Here's Allwhitekit's "Bracketology" for the dance.
http://www.allwhitekit.com/
NCAA – Chris’ Bracketology v5.5
Updated after October 20 matches. Next update: After October 22 matches.
* before conference indicates projected auto-bid winner is current league leader as all conference teams have played half of league schedule.
I’m now utilizing two different models for bracketology. The “aggressive” model goes further up and down the bubble based on past precedent to potentially identify teams that should be in or out of the field. The “conservative” model is what I’ve been using for the past month. This only applies to the bubble, as seeding is consistent across both models.
Aggressive Model
*America East – New Hampshire*
*AAC – [1] UCF*, South Florida, Cincinnati
*Atlantic 10 – La Salle*
*ACC – [1] North Carolina*, [1] Duke, [4] Wake Forest, [4] Virginia, Notre Dame, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Clemson
*A-Sun – Lipscomb*
*Big 12 – [2] West Virginia, [3] Texas, Oklahoma State*, TCU
*Big East – Georgetown*, Butler
*Big Sky – Eastern Washington*
*Big South – High Point*
*Big Ten – [2] Penn State, [3] Ohio State*, Rutgers, Minnesota, Northwestern, Michigan
*Big West – Cal State Northridge*
*CAA – Hofstra*
*C-USA – Rice*
*Horizon – Northern Kentucky*
*Ivy – Columbia*, Princeton
*MAAC – Monmouth*
*MAC – Kent State*
*MVC – Drake*
*Mountain West – San Jose State*
*NEC – Fairleigh Dickinson*
*OVC – Murray State*
*Pac-12 – [2] Stanford*, [4] UCLA, Cal, Arizona, USC, Washington State
*Patriot – Navy*
*SEC – [1] South Carolina*, [2] Texas A&M, [3] Tennessee, [3] Auburn, [4] Florida, Alabama, Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Arkansas
*SoCon – Furman*
*Southland – McNeese State*
*SWAC – Howard*
*Summit – Oral Roberts*
*Sun Belt – Texas State*
WCC – Pepperdine*, Santa Clara
*WAC – UMKC*
Conservative Model
*America East – New Hampshire*
*AAC – [1] UCF*, South Florida, Cincinnati, Memphis
*Atlantic 10 – La Salle*
*ACC – [1] North Carolina*, [1] Duke, [4] Wake Forest, [4] Virginia, Notre Dame, Florida State, NC State, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Boston College
*A-Sun – Lipscomb*
*Big 12 – [2] West Virginia, [3] Texas, Oklahoma State*
*Big East – Georgetown*
*Big Sky – Eastern Washington*
*Big South – High Point*
*Big Ten – [2] Penn State, [3] Ohio State*, Rutgers, Minnesota, Northwestern
*Big West – Cal State Northridge*
*CAA – Hofstra*
*C-USA – Rice*
*Horizon – Northern Kentucky*
*Ivy – Columbia*, Princeton
*MAAC – Monmouth*
*MAC – Kent State*
*MVC – Drake*
*Mountain West – San Jose State*
*NEC – Fairleigh Dickinson*
*OVC – Murray State*
*Pac-12 – [2] Stanford*, [4] UCLA, Cal, Arizona, USC, Washington State
*Patriot – Navy*
*SEC – [1] South Carolina*, [2] Texas A&M, [3] Tennessee, [3] Auburn, [4] Florida, Alabama, Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, LSU
*SoCon – Furman*
*Southland – McNeese State*
*SWAC – Howard*
*Summit – Oral Roberts*
*Sun Belt – Texas State*
WCC – Pepperdine*, Santa Clara
*WAC – UMKC*
Differences between the two models:
-Arkansas, Butler, Michigan, TCU are in the field in the aggressive model but not considered, being out of the bubble in the conservative model.
-LSU & Boston College are in the field in the conservative model and out of it in the aggressive model
-Cincinnati, Rice, NC State, and Memphis are all safely in the field in the conservative model. NC State & Memphis would not make the field in the aggressive model.
-Bubble & IN in both models – Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt, Minnesota, Northwestern, Washington State, Clemson
-Bubble & OUT in both models – Wisconsin, Florida Gulf Coast, Washington, Saint Louis, Colorado, Mississippi State, Marquette
This entry was posted in
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October 21, 2017 by
Chris Henderson.