I am not arguing with your numbers, they are in the wheelhouse. And I agree that most WNT players come from a small number of college programs. You also have to realize that those leagues also are top heavy and don't nearly have the quality of teams top to bottom that are near the top of D1. Maybe with more money they will get better but as has already been proven on the men's side of UEFA, the top teams have many players from Africa, South America and beyond and aren't simply composed of homegrown talent.
I love the debate and look forward to your reply.
The league growth is really just starting to take off in Europe. While we have had some false starts with our own women's league over the same time frame, unlike Europe we had the college game. Europe truly relies on a professional academy model. Without professional leagues there really is nothing comparable in Europe to our collegiate system, a system that is well over 30 years old and still growing. European women have had nowhere to play until just a decade ago if they didn't come to our colleges.
https://www.latimes.com/sports/socc...p-soccer-worldwide-growth-20190603-story.html
And if numbers are low at the youth level clubs like Barcelona are doing this:
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/06/sports/barcelona-girls-soccer-womens-world-cup.html
My kid plays up a couple of years and also plays with boys and I've had to fight hard with club coaches to utilize all the possible opportunities while they are available. That I HAVE to struggle to find coaches who are progressive enough is another problem we have.
That side bar aside, in regards to the leagues being top heavy in Europe many of the leagues have promotion relegation, which obviously means 2nd tier leagues. Those second tier leagues we can consider our D1 mid majors. But as the girls youth system continues to grow in numbers the European model should be able to easily match our collegiate system with more upside to surpass it in the coming years. And on top of it, our colleges sit here with open arms for many of the European women who simply don't make their own pro academies.
And culturally, I think the women's game is different here in the U.S. than the men's side. I expect our player pool to stay very, very large and very talented which will always keep us in the mix but to stay dominant the NWSL needs to be twice its current size and more women need to go directly and skip college. The problem is kids can't afford to go pro here for what NWSL amounts to be just a summer league. Many players go to Australia when NWSL ends just to keep the checks coming.