2004 Boys, games of the week, standings, etc.
- Thread starter R2564952
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Kante
PREMIER
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend. home teams are listed first.
predict: LA Galaxy 1 vs Strikers 1 actuals: LA Galaxy 2 vs Strikers 1
note: this one was a *match to watch* and it sounds like it didn't disappoint. here's commentary from SBFdad (thx!):
"Really tough, competitive game. Strikers were really good in stretches, could’ve scored a couple more. Galaxy hit woodwork twice. A draw would’ve been a fair result."
Per the game report, score was 0-0 at half, and VV put LAG ahead initially with a goal at the 65th minute. Strikers tied it five minutes later but LAG went ahead again for the win at the 72nd minute. Three yellows over the course of the match.
Both teams played a couple of 05s up.
predict: Nomads 3 vs SD Surf 3. actuals: Nomads 0 vs SD Surf 1
note: this one was a *match to watch*, and it looks like solid match with the SD Surf scoring the ultimate game winner right before the 1st half ended. unfortunately, it was also one of those games where the game report doesn't really tell a story. Anyone have additional commentary on the match?
predict: Albion 1 vs LAFC 3 actuals: Albion 1 vs LAFC 3
note: per the game report, LAFC rostered a large number of 05s who played about 80% of the total minutes. what's interesting here is that the result was fairly close to the prediction which assumed that LAFC 04s play Albion 04s. So, one, good on LAFC for playing 05s up and putting development first. Two, the LAFC 05s, in relative terms, may be even better than the LAFC 04s. Will be interesting to see how many LAFC 05s get called into the upcoming USYNT June 4th camp.
LAFC 04 FG went for a brace.
predict: LAUFA 3 vs Barca 2. actuals: LAUFA 2 vs Barca 4
predict: Pats 1 vs FC Golden State 3 actuals: Pats 2 vs FC Golden State 2
predict: Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1 actuals: Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1
predict: LA Galaxy 1 vs Strikers 1 actuals: LA Galaxy 2 vs Strikers 1
note: this one was a *match to watch* and it sounds like it didn't disappoint. here's commentary from SBFdad (thx!):
"Really tough, competitive game. Strikers were really good in stretches, could’ve scored a couple more. Galaxy hit woodwork twice. A draw would’ve been a fair result."
Per the game report, score was 0-0 at half, and VV put LAG ahead initially with a goal at the 65th minute. Strikers tied it five minutes later but LAG went ahead again for the win at the 72nd minute. Three yellows over the course of the match.
Both teams played a couple of 05s up.
predict: Nomads 3 vs SD Surf 3. actuals: Nomads 0 vs SD Surf 1
note: this one was a *match to watch*, and it looks like solid match with the SD Surf scoring the ultimate game winner right before the 1st half ended. unfortunately, it was also one of those games where the game report doesn't really tell a story. Anyone have additional commentary on the match?
predict: Albion 1 vs LAFC 3 actuals: Albion 1 vs LAFC 3
note: per the game report, LAFC rostered a large number of 05s who played about 80% of the total minutes. what's interesting here is that the result was fairly close to the prediction which assumed that LAFC 04s play Albion 04s. So, one, good on LAFC for playing 05s up and putting development first. Two, the LAFC 05s, in relative terms, may be even better than the LAFC 04s. Will be interesting to see how many LAFC 05s get called into the upcoming USYNT June 4th camp.
LAFC 04 FG went for a brace.
predict: LAUFA 3 vs Barca 2. actuals: LAUFA 2 vs Barca 4
predict: Pats 1 vs FC Golden State 3 actuals: Pats 2 vs FC Golden State 2
predict: Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1 actuals: Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1
Kante
PREMIER
here's predicts for this weekend (5/12 & 5/13). home teams are listed first.
but first, a quick word on TopDrawer Rankings. the u16 thru u18 rankings for May were just released and the u13 thru u15 rankings will be out next week. get that TD's rankings are subjective and am sure that teams are over being left out of the ranking at this point in the season but the ranking - in lieu of other criteria - does affect college interest in players .
so, if anyone knows folks at TD, maybe plant a seed for TD to look at their u15 numbers before they publish. Looking at the data, the Strikers, LA Galaxy, SD Surf and De Anza should all be in TopDrawer's Top 25 along with the current Top 25 from socal and norcal.
predict: Barca 1 vs Strikers 3 note: Barca is hard to predict, with performances often varying from expected. not sure if it's the travel, or if line-ups vary significantly game to game. so that's the disclaimer for this one. will take a deeper dive over the summer to figure this out.
predict: Albion 2 vs Nomads 1
predict: LA Galaxy 2 vs SD Surf 1 *match to watch* SD Surf just beat the Nomads and tied FCG, and LAG just beat the Strikers and beat FCG, so this match is a great measure of who is next best - after LAFC - in SoCal. LAG has one of the best defenses in the country at this point of the season with six shutouts in their last nine games and an offense that has perked up in the same time period. And SD Surf is solid on both sides of the ball as well.
