2007 DA

note: LAUFA always seems to be a mystery wrapped in an enigma. They consistently have good to very good players but just as consistently have inconsistent results.

The enigma continues...
 
LAGSD 2-1 over Nomads. Nomads surprisingly dominated the first half, particularly at midfield. Scored one but missed too many other opportunities including a PK. LAGSD adjusted the 2nd half and had the bulk of the possession. Scored a goal early in 2nd half and then a wacky own goal for the win.

Heard SDSC 4-1 over Strikers.
 
It seems to be that SDSC is making a comeback. Good for them, they seem to have a very competitive group of boys. It will great to see so many Academy teams this weekend in OC.
 
Anybody get that form for Friday to take to school? School gave my kid the "get out of here" "soccer showcase!" Yeah Right

I chuckled when I saw that letter, like California schools give a flying f#@& about US Soccer. California schools get paid when you show up to school. For US Soccer to think that it would carry any weight with the schools is just another example of its arrogance.

I sense my son is coming down with a cold on Friday.
 
here's predicts for this coming weekend (11/9). home team is listed first.

San Diego
Albion 2 - SC del Sol 3
Albion 1 - Real Salt Lake 4
Chula Vista 1 - Real Salt Lake 5
Chula Vista 1 - SC del Sol 3
LAGSD 0 - Arsenal 2
Nomads 2 - SDSC 0
OC Surf 1 - Murrieta Surf 3
SD Surf 2 (TDS #13 in country) - Strikers 0 - match to watch
note: last match was 1-1 tie. since then, SD Surf has put together seven shutouts in their last eight matches (including showcase). Meanwhile, the Strikers are trending in the wrong direction defensively. good rivalry here though which tends to be an "x" factor in the outcome. be a fun match to watch.

Los Angeles
LAUFA 2 0 - Ventura Fusion 1
LA Surf 1 - LAFC 7 (TDS #2)
Legends 2 - LA Galaxy 1 - match to watch
note: Legends are not exactly a powerhouse, but after a slow start, they've emerged as a strong tier 2 socal u13 team, particularly defensively. LAG u13s tend to play relatively wide open but the algo say that the Legends will contain LAG and control this match.

biggest impact of this match is that, at some point, LA Galaxy is either going to start doing better - this is an across age groups comment, not specific to u13 - or accept that they're just not a tier 1 - or even tier 2 - DA club in SoCal. if it was just one age group, this comment wouldn't be that relevant but the LAG malaise/lack of performance is consistent now across u13, u14 and u15 i.e. the future...

this discussion is almost it's own thread but when LAFC effectively destabilized the SoCal DA landscape back in 2017, most SoCal clubs w/ larger aspirations have responded (and maybe not in a way that's constructive over the long term but that is, in fact, another thread). Evidence for this was initially SD Surf in the 2017-18 and 2018-19 seasons, then FCG this season and Real SoCal is also looking to compete w/ LAFC.

In contrast, LAG clearly has not responded effectively. For example, in 2018-19, LAG swapped out 50% of their 05 roster from 2017-18 but it didn't really take. Would hope that the new LAG DA regime is communicating w/ the LAG DA families about what the vision is because, albeit from the outside, the path forward seems pretty unclear.


Santa Barbara SC 1 - Real SoCal 2 - match to watch
note: both teams are close to the bottom of the SoCal power rankings but bragging rights in the northern part of of SoCal matter - a lot - to both clubs. Should be a fun to match.

TFA 2 - Pateadores 3
 
SD Surf 4 - Strikers 2. A real barn-burner. Strikers down 0-3 after 10-minutes. Strikers came back to make it 2-3 in the second half before Surf put it away with a PK toward the end. These two teams never disappoint.
 
Albion 2 - SC Del Sol 2 - Del Sol scored towards the end of the game to tie it up.
Albion 3 - RSL Arizona - 0 - Albion went up 2-0 early in the first half and put the game away late in the 2nd half with a 3rd goal off a corner kick.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for last weekend (11/9). home team is listed first.

