2005 DA Standings

HC back from injury for RSL. Played the full 80, had goal #2. Played every minute of the first 3 games this season before being out until this past weekend.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (11/16). home listed first.

SoCal
LAUFA 1 - Real SoCal 4
LAFC 8 - Albion 0
LA Galaxy 5 - Pateadores 2

Non-SoCal
Ballistic 2 - De Anza 1
Crossfire Premier 0 - SVSA 1
Crossfire Premier 1 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - SVSA 1
 
Usually would post something like this in the Soccer Nerd thread - https://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/going-full-soccer-academy-nerd.17391/page-2#post-297541 - but today is different. Today, the USMNT is playing Canada in the second leg of the Nations Cup. Coverage for the USMNT vs Canada starts at 4pm pst on ESPN2, Unimas and TUDN.

Why does it matter?

The stakes are high for the match this evening in a way they haven't been for the USMNT since last WC qualifying, and we all know how that went.

Because of new FIFA rules, Canada must win today to have a 100% shot at qualifying for the 2022 WC. Last match, they beat the US 2-0 with the best Canadian team - and best Canadian coach - in a generation. Worse, the US looked really bad in the loss, and most thought the 0-2 scoreline was generous to the US. If Canada draws, they have 50/50 shot at getting a chance to qualify for the WC and if they lose, there's only a small possibility.

On the flip side, after the 0-2 loss, the USMNT coach, Greg Berhalter - went on the public record as saying the second US v Canada match was a " must win." US Soccer GM Earnie Stewart this week walked that statement back a bit, saying one result would not determine the fate of Berhalter but...

For background, here's one the best articles on the current state of the USMNT is below. Here's the article - https://theathletic.com/1379646/2019/11/15/no-country-for-usmnt-fans/

(One point that is missed a bit - is that at the youth level - the window for the kids is small, and waiting out the US Soccer dysfunction, the way one might wait out a pro sports team's run of poor performance, is not really an option imo.)



View attachment 5638
 
Kante said:
Usually would post something like this in the Soccer Nerd thread - https://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/going-full-soccer-academy-nerd.17391/page-2#post-297541 - but today is different. Today, the USMNT is playing Canada in the second leg of the Nations Cup. Coverage for the USMNT vs Canada starts at 4pm pst on ESPN2, Unimas and TUDN.

Why does it matter?

The stakes are high for the match this evening in a way they haven't been for the USMNT since last WC qualifying, and we all know how that went.

Because of new FIFA rules, Canada must win today to have a 100% shot at qualifying for the 2022 WC. Last match, they beat the US 2-0 with the best Canadian team - and best Canadian coach - in a generation. Worse, the US looked really bad in the loss, and most thought the 0-2 scoreline was generous to the US. If Canada draws, they have 50/50 shot at getting a chance to qualify for the WC and if they lose, there's only a small possibility.

On the flip side, after the 0-2 loss, the USMNT coach, Greg Berhalter - went on the public record as saying the second US v Canada match was a " must win." US Soccer GM Earnie Stewart this week walked that statement back a bit, saying one result would not determine the fate of Berhalter but...

For background, here's one the best articles on the current state of the USMNT is below. Here's the article - https://theathletic.com/1379646/2019/11/15/no-country-for-usmnt-fans/

(One point that is missed a bit - is that at the youth level - the window for the kids is small, and waiting out the US Soccer dysfunction, the way one might wait out a pro sports team's run of poor performance, is not really an option imo.)



View attachment 5638
Click to expand...
So many issues. Personally, I would've stuck with Klinsmann. The establishment's dislike of him was, along with his exciting youth program, were reasons to believe he was on the right track.
 
Got a note that the predicts were not for the actual games happening. (thx Vegas!) :eek: apologies. not sure how that got screwed up.

so, here's predicts for the actual 05 games that will be happening this weekend (11/16):;)

SoCal
LAUFA 3 - Albion 2
LAFC 5 - Arsenal 0
LA Galaxy 5 - Pateadores 2

Non-SoCal
Ballistic 2 - De Anza 1
Crossfire Premier 0 - SVSA 1
Crossfire Premier 1 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - SVSA 1
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (11/16). home team is listed first

SoCal
predict: LAUFA 3 - Albion 2/actuals: LAUFA 1 - Albion 2
note: per game report, LAUFA went ahead 1-0 at the 19th minute but Albion's AG got two right before half. No goals in 2h, and the final scoreline was 2-1 Albion.

