here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (10/5). home is listed first. was big weekend with a number of matches to watch.
SoCal Games
predict: LA Galaxy 1 vs LAFC 4. Actuals: LA Galaxy 0 vs LAFC 5
note: sounds like - without JO (injury) and BT (in Croatia w/ the 04s) for LAG - as expected, LAFC had their way w/ LAG. RW for LAFC had three. SR had two. Of note, EM for LAG also travelled to Croatia w/ BT and the 04s.
predict: Real SoCal 2 vs Barca Academy 1 Actuals: Real SoCal 2 vs Barca Academy 1
note: as expected. RSC came to play and was up 2-0 at half. Barca got one back late. Any commentary/insight on this one? MMG and GE (formerly of SD Surf) are handfuls on the front line. Would be interesting to hear how RSC handled these two. Also, is BR for Barcelona all that?
predict: San Jose Earthquakes 2 vs FC Golden State 1 Actuals: San Jose Earthquakes 5 vs FC Golden State 2.
note: FCG was just off a decent result - 1-1 tie - with LAFC and per game report, was tied 1-1 at half. But Quakes owned the 2nd half for the 5-2 result. per the game report, looks like FCG did not roster - for some reason - VM, who is their leading goal scorer w/ 1.11 goals scored per 80 minutes played.
Any commentary/insight into the "why" btw the LAFC and the SJ results? Non-trivial travel for 15 year olds but still. Missing VM seems like it was big deal for FCG...
predict: Strikers 2 vs Crossfire Premier 2 Actuals: Strikers 2 vs Crossfire Premier 2
note: as expected was a solid match. Per game report, Crossfire scored first but Strikers quickly tied it and then went ahead. Crossfire came back for the tie int eh 68th minute. Any commentary here?
predict: Arsenal 1 vs San Diego Surf 2 Actuals: pending - does any one have results here?
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 vs TFA 1 Actuals: Real Salt Lake 1 vs TFA 2 (thanks soccerdad 79!)
note: have to credit TFA for their results this season, particularly in the bigger games (eg, vs LAG and RSL). TFA lost a significant number of players from 2018-19 but seem to be regrouping at a decent pace. Meanwhile, RSL continues to not quite perform to expectations given their roster.
per game report, TFA went ahead early for a 1-0 lead at ht. RSL tied it late but TFA put in the game winner at the 77th minute. of note, TFA played five 06s who averaged 74 minutes each and included one 06 who scored TFA's first goal.
seems like a fun match to watch. Any other commentary on this one?
P.S. had written in the predict "note: the algo has this as a 1-1 tie with the slight edge to TFA, but the algo doesn't have a lot of data on RSL, so it's wrong." my apologies to the algo...
predict: Pateadores 2 vs LAUFA 2 Actuals: Pateadores 2 vs LAUFA 5
note: game report says that Pats went ahead early for 1-0 lead at ht. LAUAF tied it right after the 2nd h but it stayed 1-1 until the last ten minutes or so, when LAUFA scored four more in quick succession. Pats also got one more to make the final result 5-2 LAUFA.
Looks like the Pats played their XI for the full 80 and they just wore down. does anyone have more commentary/insight into this one?
predict: Silicon Valley SA 1 vs Nomads 1 Actuals: Silicon Valley SA 3 vs Nomads 3
note: higher scoring than predicted but the expected result. per game report, looks like SVSA had the edge w/ a 3-2 lead at ht but Nomads came back late for the tie. does anyone have more commentary/insight into this one?
predict: Breakers 0 vs Nomads 1 Actuals: Breakers 1 vs Nomads 5
note: Nomads had this one pretty well in hand, scoring three in the first 20 minutes. Not sure if Breakers not that good, or if Nomads stepped it up. does anyone have more commentary/insight into this one?
predict: Breakers 1 vs Albion 2 Actuals: Breakers 1 vs Albion 4
note: looks like a simple case of match-ups w/ Albion's AG too much for the breakers.
predict: Silicon Valley SA 3 vs Albion 1 Actuals: Silicon Valley SA 2 vs Albion 0
predict: Strikers 2 vs Barca 1 Actuals: Strikers 0 vs Barca 2
note: surprising result here. maybe the former SD Surf's familiarity/rivalry w/ the Strikers (eg, last SD Surf vs Strikers match in 2018-19 - before the SD Surf players went their separate ways - was a 6-4 result for the Strikers that featured three SD Surf cards including a send-off) gave Barca the edge. does anyone have more commentary/insight into this one?
predict: Real So Cal 1 vs Crossfire Premier 4 Actuals: Real So Cal 2 vs Crossfire Premier 1 (thanks Ozzie!)
note: this was a solid win for RSC and put them in first for their DA Cup group, which is likely one of the toughest in the country. per the game report, RSC scored first in the 13th minute, xfire tied at the 25th minute but RSC came right back to go ahead 2-1 at the 26th minute. per Ozzie, xfire had a pk in the 2nd half which was blocked by RSC's goalie. (thanks Ozzie!)
also, per Ozzie, "Crossfire traveled without their starting Goalie, and their starting #6 Holding Mid."
does anyone have more commentary/insight into this one? sounds like a fun match to watch.
Non-SoCal Games (for reference)
predict: CO Rapids 1 vs Real Colorado 2 Actuals: CO Rapids 2 vs Real Colorado 0
predict: De Anza Force 3 vs Sacramento Republic 5 Actuals: De Anza Force 1 vs Sacramento Republic 1
predict: Portland Timbers 2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps 1 Actuals: Portland Timbers 2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps 1
predict: San Jose Earthquakes 2 vs De Anza Force 0 Actuals: San Jose Earthquakes 2 vs De Anza Force 2 (thanks Beechwood!)