this helps bring clarity to the data

Cool! I only note this is a daily cases rate not the CDC 7 day case rate. He seems to have made the same mistake everyone else (including myself when I first looked at it) is making(unless the CDC made a mistake in how it describes it's guidance...."new cases per 100,000 persons in the last 7 days".....it doesn't say the daily average over a 7 day period). That's why a lot of the anti-lockdowners are outraged....unless it's a mistake by the CDC (which has been given lots of time to clarify now), they did it this way so that people would assume this is in support of school reopenings, when actually the plan is slightly more restrictive than California's tiers.
 
based on current trends, I think most of CA is 4-8 weeks from orange.

4: SF, San Mateo
5: SCC, Alameda
6: LA, Contra Costa, SLO, Sacto
7: rest of socal
8-Riverside, Imperial. (least confident in these two.)

So, SF might be able to play something Mar 16. Maybe.
Are counties still allowed to be more restrictive than the state guidelines? If so, don't get your hopes up in Santa Clara.
 
Yes thanks OC is in the CDC yellow so youth sports could occur if the CDC k-12 standard is used if that analysis is correct?

I still don't get how CDC is more restrictive like some have said? Seems less to me and more things could open up if CDC K-12 is used.
Because it’s cases by week. You have to multiply the daily rate by 5 and change. Most of the country and most of the state is cdc red.
 
This could be interesting.
I'm sure that most Del Mar / Rancho Santa Fe homeowners would be thrilled to see Via de La Valle have less traffic on weekends.
I just noticed this was posted on CA Youth Sports thread already with comments about it
 
Because it’s cases by week. You have to multiply the daily rate by 5 and change. Most of the country and most of the state is cdc red.
I can’t link it now but NBC 7 in San Diego has a map up of the cdc tiers in San Diego county. As of 2 days ago pretty much all the county is cdc red
 
Because it’s cases by week. You have to multiply the daily rate by 5 and change. Most of the country and most of the state is cdc red.

Ok but LA county schools can open if the daily case drop below 25 per 100k which they did so why can't CA just use that for youth sports also?

From that CDC link in the first post:
** Total new case per 100k during the past 7 days is calculated by adding the number of new cases in the county in the last 7 days divided by the population in the county and multiplying by 100,000

As of 2/16 daily cases in LA county are 1260 per day x 7 = 8,820. 8,820 / 10,000,000 (LA county population = .000882 x 100, 000 = 88.2

88.2 is in the CDC orange tier which is less restrictive vs the CA purple tier.

How is CDC more restrictive? Still doesn't add up unless I'm just not that great with math & these dashboards.

In any case I think we need some changes on the youth sports guidance to better reflect reality and all the other 48 states allowing them to play and open in March at the latest.
 
This could be interesting.
I'm sure that most Del Mar / Rancho Santa Fe homeowners would be thrilled to see Via de La Valle have less traffic on weekends.

Surf leases the polo fields from the city of San Deigo. I wonder what the lease has to say about illegal activity?
 
Ok but LA county schools can open if the daily case drop below 25 per 100k which they did so why can't CA just use that for youth sports also?

From that CDC link in the first post:
** Total new case per 100k during the past 7 days is calculated by adding the number of new cases in the county in the last 7 days divided by the population in the county and multiplying by 100,000

As of 2/16 daily cases in LA county are 1260 per day x 7 = 8,820. 8,820 / 10,000,000 (LA county population = .000882 x 100, 000 = 88.2

88.2 is in the CDC orange tier which is less restrictive vs the CA purple tier.

How is CDC more restrictive? Still doesn't add up unless I'm just not that great with math & these dashboards.

In any case I think we need some changes on the youth sports guidance to better reflect reality and all the other 48 states allowing them to play and open in March at the latest.

The 7 day average for daily cases right now on the la county web site is 32. That means la county is somewhere north of 200 right now per week. Even if you take the more favorable 29 of today we are still well north of the cdc red. Note the daily numbers take about 3 days to actually be totaled on the site so if you were using a raw number you’d have to use fridays raw count

Also the cdc guidelines do not permit contact sports until blue.
 
I can’t link it now but NBC 7 in San Diego has a map up of the cdc tiers in San Diego county. As of 2 days ago pretty much all the county is cdc red
Here's the story. San Diego County is as of a few days ago in the CDC red tier. That's why the CDC guidelines are so nefarious...at first glance they look like they are very lenient, but really they are quite as strict, almost in line with California. It's a school closures guidelines, not a school reopening. Real 1984 Ministry of Truth stuff I can't remember where I saw it but as of last weekend it would require the closure of 2500 out of 2700 counties schools and sports that are currently open.

 
Cool! I only note this is a daily cases rate not the CDC 7 day case rate. He seems to have made the same mistake everyone else (including myself when I first looked at it) is making(unless the CDC made a mistake in how it describes it's guidance...."new cases per 100,000 persons in the last 7 days".....it doesn't say the daily average over a 7 day period). That's why a lot of the anti-lockdowners are outraged....unless it's a mistake by the CDC (which has been given lots of time to clarify now), they did it this way so that people would assume this is in support of school reopenings, when actually the plan is slightly more restrictive than California's tiers.
Dang you’re right
 
Here's the story. San Diego County is as of a few days ago in the CDC red tier. That's why the CDC guidelines are so nefarious...at first glance they look like they are very lenient, but really they are quite as strict, almost in line with California. It's a school closures guidelines, not a school reopening. Real 1984 Ministry of Truth stuff I can't remember where I saw it but as of last weekend it would require the closure of 2500 out of 2700 counties schools and sports that are currently open.


This may have been posted but I believe this the calc methodology from the CDC:

"Total number of new cases per 100,000 persons within the last 7 days is calculated by adding the number of new cases in the county (or other community type) in the last 7 days divided by the population in the county (or other community type) and multiplying by 100,000."
 
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