2006 DA

here's predicts for this weekend (2/1/20). home team listed first.

Los Angeles
LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 1
LA Galaxy 1 - TFA 1 - match to watch
LAFC 4 - LAUFA 1
Pateadores 1 - Legends 1
Santa Barbara SC 1 Ventura 1 -
match to watch

San Diego
Strikers 2 - Albion 1
Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego SC 1
SC del Sol 0 - San Diego Surf 1 - match to watch
Murrieta Surf 3 - LAGSD 3 - match to watch
Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego Surf 2 - match to watch
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (2/1/20). home team listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 1 / actuals: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 4
predict: LA Galaxy 1 - TFA 1 / actuals: LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1
note: game report is still pending but heard from two different sources that this one was 2-1 LAG. TFA had a crazy unbeaten run but everything ends. a bit more parity is good for the group. be interesting to see how TFA's match next week against Santa Barbara goes.

predict: LAFC 4 - LAUFA 1 / actuals: pending
predict: Pateadores 1 - Legends 1 / actuals: Pateadores 2 - Legends 1
predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Ventura 1 / actuals: Santa Barbara SC 4 - Ventura 5

San Diego

predict: Strikers 2 - Albion 1 / actuals: Strikers 4 - Albion 0
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego SC 1 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 4 - San Diego SC 0
predict: SC del Sol 0 - San Diego Surf 1 / actuals: SC del Sol 1 - San Diego Surf 4
predict: Murrieta Surf 3 - LAGSD 3 / actuals: pending
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego Surf 2 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 0 - San Diego Surf 0
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (2/1/20). home team listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 1 / actuals: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 4
predict: LA Galaxy 1 - TFA 1 / actuals: LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1
note: game report is still pending but heard from two different sources that this one was 2-1 LAG. TFA had a crazy unbeaten run but everything ends. a bit more parity is good for the group. be interesting to see how TFA's match next week against Santa Barbara goes.

predict: LAFC 4 - LAUFA 1 / actuals: pending
predict: Pateadores 1 - Legends 1 / actuals: Pateadores 2 - Legends 1
predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Ventura 1 / actuals: Santa Barbara SC 4 - Ventura 5

San Diego

predict: Strikers 2 - Albion 1 / actuals: Strikers 4 - Albion 0
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego SC 1 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 4 - San Diego SC 0
predict: SC del Sol 0 - San Diego Surf 1 / actuals: SC del Sol 1 - San Diego Surf 4
predict: Murrieta Surf 3 - LAGSD 3 / actuals: pending
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego Surf 2 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 0 - San Diego Surf 0


Speaking of the Galaxy vs TFA match....how is the new Galaxy coach doing with the 06s?
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/8/20). home team is listed first.

San Diego
Arsenal 1 - Albion 3
LAGSD 0 - Strikers 5 - (come on guys, play the kids!)
Murrieta Surf 1 - San Diego Surf 5 - (come on guys, play the kids!)
San Diego SC 2 - OC Surf 1

Los Angeles
FC Golden State 3 - Ventura Fusion 0
LA Surf 0 - Pateadores 1
Legends 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1
LAFC - 1 - LA Galaxy 1 - match to watch
note: usually would put together a separate thread on this one but have a couple of irons in the fire these days, so, here's the short version:

LA Galaxy beat TFA 2-1 last weekend, ending a streak of some 40+unbeaten matches for the TFA 06s. LAG has settled into a top of line offense and defense over the course of the season. There have been occasional blips - eg, the 0-1 loss to the Legends - but in general LAG has been fairly consistent.

On the other hand, LAFC, aside from a handful of strong performances, is good but not the typical LAFC great on offense. Defensively, would put LAFC at very good but again not the typical LAFC great.

Keys to the match:
LAG has had 12 players score this year with five of those players scoring more than five goals. Typically, these kind of numbers mean that a team has solid control in the mid with lots of good ball and player movement i.e. hard to defend. Establishing control over the middle 1/3 will be key for LAFC.

On the flip side, LAFC has had ten players core but depend on two of those players - ZF and GG - for about 50% of their goal total. Shutting down those players will be critical for LAG.