Looking at results over the season so far, LAUFA has two players accounting for ten of their 13 goals ytd. That's just a tough load to carry, and easy for other teams to game plan. To be fair, Albion's not much better with AG scoring eight of Albion's 18 goals so far.

predict: LAFC 5 - Arsenal 0/actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

predict: LA Galaxy 5 - Pateadores 2/actuals: LA Galaxy 6 - Pateadores 3

Non-SoCal
predict: Ballistic 2 - De Anza 1/actuals: Ballistic 1 - De Anza 4
note: game report tells a story that the match may have been a bit closer than the scoreline indicates. De Anza was only up 1-0 at ht. And Ballistic tied it up 1-1 at the 57th minute. But De Anza quickly came back at the 58th minute to go ahead 2-1, and then got a pk at the 70th minute and one last goal at the 80th minute for the 4-1 win. Does anyone have more commentary on this one?

predict: Crossfire Premier 0 - SVSA 1/actuals: Crossfire Premier 0 - SVSA 1 (thx for the score Husky13!)

predict: Crossfire Premier 1 - Sacramento Republic 2/actuals: Crossfire Premier 1 - Sacramento Republic 3

predict: Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sacramento Republic 2/actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

predict: Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - SVSA 1/actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?
 
DA website says Vancouver 2-1 over Sac Republic, a mild surprise. However, the DA website also says Crossfire 1-0 over SVSA, and I watched the game and know that the score was the opposite (1-0 SVSA), so hard to have 100% confidence in what is reported ….
 
here's predicts for this coming weekend (11/23) home is listed first, and order is alpha by home team. some good matches coming up.

SoCal
Barca 4 - LAGSD 1

FC Golden State 3 - Arsenal 0

LAUFA 1 - Real SoCal 4

LAFC 1 - Real Salt Lake 0 - match to watch (bring the popcorn!)
note: where to start? could write a whole thread but will save it for the post mortem.

Couple of key fun items to watch:
  • LAFC has 10 shut outs over their last 15 matches (includes GA matches); RSL only has six over their last 14 matches (includes GA matches) but four of those shutouts have come in their last five games. (edge: current trend gives slight edge to RSL)
  • LAFC's 8/10 DC (did not called up to u15 ynt) matched vs RSL's 6 JB (did get called up). (edge: slight edge to RSL)
  • LAFC's defender AL (got called up to MX u15) vs RSL front line (did not go to Poland for usynt) (edge: AL and LAFC - yes, yes, this seems to contradict the first bullet... the D trend favors RSL but the overall D to D compare favors LAFC)
Keys to match:
RSL's offense is only averaging +12% more goals scored vs average goals allowed by opponents vs LAFC is averaging +207% more goals scored than average goals allowed. So:

1) can RSL figure out a way past AL and company?
2) RSL has a decent match-up w/ JB vs DC but RSL also figure out how to control SR and RW (both to keep them from scoring and helping other LAFC players score)?

(will be at the match. come by and say hi.)

Pateadores 3 - LA Galaxy 6 - match to watch
note: algo surprised on this one. wouldn't have thought the numbers would have the Pats getting 3 on LAG, but that's exactly what happened last week in the LAG vs Pats DA cup match, and algo says it will be the exact same result as last week (the algo may be being a little lazy here...) last week it was relatively tight in the first half, w/ LAG ahead 2-1 at ht but then it opened up wide with seven total goals scored in 2h. be interesting to see how these two teams manage the match this time around.

from looking at the game report, looks like LAG finally has several key players back, so will be looking for a bit more from them moving forward.

San Diego Surf 3 - Albion 1

TFA 3 - Strikers 2 - match to watch
note: TFA has solidly come back this season after losing a number of players. meanwhile, Strikers are doing well but not as well as in years past. Subtext to this one is that TFA's coach from last year is now coaching the Strikers. should be fun to watch.

Non-SoCal
Ballistic 2 - Portland Timbers 2 (edge: ballistic) - match to watch
note: algo has incorporated Ballistic's losses to De Anza and SJ and now has a more realistic assessment of Ballistic, so this match is legit shot for Ballistic to put another MLS notch in its belt. be interesting to see how this one goes.

Sacramento Republic 1 - SVSA 2 - match to watch
note: at first glance this looks off, but dug into the results for both teams and can this result happening. will be a surprise but sometimes the algo is really good at picking up on the kinds of results that may seem non-intuitive at first glance. will see.

San Jose Earthquakes 3 - Portland Timbers 1

Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - Seattle Sounders 2

 
Husky13 said:
DA website says Vancouver 2-1 over Sac Republic, a mild surprise. However, the DA website also says Crossfire 1-0 over SVSA, and I watched the game and know that the score was the opposite (1-0 SVSA), so hard to have 100% confidence in what is reported ….
Click to expand...
awesome... gigo.

thx for the heads-up. will keep an eye for corrected results/changes to results and input accordingly.
 
quick correction: on the LAFC - RSL write-up, when I mentioned AL for LAFC, I meant DR for LAFC. AL plays for the LAFC u17 team, and I believe, has been called into the MX ynt camp, but am not aware that DR has.

(BJ18, thx for the catch!)
 
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