predict: Pateadores 1 vs LAFC 3 *match to watch* last time these teams met, it was 4-1 LAFC. Pats have improved since while LAFC has plateaued from a data pov, granted this has happened at the same time they've also taken steps to play youngers up an age (eg, vs Albion last week w/ LAFC 05s playing about 80% of the available field player minutes). Pats are playing at home and a decent home field advantage effect. Pats are clear underdogs but they have a shot at making things interesting.
predict: LAUFA 3 vs Breakers 1 note: socal vs norcal are difficult to predict given the overall difference in the quality across teams in each group. over the summer, will figure out a way to systematically discount/premium team ratings based on group quality but in the meantime am just going to post a disclaimer
predict: LAGSD 1 vs De Anza note: see above disclaimer
predict: LAGSD 2 vs Breakers 3 note: see above disclaimer
predict: FC Golden State 4 vs Arsenal 1
predict: LAUFA 2 vs De Anza 1 note: see above disclaimer
but first, a quick word on TopDrawer Rankings. the u16 thru u18 rankings for May were just released and the u13 thru u15 rankings will be out next week. get that TD's rankings are subjective and am sure that teams are over being left out of the ranking at this point in the season but the ranking - in lieu of other criteria - does affect college interest in players .
so, if anyone knows folks at TD, maybe plant a seed for TD to look at their u15 numbers before they publish. Looking at the data, the Strikers, LA Galaxy, SD Surf and De Anza should all be in TopDrawer's Top 25 along with the current Top 25 from socal and norcal.
predict: Barca 1 vs Strikers 3 note: Barca is hard to predict, with performances often varying from expected. not sure if it's the travel, or if line-ups vary significantly game to game. so that's the disclaimer for this one. will take a deeper dive over the summer to figure this out.
predict: Albion 2 vs Nomads 1
predict: LA Galaxy 2 vs SD Surf 1 *match to watch* SD Surf just beat the Nomads and tied FCG, and LAG just beat the Strikers and beat FCG, so this match is a great measure of who is next best - after LAFC - in SoCal. LAG has one of the best defenses in the country at this point of the season with six shutouts in their last nine games and an offense that has perked up in the same time period. And SD Surf is solid on both sides of the ball as well.
predict: Pateadores 1 vs LAFC 3 *match to watch* last time these teams met, it was 4-1 LAFC. Pats have improved since while LAFC has plateaued from a data pov, granted this has happened at the same time they've also taken steps to play youngers up an age (eg, vs Albion last week w/ LAFC 05s playing about 80% of the available field player minutes). Pats are playing at home and a decent home field advantage effect. Pats are clear underdogs but they have a shot at making things interesting.
predict: LAUFA 3 vs Breakers 1 note: socal vs norcal are difficult to predict given the overall difference in the quality across teams in each group. over the summer, will figure out a way to systematically discount/premium team ratings based on group quality but in the meantime am just going to post a disclaimer
predict: LAGSD 1 vs De Anza note: see above disclaimer
predict: LAGSD 2 vs Breakers 3 note: see above disclaimer
predict: FC Golden State 4 vs Arsenal 1
predict: LAUFA 2 vs De Anza 1 note: see above disclaimer
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Footballero
BRONZE
Nomads 4 Albion 2
Kante
PREMIER
here's predicts for this weekend (5/18 & 5/19). home team is listed first.
Barca 1 vs Nomads 3
Albion 5 vs LAGSD 1
SD Surf 3 vs Real SoCal 1
Strikers 6 vs LAUFA 1 note: normally would say that this might be a match where the Strikers could play some 05s up but the 05 Strikers are playing the 05 SD Surf, so that's not likely to happen.
LAFC 2 vs LA Galaxy 1 *match to watch* here's link to the extended version of how this match is likely to go - http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...ico-de-academia-parte-tres.17350/#post-264822
Real SoCal 3 vs LAGSD 1
FC Golden State 5 vs LAUFA 1
Barca 1 vs Nomads 3
Albion 5 vs LAGSD 1
SD Surf 3 vs Real SoCal 1
Strikers 6 vs LAUFA 1 note: normally would say that this might be a match where the Strikers could play some 05s up but the 05 Strikers are playing the 05 SD Surf, so that's not likely to happen.
LAFC 2 vs LA Galaxy 1 *match to watch* here's link to the extended version of how this match is likely to go - http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...ico-de-academia-parte-tres.17350/#post-264822
Real SoCal 3 vs LAGSD 1
FC Golden State 5 vs LAUFA 1
Kante
PREMIER
agreed. saw the 1st half and about 20 minutes of the 2nd half. LAG showed a lot of heart and gave LAFC a game despite being a man down.
Thought the straight red card was questionable since I don't think it was the intent of #25 to catch #4 in the chin. Saw most of what happened but the ref had a very good view too and it was a blow to the head so...
Was particularly impressed with the LAG goalie, and LAG's #19 and #10 play up top at the beginning of the 2nd half. Thought #33 also handled himself well, and that #10 did good job of working - in the first half - to involve all of LAG, but got tired and devolved a bit later in the 2nd half.