Overall should be a fun match to watch and there should be some good soccer. Last match went 2-1 in LAFC's favor.


Real SoCal 2 - LAUFA 2
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (2/8/20). home team is listed first.

San Diego
predict: Arsenal 1 - Albion 3 / actuals: Arsenal 3 - Albion 3
note: per game report, Albion was out to 3-1 lead at ht, but a frisky Arsenal (three cards in the 2h) came back to tie it up at the buzzer.

predict: LAGSD 0 - Strikers 5 / actuals: LAGSD 1 - Strikers 1
note: per game report, Strikers rostered four 07s for the match (nicely done), and OC Surf rostered two 05s and one 07. OC Surf got on the board first w/ a goal at the 30th minute but Strikers tied it up at the 64th minute. Couple of cards. Looks like a solid match.

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - San Diego Surf 5 / actuals: Murrieta Surf 0 - San Diego Surf 1
note: looks like Murrieta put up a solid match against a mostly full strength SD Surf. well done!

predict: San Diego SC 2 - OC Surf 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

Los Angeles
predict: FC Golden State 3 - Ventura Fusion 0 / actuals: FC Golden State 4 - Ventura Fusion 3
predict: LA Surf 0 - Pateadores 1 / LA Surf 1 - Pateadores 3
predict: Legends 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1 / actuals: Legends 2 - Santa Barbara SC 2
predict: LAFC - 1 - LA Galaxy 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?
predict: Real SoCal 2 - LAUFA 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 0 - LAUFA 3
note: good win for LAUFA. RSC was missing TR and ZS. TR was likely w/ the 05s.
 
Golden state vs fusion. Good game fusion owned the first half with high press. Golden state looked out of sync especially the back line. Down 3-0 at the end of the half, golden state turn the game around with high pressure and persistent attack. To give them a 4-3 lead. Very open game was fun to watch. Each team got a red card which I thought was weak. But oh well.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (2/8/20). home team is listed first.

San Diego
predict: Arsenal 1 - Albion 3 / actuals: Arsenal 3 - Albion 3
note: per game report, Albion was out to 3-1 lead at ht, but a frisky Arsenal (three cards in the 2h) came back to tie it up at the buzzer.

predict: LAGSD 0 - Strikers 5 / actuals: LAGSD 1 - Strikers 1
note: per game report, Strikers rostered four 07s for the match (nicely done), and OC Surf rostered two 05s and one 07. OC Surf got on the board first w/ a goal at the 30th minute but Strikers tied it up at the 64th minute. Couple of cards. Looks like a solid match.

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - San Diego Surf 5 / actuals: Murrieta Surf 0 - San Diego Surf 1
note: looks like Murrieta put up a solid match against a mostly full strength SD Surf. well done!

predict: San Diego SC 2 - OC Surf 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

Los Angeles
predict: FC Golden State 3 - Ventura Fusion 0 / actuals: FC Golden State 4 - Ventura Fusion 3
predict: LA Surf 0 - Pateadores 1 / LA Surf 1 - Pateadores 3
predict: Legends 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1 / actuals: Legends 2 - Santa Barbara SC 2
predict: LAFC - 1 - LA Galaxy 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?
predict: Real SoCal 2 - LAUFA 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 0 - LAUFA 3
note: good win for LAUFA. RSC was missing TR and ZS. TR was likely w/ the 05s.

La galaxy wins 3-2 lafc: Very close and aggressive game between two very good teams. Three first half goals by LA galaxy by PR, TE and SG. LAFC battled back for two goals.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/15 - the day after Valentine's Day - this public service reminder brought to you by The Algo). home team is listed first.

San Diego
Nomads 1 - Albion 3

Los Angeles
LA Surf 0 - LAFC 3
Real SoCal 2 - Pateadores 2
LA Surf 0 - Legends 1
 
here's predicts vs actual for this last weekend (2/15):

San Diego
predict: Nomads 1 - Albion 3 actuals: Nomads 3 - Albion 4
note: per game report, looks like Nomads made it a game, and had it tied until the last very last minute when CD put one in for Albion for the win.