San Diego
predict: Albion 2 - SC del Sol 3 actuals: Albion 2 - SC del Sol 2

predict: Albion 1 - Real Salt Lake 4 actuals: Albion 3 - Real Salt Lake 0 (thx Vegas for the score!)
here's commentary from Vegas: "Albion went up 2-0 early in the first half and put the game away late in the 2nd half with a 3rd goal off a corner kick." Vegas - any additional commentary?

predict: Chula Vista 1 - Real Salt Lake 5 actuals: Chula Vista 1 - Real Salt Lake 1
note: chippy match with five yellows (four for CV) but CV came to play and, per game report, gritted this one out. CV went down 0-1 early in 2nd half, but got one late at the 68th minute for the tie.

tough weekend overall for RSL and the algo expected better results for them. Any insight or additional commentary on what was up w/ RSL this weekend?


predict: Chula Vista 1 - SC del Sol 3 actuals: Chula Vista 1 - SC del Sol 3

predict: LAGSD 0 - Arsenal 2 actuals: LAGSD 3 - Arsenal 0 (thx kiloone for the score!)
note: interesting result. per game report, was tied 0-0 at ht. and then GG had two of the three for LAGSD. kiloone - any additional commentary/insight into how this match went?

predict: Nomads 2 - SDSC 0 actuals: Nomads 2 - SDSC 5
note: Nomads had no answer for SDSC's DR who scored all five for SDSC.

predict: OC Surf 1 - Murrieta Surf 3 actuals: OC Surf 1 - Murrieta Surf 1 (thx reddevildad for the score!)
here's commentary from reddevildad: "One way traffic for Murrieta but couldn’t capitalize. Fair result either way."

predict: SD Surf 2 (TDS #13 in country) - Strikers 0 actuals: SD Surf 4 - Strikers 2 (thx dear mr. fantasyfor the score!)
here's commentary from dear mr. fantasy: "A real barn-burner. Strikers down 0-3 after 10-minutes. Strikers came back to make it 2-3 in the second half before Surf put it away with a PK toward the end. These two teams never disappoint."

Los Angeles
predict: LAUFA 2 - Ventura Fusion 1 actuals: LAUFA 2 - Ventura Fusion 1
note: per game report, LAUFA went up 1-0 right at end of 1st half. Ventura came back with two in a ten minute period in the second half for the 2-1 Ventura final result.

predict: LA Surf 1 - LAFC 7 (TDS #2) - rescheduled

predict: Legends 2 - LA Galaxy 1 actuals: Legends 4 - LA Galaxy 2
note: per game report, JO from Legends brought some shock and awe with two in the first ten minutes for the early 2-0 lead. LAG got one back but Legends scored again right before half to make it 3-1 at half. LAG got another back at start of 2nd half, but JO finished his hat trick with a third goal at the 49th minute for the 4-2 final result. for reference, JO now had 15 goals in 12 matches (including showcase games)

predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Real SoCal 2 actuals: Santa Barbara SC 3 - Real SoCal 0
note: per game report, Santa Barbara got two in the first ten minutes to make and the a third in the second half. RSC was missing their leading scorer. interesting result. any addition commentary here?

predict: TFA 2 - Pateadores 3 actuals: TFA 1 - Pateadores 3 (thx gogo1 for score!)
here's commentary from gogo1: "TFA scores first but Pats rallies back for three." any additional commentary here?

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predict: Albion 1 - Real Salt Lake 4 actuals: Albion 3 - Real Salt Lake 0 (thx Vegas for the score!)
here's commentary from Vegas: "Albion went up 2-0 early in the first half and put the game away late in the 2nd half with a 3rd goal off a corner kick." Vegas - any additional commentary?


I hear that a few of RSL 07 starter did not play in that game because they play up with they 06 later.
 
predict: Albion 1 - Real Salt Lake 4 actuals: Albion 3 - Real Salt Lake 0 (thx Vegas for the score!)
here's commentary from Vegas: "Albion went up 2-0 early in the first half and put the game away late in the 2nd half with a 3rd goal off a corner kick." Vegas - any additional commentary?


