Its obvious things wont return to some what normal till 2022
Things will get better. Within two months for example well see seniors start to crawl out of their exiles. Now that California has actually moved to vaccinate seniors the death rate will start to drop in March. Seasonally we’ll follow the same pattern as elsewhere which means our curve (already past peak in la county) will come down though slowly. Kids may not be back in school this year and maybe hybrid and shut down for parts of next but sports and schools will resume (but be disrupted by periodic outbreaks). A lot depends on whether the other vaccines get approved and when and if so we’ll be cranking it
but I think you are right about some things, especially California. Things won’t be back to normal til after the 2021-2022 flu season. I have a hard time seeing tournaments and away camps this summer particularly without vaccines for the younger. People who had settled on 6 weeks-a season-the election-new year-a year of this will crack. The damage to the economy is being vastly understated and held in stasis by the federal covid policy but that bubble just keeps getting bigger and bigger since money has nowhere else to go right now. Even if newsom gets recalled (and he should) it will come too late to do much good. Then towards the end of 2021 we get the vaccine wars
2020: I’m the worst most scary most awful year ever
2031: here...hold my beer