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 0 - LAFC 3 actuals: LA Surf 1 - LAFC 3

predict: Real SoCal 2 - Pateadores 2 actuals: Real SoCal 3 - Pateadores 2
note: per game report, TR was back w/ the u14s (no u15 match this weekend) and had two for RSC. also ZS was again not rostered. One of RSC's leading scorers last year, rumors have ZS looking at heading to drier climates next season. any addt'l info on this, either here or via dm?

predict: LA Surf 0 - Legends 1 actuals: LA Surf 2 - Legends 1
note: nice win for LA Surf, with a 2-0 lead at ht and then a solid 2nd half for the 2-1 win.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/22). Home team is listed first.

San Diego
San Diego Surf 5 - Albion 1 (hey Surf, play the kids!)

Los Angeles
LA Surf 1 - Real SoCal 1
Ventura Fusion 2 - LAFC 5
Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 2
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (2/22). Home team is listed first. Several players were missing from most teams due to the West Regional u14 NDP camp and had a little bit of rain this weekend.

San Diego
predict: San Diego Surf 5 - Albion 1 actuals: rescheduled

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 1 - Real SoCal 1 actuals: LA Surf 2 - Real SoCal 2

predict: Ventura Fusion 2 - LAFC 5 actuals: Ventura Fusion 0 - LAFC 10
note: LAFC rostered three 06s for the match, while Ventura rostered five 07s.

predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 2 actuals: rescheduled
 
here's standings as of last weekend. highlighted best offensive teams (top 5 in socal and top 3 in group) and best defensive teams (same). SoCal standings are presented first and group standings are presented second.

Per results from the showcase, the LA u14 group is a bit stronger than the SD u14 group, with the LA teams collecting 10 wins, 7 draws and six losses vs SD teams with 28 goals scored by LA teams vs 19 goals allowed.

1582731113616.png
 
some thoughts on the u14 standings.

1. Looking at team goal differential, there's a clear tiering for SoCal teams:

Tier I:
  • TFA
  • Strikers
  • RSL
  • SD Surf
  • LAFC
  • LAG
Tier II:
  • FCG
  • Pats
  • RSC
  • Albion
Tier III:
  • Murrieta
  • LAGSD
  • SDSC
  • Ventura
  • Arsenal
  • SC del Sol
  • Nomads
  • LAUFA
  • LA Surf
  • Legends
  • OC Surf
  • Santa Barbara
Of the Tier I and Tier II teams, every club has a DA path to u19 in place except TFA (assumes RSL-AZ + RSL -UT = path; this may be incorrect..).

So, would assume that TFA will get at least u17 for 2020-21.

Of the Tier III teams, SDSC and LAUFA probably have the most potential for additional age groups. Currently, SDSC only goes thru u14 and LAUFA tops out at u15. USSDA objections to offering additional age groups for these clubs are probably 1) market saturation 2) historical club administrative challenges.

After that, am stumped on who has a legit case this year for adding additional age groups (although have heard via DM that several clubs feel like they're good to go adding at least u15 in the Fall.)

Thought/comments? These decisions are being talked about now at USSDA.
 
here's standings as of last weekend. highlighted best offensive teams (top 5 in socal and top 3 in group) and best defensive teams (same). SoCal standings are presented first and group standings are presented second.

Per results from the showcase, the LA u14 group is a bit stronger than the SD u14 group, with the LA teams collecting 10 wins, 7 draws and six losses vs SD teams with 28 goals scored by LA teams vs 19 goals allowed.

View attachment 6503

I have to say it is very puzzling that some of the top SoCal Teams with the most favorable stats, did not have players picked for the recent U-14 Boy's National Team tryouts in Chula Vista last weekend. Most of the players picked are from MLS Clubs (even some back up players)….I get it that these teams have talented players, however, should most of the positions be picked from teams just because they are sponsored from a MLS Club? It is a shame to see USA Soccer making political decisions like this rather than strictly by talent only.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/29). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
Pateadores 1 - FC Golden State 3
Legends 0 - LAFC 5 - play the kids!
LAUFA 1 - LA Galaxy 4
Santa Barbara SC 0 - TFA 3