I hear that a few of RSL 07 starter did not play in that game because they play up with they 06 later.
thx! checked out the 06 game report, one of the 07s played up but that was it.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (11/16). home team is listed first and in alpha order.

San Diego
Albion 2 - SDSC 2 - match to watch
note: be interesting to see what Albion does w/ SDSC's DR. He's got 23 goals in 14 matches. :eek: Algo is calling this one really tight w/ .03 goals difference btw the two teams. Last match btw these teams was 6-1 SDSC but Albion has improved their D significantly since. Should be a fun match to watch.

Murrieta Surf 1 - LAGSD 1

Nomads 3 - Chula Vista 3

San Diego Surf 4 - OC Surf 0
note: last match was 4-0 SD Surf. Algo says same result this weekend. play the kids!

Strikers 5 - Arsenal 2

LA
FC Golden State 2 - LA Surf 1
note: FCG had been trending strong but has dropped off in their last two matches. be interesting to see how this one goes.

LAFC 5 - Santa Barbara SC 0
note: Santa Barbara just won the North LA crown (for now) w/ a 3-0 win over RSC to go w/ their 1-0 win over Ventura, but now LAFC... Santa Barbara has put together three decent matches in a row but LAFC has a way of sussing if improvement is for real or not. despite the predicted scoreline will be an interesting match to watch. Algo say there's a small possibility that it could be 4-1 LAFC

LA Galaxy 4 - Ventura Fusion 1
note: most folks Ventura Fusion-adjacent (including VF families) had higher expectations for the Fusion 07s this season than what has happened. Last match btw these two teams was 8-1 LAG. But, the predicted 4-1 LAG scoreline is mostly a function of a decline in LAG quality rather than a Ventura improvement. be interesting to see if Ventura can take more advantage of LAG's drop-off than predicted.

LA Surf 3 - TFA 4 - match to watch
note: last match btw these teams was 5-1 LA Surf. Algo seems pretty adamant though that it's going to be TFA day this weekend. we'll see. should be a fun match to watch.

LAUFA 2 - Legends 5

Real SoCal 1 - FC Golden State 3

TFA 3 - Legends 3
 
here's standings as of last weekend. highlighted best offensive teams (top 5 in socal and top 3 in group) and best defensive teams (same). SoCal standings are presented first and group standings are presented second.

of note, so far, LAFC is head and shoulders above the rest of the SoCal on both sides of the ball. also, LAUFA has a top five offense but a bottom five defense. with some improvement defensively, would expect LAUFA to move up significantly in the standings.

Notable SoCal results from the showcase are:

TFA 2 - San Diego Surf 0
San Diego Surf 2 - Pateadores 0
Real Salt Lake 2 - Pateadores 2
TFA 3 - Murrieta 1
FC Golden State 2 - Murrieta 1
SC del Sol 2 - LA Surf 1
TFA 1 - SC del Sol 0
FC Golden State 1 - SC del Sol 0
Pateadores 3 - SC del Sol 1
Strikers 4 - Pateadores 1
FC Golden State 2 - Strikers 0

1573750016351.png

1573750177162.png
 
Usually would post something like this in the Soccer Nerd thread - https://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/going-full-soccer-academy-nerd.17391/page-2#post-297541 - but today is different. Today, the USMNT is playing Canada in the second leg of the Nations Cup. Coverage for the USMNT vs Canada starts at 4pm pst on ESPN2, Unimas and TUDN.

Why does it matter?

The stakes are high for the match this evening in a way they haven't been for the USMNT since last WC qualifying, and we all know how that went.

Because of new FIFA rules, Canada must win today to have a 100% shot at qualifying for the 2022 WC. Last match, they beat the US 2-0 with the best Canadian team - and best Canadian coach - in a generation. Worse, the US looked really bad in the loss, and most thought the 0-2 scoreline was generous to the US. If Canada draws, they have 50/50 shot at getting a chance to qualify for the WC and if they lose, there's only a small possibility.

