ECNL Girls Playoffs 2025

The chances of anyone forfeiting is zero. Especially due to cost. These are wealthy families. Youth soccer figured out how to exclude the regular folks a loooooooong time ago. $$$ As for rankings, everyone goes to Virginia expecting to win! They aint gonna forfeit to avoid losing.
I agree. Most of the time people get caught up in the madness. But, wait until the week after finals when things are getting back to normal because there will be some buyers remorse assuming your kids team didnt win it all. If there was a sense of impropriety because of the seeding the buyers remorse will be double.
 
Just took note of the brackets for the girls ECNL finals in Richmond. One age group (2011) has all three southern CA teams on the same side of the bracket. Two SoCal teams, from the same conference, having to play each other in the quarterfinals? Similar set up in other age groups as well. Tell us you hate west coast teams without telling us you hate west coast teams….
5 of the 6 age groups last year, there was a SoCal champion. Surf won 3 of them. Koge did well the year before. KSAT year in one age group, all 4 teams were from SoCal. ECNL isn’t stupid—they have to give the rest of the country a belief and a chance.
 
Im not complaining just pointing out that Socal is an ideal location for consistently winning ECNL clubs when it comes to rankings. Specifically because the not as consistent clubs are highly ranked and sometimes provide high goal losses.
I think you've landed on an explanation that doesn't make sense, and doesn't seem to be supported by game results. You believe that the SoCal Blues are an example of this variation? I've just gone through every one of their top teams, from 2015G through 2007G, and their results are anything but inconsistent. There are very few overperform or underperform results compared to their rating across the board. Some have only 1 or 2 game examples in the past year. If not the Blues, which teams do you think fit the model you've laid out, we can post the game histories to confirm.
 
I think you've landed on an explanation that doesn't make sense, and doesn't seem to be supported by game results. You believe that the SoCal Blues are an example of this variation? I've just gone through every one of their top teams, from 2015G through 2007G, and their results are anything but inconsistent. There are very few overperform or underperform results compared to their rating across the board. Some have only 1 or 2 game examples in the past year. If not the Blues, which teams do you think fit the model you've laid out, we can post the game histories to confirm.
I'm seeing a 0-5 game against 2010 Koge which occurred right after 4-0 and 6-0 out of league games. Which is exactly what I was talking about.

But yes other than that I agree they've been consistent.
 
I'm not sure we're interpreting it the same way. Here's the game background of that 2010 Blues team. They are a 48.66, ranked only 14th in the state, 55th nationally.

1.jpg

They mainly perform pretty close to that rating, with the green showing overperform, and red showing underperform. The 0-5 loss against Koge is in fact listed as underperform, but it's not by much - Koge is a 51, and the predicted estimate for that game is already a 0-3 loss.

2.jpg

The clear wins the previous month you list are over pretty lowly ranked teams, which aren't even listed as overperforms because they were expected to win 5-0 and 3-0 (and actually won 6-0 and 4-0).

3.jpg4.jpg

There is no mystery here, and nothing abnormal to explain away. This team isn't any more helpful to the rating of an opposing team, than any other.
 
I'm not sure we're interpreting it the same way. Here's the game background of that 2010 Blues team. They are a 48.66, ranked only 14th in the state, 55th nationally.

View attachment 29099

They mainly perform pretty close to that rating, with the green showing overperform, and red showing underperform. The 0-5 loss against Koge is in fact listed as underperform, but it's not by much - Koge is a 51, and the predicted estimate for that game is already a 0-3 loss.

View attachment 29098

The clear wins the previous month you list are over pretty lowly ranked teams, which aren't even listed as overperforms because they were expected to win 5-0 and 3-0 (and actually won 6-0 and 4-0).

View attachment 29097View attachment 29096

There is no mystery here, and nothing abnormal to explain away. This team isn't any more helpful to the rating of an opposing team, than any other.
Its nice to see the explanation of exactly what I said was happening.

1. Highly ranked
2. Plays other teams out of league and over performs
3. Plays against a team in league that consistently wins and underperforms

In this case Blues are exactly who Koge wants to play to maintain a high ranking.

Although I have no way to prove it. My gut tells me that teams that consistently win tend to work with players more long term while the teams that go up and down are chasing what they think is the next best player.
 
Back
Top