San Diego
Real Salt Lake 5 - Albion 1 - play the kids!
San Diego Surf 2 - OC Surf 1
SC del Sol 2 - Nomads 1
Murrieta Surf 1 - SDSC 3
Real Salt Lake 6 - Nomads 0 - play the kids!
SC del Sol 2 - Albion 1 - match to watch
 
I have to say it is very puzzling that some of the top SoCal Teams with the most favorable stats, did not have players picked for the recent U-14 Boy's National Team tryouts in Chula Vista last weekend. Most of the players picked are from MLS Clubs (even some back up players)….I get it that these teams have talented players, however, should most of the positions be picked from teams just because they are sponsored from a MLS Club? It is a shame to see USA Soccer making political decisions like this rather than strictly by talent only.
SD Surf had 4 boys attend the National Team tryouts in Chula Vista
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (2/29). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: Pateadores 1 - FC Golden State 3 actuals: Pateadores 1 - FC Golden State 2
predict: Legends 0 - LAFC 5 actuals: Legends 0 - LAFC 7
predict: LAUFA 1 - LA Galaxy 4 actuals: LAUFA 2 - LA Galaxy 6
predict: Santa Barbara SC 0 - TFA 3 actuals: Santa Barbara SC 1 - TFA 3

San Diego
predict: Real Salt Lake 5 - Albion 1 actuals: pending - anyone have the score here?
predict: San Diego Surf 2 - OC Surf 1 actuals: pending - anyone have the score here?
predict: SC del Sol 2 - Nomads 1 actuals: SC del Sol 4 - Nomads 0

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - SDSC 3 actuals: Murrieta Surf 2 - SDSC 0
note: good win by Murrieta here. per game report, looks like a good match. Tied 0-0 at ht. RL got a double for Murrieta in a ten minute window towards the end of the game for the win. any other comments or insight?

predict: Real Salt Lake 6 - Nomads 0 actuals: Real Salt Lake 5 - Nomads 2

predict: SC del Sol 2 - Albion 1 actuals: SC del Sol 2 - Albion 2
note: per game report, looks like a fun match to watch. SC del Sol went up late in the first half for 1-0 score at ht, and then put another on in early in the 2nd half for a 2-0 lead. But, Albion came back late to make it 1-2 at the 64th minute and, at the very end, then tied it 2-2 with a goal from EP, scoring his first goal of the season. any other commentary or insights? this one looks like it may have been a fun one to watch.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (3/7). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
LA Surf 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1

LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1 - match to watch
note: LAG had seven players called up to the U14 camp. TFA had 3, despite being the TFA 06s being ranked as a at least a top 5 team since u12. Would think this one will be fierce. last match was 2-1 LAG and last week's 3-1 win over Santa Barbara doesn't bode well for TFA, but they've got something to prove, so we'll see. This is the one match to watch this weekend.

Pateadores 3 - Legends 2
FC Golden State 2 - LAUFA 1

San Diego
Murrieta Surf 1 SC del Sol 2
Strikers 2 - OC Surf 0
Arsenal 1 - Real Salt Lake 7 - play the kids!

SDSC 3 - LAGSD 1 - match to watch
note: after LAFC, statistically, LAGSD was the most over-represented club at the u14 camp. Get HBW, and taking him out of the math, LAGSD isn't as over-represented as bad but still, is interesting. AM for LAGSD has 14 goals in 18 games, so fair, but don't have addt'l context to compare across the whole West Region group. One big difference is that LAGSD goes up to u17 while SDSC only goes up to u14. Hmmm. DK...

So, went back and triple checked The Algo on this one, but the math is all correct.

LAGSD's key thing challenge is that they tend to give up a lot of goals. SDSC has some players and have put together some decent results including a 1-0 win over SC del Sol. Would think GE from SDSC might want to go out of his way to impress in the one and take advantage of that LAGSD trend, and SDSC's D might be especially to keep AM under control.

be interesting to watch this one and see what happens. last match was 3-3 tie.


Arsenal 1 - SC del Sol 3
Nomads 0 - San Diego Surf 7 - play the kids!
Murrieta Surf 1 - Real Salt Lake 3
 
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