On the flip side, after the 0-2 loss, the USMNT coach, Greg Berhalter - went on the public record as saying the second US v Canada match was a " must win." US Soccer GM Earnie Stewart this week walked that statement back a bit, saying one result would not determine the fate of Berhalter but...

For background, here's one the best articles on the current state of the USMNT is below. Here's the article - https://theathletic.com/1379646/2019/11/15/no-country-for-usmnt-fans/

(One point that is missed a bit - is that at the youth level - the window for the kids is small, and waiting out the US Soccer dysfunction, the way one might wait out a pro sports team's run of poor performance, is not really an option imo.)



View attachment 5638
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (11/16). home team is listed first and in alpha order. as always, any additional insight or commentary to the matches is hugely welcome.

San Diego
predict: Albion 2 - SDSC 2 actuals: Albion 3 - SDSC 1 (thx Vegas for the score!)
note: any insight or commentary from folks who were at the match?

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - LAGSD 1 actuals: Murrieta Surf 2 - LAGSD 2

predict: Nomads 3 - Chula Vista 3 actuals: Nomads 2 - Chula Vista 4

predict: San Diego Surf 4 - OC Surf 0 actuals: San Diego Surf 8 - OC Surf 0
note: SD Surf was only up at 2-0 at ht but then things got away from OC in the 2nd half with SD Surf scoring 6.

SD Surf played one 2008, who went for a double but that was it despite the previous match's scoreline.

of note, counting showcase matches, SD Surf has had 9 shutouts in their last 11 matches.


predict: Strikers 5 - Arsenal 2 actuals: Strikers 6 - Arsenal 1

LA
predict: FC Golden State 2 - LA Surf 1 actuals: FC Golden State 1 - LA Surf 2
note: LA Surf got a quick one at the 5th minute and then another at the 20th minute. Both from JA. FCG got one back quickly at the 20th minute but, after a fast start, both team then went scoreless for the rest of the match.

FCG rostered two '08s.

any additional commentary or insight here?


predict: LAFC 5 - Santa Barbara SC 0 actuals: LAFC 3 - Santa Barbara SC 0
note: Santa Barbara kept LAFC reasonable with a 0-1 scoreline at ht and then two more quick ones at the beginning of the 2nd half. LAFC's offense has been on a steady decline since the beginning of the season, but their D, after trending the wrong way since the beginning of the season, has picked it up in the last two matches since their October match against Real SoCal.

For Santa Barbara, their D has been improving tangibly since the beginning of the season, but their offense - while there may be some hints of improvement - is still in the SoCal basement. The big changes/improvements seem to have been made after the mid-October match against LAUFA.

Here's the chart for the LAFC offense:

1574090747276.png

Here's the chart for the LAFC defense:
1574091571697.png
____________________________________________

Here's the chart for the Santa Barbara SC offense:
1574090902471.png

Here's the chart for the Santa Barbara SC defense:
1574091283313.png

predict: LA Galaxy 4 - Ventura Fusion 1 actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

predict: LA Surf 3 - TFA 4 actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

predict: LAUFA 2 - Legends 5 actuals: LAUFA 4 - Legends 2
note: the algo was off on this one but it was a little bit of an odd match.

it was tight in the first half, with LAUFA going into ht w/ a 1-0 lead off a PK four minutes after match start. In the 2nd half, Legends went ahead 2-1 were two quick goals by JO in a five minute period shortly after the 2h started.

But LAUFA tied it at the 58th minute, and continued to push for two more - another PK at the 63rd minute to make it 3-2 and then a run of play goal at the 68th minute for the final 4-2 scoreline.

Anyone have more commentary or insight here?


predict: Real SoCal 1 - FC Golden State 3 actuals: Real SoCal 0 - FC Golden State 2

predict: TFA 3 - Legends 3 actuals: TFA 2 - Legends 1
note: Legends had a bit of a tough weekend with two performance below expectations. only thing that's apparent from the game reports is that it was two away games. anyone have any insight or commentary here?
 
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