Keep on believing in your "feelings". That will take you and others far.
Is US Mens/Boys Soccer Dead or Dying
- Thread starter watfly
- Start date
RandomSoccerFan, the expert on what kids dream about.
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
NorCalDad - the "I'm rational dude" (with a huge blind spot).
well the bottom line is your wrong in thinking that American Boys are choosing Soccer for their primary sport and the fact you want to argue about it is absolutely hilarious. Keep on dreaming that America will ever have a top tier men's soccer program.
Hmmm....this is interesting. Anyone seen the new MLSN pilot program drop in conjunction with Taka? In U13 and U14 they are introducing "quality of play" rankings . It doesn't say what it will really entail other than it moves it away from a pure athleticism/winning the game focus but instead will encourage teams to develop traits like "dominates possession".
More BS from the powers that be that completely ignore the "core" problems of US youth soccer development. Hey, we will change how we report the standings. Wah lah, our development problems are solved! Just like the following revolutionized youth soccer:
-DA
-2017 PDI's
-Calendar year age cutoff
-Build out line
-Bio banding
-MLS Next
-School year age cutoff
-etc
Our development system needs to be burnt to the ground, not having layers added to it.
I get what you're saying but the concept still holds true.
The very best of our athletes aren't attracted by youth soccer.
We now live in an environment where college athletes are officially professional athletes getting paid $5m+ a year. College soccer can't offer that... Even making MLS senior roster at 16 years old would be far far behind what college football and basketball stars make...
This might ruffle some feathers but I think we actually do alright with soccer on the global stage despite the fact that it's our like 6th most popular sport (by viewership, consumption, TV money, etc). We are in FIFA ranking 16th place?
C'mon, we are vastly ahead in 95 different sports - not to sound like an arrogant American...
Yea, it sucks that in the ONE sport that is truly global, we aren't the very best... but we can't be the best at everything... it is what it is. I've accepted it (somewhat sadly, since it is my favorite sport after being NFL and NBA fanatic for most of my earlier years).
There's really only one reason... soccer isn't all that popular in America... yes I know it's made some advances but it PALES in comparison to NBA or NFL or even college football...
NFL's media rights deal is $111 BILLION over 11 years... vs Apple's exclusive MLS deal is a 10 year $2.5 BILLION...
NFL's is 55 times larger! 55 times!
Go to a sports bar on a Sunday... or a college campus in the SEC on a gameday...
This is football country. It will always be.
(Side note: NBA's deal is $76 BILLION over 11 years...)
It's almost as if soccer is a team sport and a team playing for each other can beat a "better team of more individually talented players" that don't play as a team...
I would actually argue that the global reach of European soccer is hurting the growth of American soccer...
It helps in terms of more kids being interested in it and playing it at the youth level...
That's not what I'm saying....
What I'm saying is, for US soccer to truly grow, we need more people watching it, more people going to it, more people buying apparel...
But with easy access to EPL or La Liga or Ligue 1 on streaming platforms, many just watch European soccer and not MLS... because it's an immensely better product... Much the same way Europeans or Asians watch NBA games (they have their domestic leagues too... but they know NBA is a superior product)
My only point on this whole thing is that I've heard this argument many times over "our best athletes aren't playing soccer" without really any analysis if it has any weight to it. It sounds obvious on the surface, but I think when you look deeper at it (@Grace T. has a good response somewhere in this thread), it really isn't the reason why we're not more dominate at the international level. A very large chunk of NFL and NBA athletes don't have the prototypical soccer player body type. All sports lose players to other sports. I can come up with anecdotes all day long that shows this (just look at Jeff Samardzija at Notre Dame). I still stand by that our issue has nothing really to do with the amount of available athletes. There are other things (coaching, culture, field time, player identification, etc). There are about 1.5 million kids playing organized soccer between the ages of 13-17. The pool is huge.
