If Republicans still think Trump is their salvation, midterms will be closer than you think.
case in point: Larry Elder x Gavin Newsome
Vaccine
- Thread starter Multi Sport
- Start date
case in point: Larry Elder x Gavin Newsome
People have been wondering about why if the vaccines really reduce transmission, we can still be seeing these huge spikes in highly vaxxed places like the UAE, Ireland, the UK, Gibraltar and Vermont. Here's an interesting critique of the math behind the efficiency studies: because of the way they define boosted and vaxxed, it leads to an exaggeration (by five to twenty percent) of their efficiency.
boriquagato.substack.com
bayesian datacrime: defining vaccine efficacy into existence
how the definitions of "full vaccinated" and now "boosted" are exaggerating (and possibly creating from whole cloth) VE and turning the data into gibberish
boriquagato.substack.com
Soccermaverick
SILVER ELITE
kickingandscreaming
PREMIER
Agreed. Dramatic events, such as COVID, tend to force people off auto-pilot.
Desert Hound
DA
The midterms wont have trump or desantis, etc running. Off year.
Biden and his policies and the proposals put out by congress will be on the ballet so to speak. And the big one...covid policies
Dems need to take a page out of Adams book on crime, Colorado's governor on Covid and hope the supply chain crisis resolves itself on its own (since Biden isn't doing anything) and puts some downward pressure on inflation. They will also need to grow a pair on schools, or at least grow one, so they aren't on their knees for the unions. I'd say they need to grow a pair on the border, but since that will never happen, they just need to continue their current strategy of "nothing to see here". It will also help them if the Republicans don't punt on Trump. They couldn't care less about my opinion but I think its what they need to do to have any chance at midterms. Of course, this assumes that Biden and Harris are kept in the basement as much as possible.
But the Dems will act like Trump is running. A deft politician should be able to mitigate that, though.
The problem here is that the inflationary pressures have hit as much that the fed has to do something about it (and the anticipation of it doing that, particularly as things are going to get worse if there is a war in Europe, caused the market tumble yesterday). The feds are going to have to increasingly tap the breaks on the money supply which will cause the economy to crunch up. If Biden thinks he has it bad right now, it's going to get ALOT worse. I said it before: Trump was actually kind of lucky not to get reelected as these four years were destined to be a challenge for any president except those of the greatest ability (and that wasn't Trump....as a political novice he was basically learning on the job). Biden may have made the situation worse with his preferences (the spending/the catering to blue state COVID hysteria/the teachers union support) but much of this was always baked in.
Twitter did the Rs a favor by silencing Trump. He's in the background increasingly and his preferred to run against De Santis keeps slipping. Short of Trump going on Joe Rogan, the midterms should be a straight up referendum on Biden.
Hard to distance from Trump in the general if you need Trump’s endorsement to win the primary.
I don't think that's true, but we will shall see. I don't believe there are that many Trump zealots in the party (just some of the loudest), most of us just tolerated him because his policies were decent and the economy was great. I know others will disagree, but Youngkin did a pretty good job at keeping Trump at arms-length.
I think for the mid-terms if the R candidate can just be pro-child, and not anti-parent, they will have a great shot at winning.
Not that they are running, but that some R’s hitch their wagons to Trump which alienates many “Centralists” or left of Center D’s
Funny thing….I received an email from the DNC about Biden Harris and a Poll on where they should be focusing on their policy moving forward. I don’t know how live the numbers are, but I found it very interesting that Covid Policy was near the bottom.
This is classic duality thinking bro. The cheaters on the left and the right don't give two cents about a blood bath with moms. They feed off war bro. I call it, The War Reef. Sharks and snake oil cons. This is not a Right vs Left. It never was and you need to trust me on this. It's only about, "what is right & true." Nothing else. What side are you on? Don't pick a man made side. Pick truth first and then follow it wherever it leads you. We all no we got lied to by now. You know it and I know it. So what's you gonna do about bro?
Hüsker Dü
DA
I notice some conventional Republicans are now using an ignore trump and run against Biden strategy. Seems smart but will it work with the trump-zombie base? They need brains to feed on, grievances to be aggrieved about, straw men to battle, conspiracies to theorize on!
what-happened
GOLD
what would you do without them? better yet, what would your favorite media outlets do without them? They've been amplifying their relevance for some time now. It's like 2022 or something right?
I hope its neither a pro-Trump or anti-Biden campaign. We got Trump because he wasn't Obama and we got Biden because he wasn't Trump and look where that has gotten us. Time to get back to policies and neither side should pander to their zombie ends. Messaging needs to be simple. For the R's they need to focus on the children and the economy. I don't think the D's focus on racism and climate change will get them very far in the current environment. However, what both parties need desperately is accountability.
Desert Hound
DA
Assuming that is actual D voters that is their problem. Their top is climate change. Your typical person is worried about finances (the economy), their kids in schools etc.
Kind of shows (if true) how out of touch they are.
what-happened
GOLD
Biden admin withdraws temporary vaccine-or-test mandate for large employers
The Occupational Safety and Health Administration announced Tuesday that it is withdrawing the Biden administration's temporary COVID-19 vaccine-or-test requirement for large employers.The big picture: OSHA said it made the decision to withdraw the mandate following the Supreme Court's decision...
Then there's this.
Desert Hound
DA
It is seeing stuff like this time and time again which sour the public on the covid policies and the politicians who promote them.
#DontBrowbeatMyPete 😡 | National Review
I still haven’t stopped shaking after last night’s attack on Peter Doocy.
www.nationalreview.com