What is AZ doing to reduce transmission while you open up?
What's your best guess as to when trainings will resume?
- Thread starter gkmom
- Start date
What is AZ doing to reduce transmission while you open up?
Messi>CR7
GOLD
That is indeed a very smart question. Here is the data for Orange County for those who enjoy making decisions based on actual data
. I complied this off OC Health's website, so I can understand it better myself (also too much free time at home).Y-axis is the % of people who took the test and was positive (7-day rolling average).
My takeaways:
-Yes, the number of daily new cases is not going down in OC, but we're also administering more tests now compared to March/April.
-The average rate of positive tests has gone down from the April peak by roughly 50%.
-I'm frustrated and frankly don't quite understand why our curve cannot trend down further like the curves you see from many other countries.
Soccermaverick
SILVER ELITE
I’m not sure, either. Other countries did harder lockdowns than US ever managed. It may have been more effective in reducing the resevior of disease in the community.That is indeed a very smart question. Here is the data for Orange County for those who enjoy making decisions based on actual data
Y-axis is the % of people who tested positive (7-day rolling average).
View attachment 7422
My takeaways:
-Yes, the number of daily new cases is not going down in OC, but we're also administering more tests now compared to March/April.
-The average rate of positive tests has gone down from the April peak by roughly 50%.
-I'm frustrated and frankly don't quite understand why our curve cannot trend down further like the curves you see from many other countries.
We have pockets doing well. San Jose is down around 1%. Washington state is also pretty good. But a large part of those areas can telecommute. In SJ, our stores and downtowns are pretty empty. Everything just feels quiet. But there is no question we all are giving each other space.
Unfortunately I think this table might indicate a big reason why the US has been affected so heavily by Coivd19.
OBESITY - ADULT PREVALENCE RATE
| RANK | COUNTRY | (%) | DATE OF INFORMATION |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NAURU | 61.00 | 2016 |
| 2 | COOK ISLANDS | 55.90 | 2016 |
| 3 | PALAU | 55.30 | 2016 |
| 4 | MARSHALL ISLANDS | 52.90 | 2016 |
| 5 | TUVALU | 51.60 | 2016 |
| 6 | NIUE | 50.00 | 2016 |
| 7 | TONGA | 48.20 | 2016 |
| 8 | SAMOA | 47.30 | 2016 |
| 9 | KIRIBATI | 46.00 | 2016 |
| 10 | MICRONESIA, FEDERATED STATES OF | 45.80 | 2016 |
| 11 | KUWAIT | 37.90 | 2016 |
| 12 | UNITED STATES | 36.20 | 2016 |
| 13 | JORDAN | 35.50 | 2016 |
| 14 | SAUDI ARABIA | 35.40 | 2016 |
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2228rank.html
As we know, obesity is one of three significant underlying conditions for those that struggle with the virus
kickingandscreaming
PREMIER
We need to see this with the added trend line of new covid-related hospital admittances.That is indeed a very smart question. Here is the data for Orange County for those who enjoy making decisions based on actual data
Y-axis is the % of people who took the test and was positive (7-day rolling average).
View attachment 7422
My takeaways:
-Yes, the number of daily new cases is not going down in OC, but we're also administering more tests now compared to March/April.
-The average rate of positive tests has gone down from the April peak by roughly 50%.
-I'm frustrated and frankly don't quite understand why our curve cannot trend down further like the curves you see from many other countries.
Similar chart (I think) for San Diego from the San Diego Union Tribune.That is indeed a very smart question. Here is the data for Orange County for those who enjoy making decisions based on actual data
Y-axis is the % of people who took the test and was positive (7-day rolling average).
View attachment 7422
My takeaways:
-Yes, the number of daily new cases is not going down in OC, but we're also administering more tests now compared to March/April.
-The average rate of positive tests has gone down from the April peak by roughly 50%.
-I'm frustrated and frankly don't quite understand why our curve cannot trend down further like the curves you see from many other countries.
jpeter
PREMIER
So youth sports are basically stuck in the "guidance" zone and not yet permitting due to stay at home https://covid19.ca.gov/stay-home-except-for-essential-needs/#top
although there is local control of stage 3 noted the state has to provide the "how". how they can open by releasing specific guidance for that industry or entity. Once that is released then it's up to the county public health people to decide "when" to open things back up.
right now no new "guidance" has been issued or received to proceed so until additional guidance is issued by the state youth sports is in a holding pattern.
although there is local control of stage 3 noted the state has to provide the "how". how they can open by releasing specific guidance for that industry or entity. Once that is released then it's up to the county public health people to decide "when" to open things back up.
right now no new "guidance" has been issued or received to proceed so until additional guidance is issued by the state youth sports is in a holding pattern.
For San Diego County...you will have to add your own trendline but its clearly downward. (Yes, Team Buzzkill the last 10 days may not have complete data, but its distinctly downward even prior to that)
And what reduces child and teen obesity? Team sports. So we may be doing more damage to the youth of america by making them stay inside then coronavirus every would.
100% agree....there is also a correlation between vitamin D deficiency and severity of Covid symptoms. Which may shed some light as to why cases in some states like AZ aren’t going down dramatically but the hospitalization rates are.
Desert Hound
DA
Desert Hound
DA
Note the chart of deaths in AZ I just posted above. So while the state of AZ is showing increased cases (we have ramped up testing) take a look at deaths per day and see how fast those are dropping off.
The chart above comes from the state of AZ.
The club fees are still being collected, very few refunds.
Just talked to a friend driving back from Havasu. She is coming home because she has a fever and doesn't feel good. She is going to self quarantine. She wants to be home if she is sick. Worried for her.
The Outlaw *BANNED*
PREMIER
Wow. What is the club's justification for that? We're doing video training and asking for 'donations' from those that are able.
A little more on the virus and children, according to the CDC, the fatality total among children under 18 without an underlying condition is 1. .
https://thehill.com/opinion/education/500349-science-says-open-the-schools
So obesity can cut life expectancy by 8 years, extreme obesity can cut life expectancy up to 14 years. 18.5% are obese between ages 6-11 and 20% are obese between the ages of 12-19. Those numbers are sure to go up with stay at home rules. I'm fine with parents staying in cars during practice, but let the kids out. They need it. From rec to club our kids need to be active. Team sports helps them be active. That isn't even counting the emotional and mental aspects that sports helps with.
JumboJack
SILVER ELITE
I'm no mathematician but that would be somewhere in the neighborhood of 0.0001% or so +/- </> give or take....