After decades of amusing ourselves, myself and the women that mattered in the decision process had exactly the number of children we intended.
Bad News Thread
- Thread starter kickingandscreaming
- Start date
After decades of amusing ourselves, myself and the women that mattered in the decision process had exactly the number of children we intended.
70,000,000 children got left behind old man since 1972. Not cool and not smart at all. You shall see sir very soon why it's not wise to terminate a life that was not intended but was conceived anyways because. This is why were in the mess were in. It's always been about the babies and kiddos and making sure they live free. Dont you ever ever forget that Espola. This planet is a planet that was supposed to bread life and multiply. It's obvious some assholes want to kill the weak and have population control. That is a loser plan and will get destroyed by the Author of Life. Dont mess with kids dude.....
Bruddah IZ
DA
Lol. "Caution acknowledged". Great ECNL weekend at the Polo Fields.
It was just like old times Bruddah. I was looking up at the houses on the hill that look down on all the kids and are trying to stop soccer in Del Mar and i had a little chuckle in my belly and a few other thoughts in my brain
Happy Monday Brudda man
Bruddah IZ
DA
Did deaths tag along?
Bruddah IZ
DA
I was on field 5. I was the one with 20 mask on.It was just like old times Bruddah. I was looking up at the houses on the hill that look down on all the kids and are trying to stop soccer in Del Mar and i had a little chuckle in my belly and a few other thoughts in my brain
Bruddah IZ
DA
BTW if it is CAUTION you seek, read the vaccine trials.
I was on field 1 and I was the one WHO got yelled at again for breaking the mask rule. I actually had someone say you better get that mask over your nose or we could lose this gig and it will be all your fault. I told her to worry about the lady from ABC news and the dudes up on the hill. I think were all trying to break a few stupid rules and I believe the mask is the biggest scam put on us ever. Talk about selling us ketchup popsicles....lol!!!
kickingandscreaming
PREMIER
5 weeks down - 1 to 9 to go.
Well, we have been down for 9 straight days. When more contagious variants take over, we should expect a sustained increase unless vaccinations and seroprevalence are enough to overcome the higher R. The "bump" in late February is partially caused by testing anomalies due to the storm - taking TX out smooths the curve noticeably - and maybe a bit of Super Bowl effect (just a guess).
NY Times has us at over 18% with the vaccine as of Sunday. I'd expect it to be near 21% by the end of this week with more vulnerable folks vaccinated at a much higher rate. I'd guess that the distribution of newer cases has to be moving much more toward the younger population. If the behavior of younger people is "riskier" in terms of the virus, the effective R will not be as significantly impacted by the vaccinations %. However, we should see a significant reduction in the case fatality rate with older folks being vaccinated.
Bruddah IZ
DA
Sad to see the religious adherence to the COVID Robes.
Bruddah IZ
DA
Can you overlay deaths on this same chart?
A. Women?
B. Amusing yourself ain’t exactly a “conservative” value
C. This image ruined my breakfast.
kickingandscreaming
PREMIER
Here you go. As context, I started this post 5 weeks ago when epidemiologist Michael Osterholm indicated the following
Osterholm predicted that B117, the more contagious strain of the virus that is sweeping England and has been found in pockets of the United States, will become the dominant strain of the virus in the country. “If we see that happen, which my 45 years in the trenches tell us we will, we are going to see something like we have not seen yet in this country,”
Coronavirus: 53 new deaths, 110 new cases in Orange County on March 7
Can you take a look at OC death counts from Rona? It seems like everyday 50+ deaths and under 200 cases. The other day it was 69 deaths and only 208 cases. What is going on?
If you’re worried about vaccine resistant variants, why do you want to open now instead of June? Running high case rates while halfway vaccinated is how you create vaccine resistant variants.
90% was assuming an 80% vaccination rate and 50% infection rate (past + future) among the unvaccinated.
If you have it, send links for the scale of the Italian school outbreak problem, and estimate of seroprevalence in Italy. If Lombardy has 80% seroprevalence and is still seeing 3 elementary school outbreaks per week, that’s interesting. If Lombardy has 50% seroprevalence and has enough school outbreaks for a reporter to find one as a human interest angle, that’s merely expected.
I’m saying less that covid goes away, and more that the covid fight will shift to the variants- first b.1.117, and then to any vaccine resistant variants that are around. The last is the most important.
If you are measuring what will happen with variants, you need to ask how long it will take something like Eeek or P.1 to grow to 100k cases per day. If we have around 10 cases per day now, then we have about 13 doublings before it happens. 16 doublings if we are currently at 1-2 cases per day. Half year? Maybe hits late fall, once the summer stops helping us? I haven’t seen anything on how fast the smaller variants are growing, so this doesn’t even count as a SWAG.
I was responding to your statement "people locked in with nothing to do weren’t exactly amusing themselves" by citing a continuation of what I believe you meant by "amusing themselves" that resulted in no surprise children.
Or did you have something else in mind?
Desert Hound
DA
A year into the pandemic, we easily forget that the lockdowns and other draconian restrictions were imposed as a temporary measure to “flatten the curves” and prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. We did that successfully. Months ago.
No one signed up for living in lockdown indefinitely.
Desert Hound
DA
RETRACTED ARTICLE: Stay-at-home policy is a case of exception fallacy: an internet-based ecological study - Scientific Reports
A recent mathematical model has suggested that staying at home did not play a dominant role in reducing COVID-19 transmission. The second wave of cases in Europe, in regions that were considered as COVID-19 controlled, may raise some concerns. Our objective was to assess the association between...
www.nature.com
View attachment 10341
RETRACTED ARTICLE: Stay-at-home policy is a case of exception fallacy: an internet-based ecological study - Scientific Reports
A recent mathematical model has suggested that staying at home did not play a dominant role in reducing COVID-19 transmission. The second wave of cases in Europe, in regions that were considered as COVID-19 controlled, may raise some concerns. Our objective was to assess the association between...
"With our results, we were not able to explain if COVID-19 mortality is reduced by staying at home"