Chances of a men's DI NCAA tournament game in So Cal

Since UCLA lost 2-3 at Cal today, they cannot get to .500 with one game remaining and thus are out of the NCAA tournament this year, after 34 years in a row making the field.
 
So Cal men's teams still in the mix --

Bakersfield - if they win the WAC tournament in Las Vegas next weekend, and they will need 3 wins to sweep it
http://rpiupdatemenssoccer.blogspot.com/2017/10/western-athletic-conference-tournament.html

Fullerton - if they win Big West final at Davis next Saturday
http://rpiupdatemenssoccer.blogspot.com/2017/10/big-west-conference-tournament.html

San Diego - RPI at 40 is just in the at-large window - one game left at Santa Clara
http://rpiupdatemenssoccer.blogspot.com/search/label/Tournament Projection
 
Bakersfield is out, losing 0-3 to Seattle in the WAC tournament. The remaining So Cal team in the mix is San Diego, and even if they hang on to an at-large spot (one game remaining at Santa Clara Saturday), they're not getting a home game.

Interesting comment from Sandon Mibut on Bigsoccer.com -- "Also note that this is San Diego coach Seamus McFadden's final game after being at the program as HC since 1981. If USD wins, expect the committee to give them the benefit of the doubt for one of the final at-large slots."
 
Since there is no chance now that there will be any home games in the men's tournament in So Cal, let's expand a bit into the west in general. Using GauchoDan's RPI page and Tournament Projection page as guides, the only western team likely to get a bye in the first round is Stanford (12). Possible home teams are SMU (18), Air Force (20), Washington(28), California (30), and Portland (31). Travelers are Pacific (36), San Diego(39), Denver* (55), Davis* (60)/Fullerton* (109), Seattle*(52)/ UNLV*(87)/San Jose State*(98).

*if conference tournament champion.
 
Fullerton is in as Big West Conference representative, drawing 0-0 at Davis and winning the kicking exhibition 4-3. San Diego's fortunes depend on its game tonight at Santa Clara.
 
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