So you are predicting a Biden win?
Idk. I do think Trump is beatable, which isn't always the case with incumbents. Although who knows what the country will be like in November?
I think there are some big issues for Biden, that don't have any easy answers. For instance I'm seeing Andrew Cumo on the news everyday, but not Biden. Now that we are going to start opening the country up, does this mean the Cumo's and Newsom's are going to give up the center stage? Or are they going to hog up the air time "saving lives" as the economy falters around them.
Likewise, Sanders and the progressives are going to demand airtime so they can turn moderates into lefties.
All of that works against Biden. So I'm not sure Biden is going to win.