1.5 million boys is still less than England, a small country with
40% of all boys in England participated in Soccer.
1.5 million is a low number in comparison to even a small country like England which has about the same number of boy players.
40% of ALL boys in England play soccer. When you have 40% exposure the chance of finding talent is much higher, specially in a country with a free youth academy system.
The US participation rate doesn't come close to that.
Of that 1.5 million probably less than 5% have the athletic ability to be world class. Then you look at how many have the means, access to proper coaching and development to be world class.
US has both a sport popularity and development system problem.
Even MLS Next clubs have part time coaches with barely a high school degree with negligible knowledge of sports science and youth physical and mental development.
There are 18,000 youth professional academy players in England. They play free. Of players given scholarship at 16 less than 2% are still in any of the 5 English pro leagues by 18 years old. Less than 20 players make it to the Premier League.
20 kids out of 2.4 million kids that play are world class in England.
20 kids out of 2.4 million kids that play are world class in England.
RandomSoccerFan
PREMIER
You continue to ignore the point. The pool isn't huge - and the many of the best potential players aren't in it. It's not just that all sports lose players to other sports. It's that soccer loses players to just about any other more popular sport - while those other sports aren't losing their best candidates to soccer. That's how popularity works. It's not just that the body types are extreme at the 0.001% level for some sports - is that at the 1% level, a whole bunch of them aren't even going to consider soccer due to its lack of popularity.
But it doesn't contain enough kids who are going to be good enough - and it isn't large enough to make up for that fact.
In California, if you took the skill players from a HS football team and put them up against a boys team from MLS Next/ECNL (or any upper tier teams) and had them compete in a variety of athletic events, the football players would destroy the soccer players in any strength events, but the soccer players would dominate the skill/coordination and endurance events. Speed events would probably be closer to a draw, but I'd still favor the soccer players overall. Football players prevailing in the strength events is because that is a big part of their training, where there is very little of that in soccer (although I believe it should take a larger role in soccer).
When my son started playing football in high school, I was surprised at the much higher coordination levels of the soccer players vs football players.
For speed, the math would be interesting and would vary depending on how good the program at the HS. If it's a good program, the WR might pull up the average to make up for the offensive and defensive linemen who tend to be heavier set. Really the overlap on the football field of athletes really are the WR, TE, QB, RB...maybe a DE.
To be fair I'm just talking about FB skill players.
This kid goes to a school in our league. He has offers from every top FB in the nation. He's a phenom.
He has the fastest time of any American, any age, in the 200m this year.
I do think coaching is a big problem. I'm not saying all youth coaching is bad. But for a country our size, we need MORE top level coaches and we simply don't have it.
So since we are trying to field a USMNT team vs the best of the world, I'm going to discount most of that 1.5 million.
What we need is more academy teams. In London - I was talking to a coach who moved from there - there are like a dozen fully funded teams. Was talking to a different French guy and same thing - dozen or so fully funded teams in and around Paris.
And due to smaller size of the countries, these academy teams play each other all the time. Whereas in our big ass country, we get a national showcase a couple of times a year. Yes, LA Galaxy and LAFC play other MLS Next clubs but minus a couple other teams in each age group, it's really not a challenge.
But we can't force more academy teams... force more MLS teams... there needs to be a demand and we simply don't have the demand for it in the US... I've posted somewhere else but it's FARRRRR behind other sports in terms of popularity and money vs NFL NBA MLB and even behind college football and basketball...
As a College Track coach who has trained many youth soccer players for speed, I can with 100% certainty say that soccer player are nowhere close to football players in sprint speed. Most soccer coaches don't know how to coach speed and the aerobic nature of soccer practices can kill proper sprint form.
The top youth football skill position players are way faster than soccer players.
Sorry but for strength, speed, and agility the comparison is not even close. Take any MLS pro put them in the NFL combine against WR and running backs and they would get destroyed.
Football trains, recruits, and pays lots of money for speed.