Hope y’all don’t mind if a casual outside observer plays devils advocate.
I think GAL just outmaneuvered ECNL and this is the beginning of the end for ECNL. I think USSF wanted to put all potential threats under one umbrella so they know which leadership groups to exclude in the future. This current group of kids will rotate out of the system soon, so it doesn’t matter much that ECNL currently has an advantage.
The new club soccer leadership will be with GAL. GAL will attract the next generation of players because they will hold the key to YNT call ups.
Can somebody please tell me why this ain’t so?
ECNL crushed GDA/USSF like a grape, despite the huge advantage GDA had by virtue of the USSF label. It did so because ECNL was built on a brilliant and financially successful platform, while GDA made no financial sense. And GAL is much the same as GDA, only fewer benefits.
GAL does not and never will hold the key to YNT call ups by virtue of the fact that the vast majority of the best players play ECNL, and there is no way to pry them away. GDA’s failure proved that. USSF tried to limit call ups to GDA players and that went horribly wrong. Regardless, the draw of the YNT is highly overrated as a means of attracting the best players, as also proven by GDA, and it is a grave mistake to build a business model around maybe 20 of your 10,000 paying customers. There are only a handful of kids in each age group who have a shot at the YNT, and most of them don’t even know that when they first choose between ECNL and GAL. But there are tens of thousands who are doing this for college, and that is where ECNL excels and USSF and GAL fail miserably. College is the be all, end all for girls soccer and always will be. Admission to Stanford, or UCLA or Berkeley or USC or Ivies is worth somewhere between $200-500k to families even without scholarship money, whereas YNT call ups only cause kids missed school so that daddy’s fragile self-esteem can get a boost. If a GAL club pitches that they have a potential advantage to maybe possibly play on a YNT some day, while a GDA club says they’ve got Radcliffe and Cromwell on speed dial and they show up to about 10 games a year, that is no contest and it never will be for parents, even if stupid 2nd tier soccer clubs get starry-eyed and delusional that an affiliation with USSF will allow them to jump the line without doing the work or putting in the investment. Just like what happened with GDA.
In the end, USSF has no power over girls youth soccer. None. It got beat not only by ECNL, but also by HS soccer. It was ridiculous to tell 10,000 kids they can’t play HS soccer because maybe 20 might get to play on a YNT some day. In the end, SoCal Blues alone had more power over the elite youth soccer landscape than USSF.
ECNL also has an infrastructure that cannot be matched by GAL. It has the perfect mix of travel requirements, regional showcases, and high level competition to excel in a financially sustainable way, with carefully chosen clubs to maximize that advantage. GAL is a bunch of leftovers that, in many places, make no sense and will require shelling out thousands of dollars on travel to play s**ty teams, or saving money by not traveling, instead playing s**ty local teams, depending where you are. There is no getting over that hurdle. That was also part of GDA’s downfall, although SoCal didn’t really see it because unlike most regions, there was enough talent that it wasn’t necessary to get on planes to play decent competition. But as clubs in other regions learned quickly, flying to UT to play one league game was a joke. But not flying to UT, and instead beating local teams 6-0 or worse over and over again is also a joke. That is the kind of impossible situation that many GAL clubs will be fighting constantly until they realize it is not sustainable and pack it in.
There is only room for one national youth league. Period. There is plenty of space, however, for lower level regional leagues to succeed, but it is simply too expensive for clubs and families to justify it. Clubs are asking families to pay more than what is justified for the sake of these clubs trying to get to someday supplant ECNL. That is a terrible business model. A great business model would be for solid SoCal clubs to form a solid regional league and pitch it to families that they get nearly the same benefit without having to shell out the extra thousands on travel. But it could only work regionally because there are only two or three areas in the entire US that can conceivably provide enough high level teams without having to constantly travel hundreds of miles.
Making an overly long story short, you can boil this down to the following:
1. If an elite CA team must get on a plane or drive more than 100 miles to play league games, the league will eventually fail.
2. If an elite CA team must get on a plane or drive more than 100 miles to play league games they won’t regularly win 6-0, the league will also fail.