here's predicts vs actuals for the last weekend. home team is listed first.
Los Angeles
predict: LA Galaxy 2 vs Legends 1. actuals: LA Galaxy 4 vs Legends 1
note: per the game report, it looks like LAG controlled most of this game with two early goals and then two more goals about midway thru the 2nd half.
predict: LAFC 11 vs Santa Barbara SC 0. actuals: LAFC 9 vs Santa Barbara SC 2
note: per the game report, LAFC rostered four 05s plus one 06 who regularly plays with the 05s, while Santa Barbara only rostered 12 players. For LAFC, AW and ZF went for braces.
predict: LAUFA 3 vs TFA 1. actuals: LAUFA 1 vs TFA 5
note: in retrospect, it was pretty clear that TFA - with all their players back - would come strong for this match, but, alas, went with what the algo said instead. For TFA, VM went for a hat trick. A good lesson that predicting future results based on past results needs to be supplemented by appropriately weighting key factors.
predict: Pateadores 4 vs FC Golden State 4. actuals: Pateadores 1 vs FC Golden State 5
note: insert same note here about predicting futures results based on past results. Pats have players back from injury and are better than they were, but they also benefited from some results that should have been discounted in the prediction eg, playing TFA minus some players and playing Santa Barbara after Santa Barbara played four games in Oceanside in the previous 24 hours. FCG is a strong team and the result seems reasonable.
Match looks like it was close in the first half with Pats getting an early goal and the score at 2-1 FCG at half. FCG came strong in the 2nd half for the win with MC getting a brace.
San Diego
predict: Albion 4 vs Arsenal 0. actuals: Albion 1 vs Arsenal 0
note: surprised by this outcome and would have thought Albion, given their improvement over time, would have scored more. last match btw these teams was 4-0 Albion. Well done on Arsenal for tightening up their defense.
predict: OC Surf 6 vs SDSC 1. actuals: OC Surf 1 vs SDSC 1
note: SDSC has had a tough year, averaging less than one goal scored every other game, and OC Surf can be tough. However, these teams look like they match up well so good on SDSC for getting a decent result as the season winds down.
predict: Nomads 1 vs SD Surf 2. actuals: Nomads 1 vs SD Surf 7
note: there's a certain machine-like quality to SD Surf where their system of play is just too much some times. This weekend against the Nomads looks like it was one of those times. thought the Nomads, given their improvement might more of a go here but, per the game report, it looks like they got swamped.
Seven different SD Surf players scored and the Nomads one goal was an early PK.
predict: OC Surf 2 vs Albion 2. actuals: OC Surf 0 vs Albion 1
note: Albion is a well-coached team with some solid players and consistently will grind out results. OC Surf added some players after the holiday break and had a bump in results but have since regressed to the mean.