Was surprised by how direct LAFC was most of the game.
soccerstud
SILVER
Albion 0 - 1 FCGSA Final
Kante
PREMIER
here's predicts vs actuals (6/1 & 6/2). home team listed first.
predict: Barca 4 vs LAGSD 1 Actuals: Barca 2 vs LAGSD 2
predict: Albion 1 vs FCG 2 Actuals: Albion 0 vs FCG 1
predict: LAFC 3 vs Nomads 1 Actuals: LAFC 3 vs Nomads 0
predict: LAUFA 2 vs LAG 3 Actuals: LAUFA 1 vs LAG 2
predict: SD Surf 3 vs Pats 2 Actuals: SD Surf 5 vs Pats 1
note: seems like an intense match. per the game report, Pats scored first at the 11th minute but SD Surf tied it ten minutes later. Still tied 1-1 at half time. In the 2nd half, SD Surf came out more aggressive and looked like they took over the game going ahead 2-1 at the 53rd minute and then scoring three in the last ten minutes of the match. Pats had two yellow late in the match as well. Both SD Surf and the Pats played all of their 11 starters the full 80 minutes.
predict: Real SoCal 1 vs Strikers 4 Actuals: Real SoCal 3 vs Strikers 2
note: good win for RSC since their last match-up w/ the Strikers went 0-5 for the Strikers. RSC was down 1-2 until the last ten minutes when RSC scored twice for the win. EP for RSC went for a double - getting RSC's first goal at the 18th minute and their last goal at the 78th minute- plus a yellow at the 54th minute.
RSC was the most improved team on SoCal by far, being almost 3x better at the end of the season than they were at the beginning, with almost 30% of their overall team performance improvement on both sides of the ball being driven by improvement over time. The turning point in their season looks like it was the 0-5 loss to the Strikers in late January.
predict: Barca 4 vs LAGSD 1 Actuals: Barca 2 vs LAGSD 2
predict: Albion 1 vs FCG 2 Actuals: Albion 0 vs FCG 1
predict: LAFC 3 vs Nomads 1 Actuals: LAFC 3 vs Nomads 0
predict: LAUFA 2 vs LAG 3 Actuals: LAUFA 1 vs LAG 2
predict: SD Surf 3 vs Pats 2 Actuals: SD Surf 5 vs Pats 1
note: seems like an intense match. per the game report, Pats scored first at the 11th minute but SD Surf tied it ten minutes later. Still tied 1-1 at half time. In the 2nd half, SD Surf came out more aggressive and looked like they took over the game going ahead 2-1 at the 53rd minute and then scoring three in the last ten minutes of the match. Pats had two yellow late in the match as well. Both SD Surf and the Pats played all of their 11 starters the full 80 minutes.
predict: Real SoCal 1 vs Strikers 4 Actuals: Real SoCal 3 vs Strikers 2
note: good win for RSC since their last match-up w/ the Strikers went 0-5 for the Strikers. RSC was down 1-2 until the last ten minutes when RSC scored twice for the win. EP for RSC went for a double - getting RSC's first goal at the 18th minute and their last goal at the 78th minute- plus a yellow at the 54th minute.
RSC was the most improved team on SoCal by far, being almost 3x better at the end of the season than they were at the beginning, with almost 30% of their overall team performance improvement on both sides of the ball being driven by improvement over time. The turning point in their season looks like it was the 0-5 loss to the Strikers in late January.
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Heard it was Surf 6 vs LAUFA 1
Kante
PREMIER
Can anyone confirm the 6-1 score?
its confirmed
Kante
PREMIER
Here’s the final improved/least improved list for the 2018-19 season thru all game results posted by USSDA as of 6/15/19. Per multiple requests for more information, am including a full list of all SoCal teams. Since there's a number of games where SoCal played Norcal/Northwest team, am also including the Norcal/Northwest teams in this list.
Am using a simple statistical calc – regression – to look at how each team performed relative their group peers this season over time. The calc generates two key numbers:
a) coefficient = the amount of goal differential % a team improves/decline by over time. For example, if a team gets 5% better each game on average, then, at the end of a 23 game season, that team would be 115% better in the last game of the season than they were in their first game of the season.
The coefficient number is good surrogate for how much team development occurred over the course of the season. However, there's some caveats (adding players, injuries to key players, suspensions etc) to this.
b) intercept = this is the starting point where the team was in terms of goal differential % before they played their first game.
This intercept number is a very good surrogate for the quality of the players put together by a team at the beginning of the season i.e. how good are a team’s players as a group before receiving coaching. For example, LAFC players stand out as being head and shoulders ahead of the other teams. Probably due to both the quality of their players and getting an early start to training in the summer.
Here’s the ranked list of teams by how much they improved - or didn't improve - in 2018-19:
Here's the improvement ranking as a chart:
Here’s the ranked list of teams for the player quality that each team started with at the beginning of the season.
Here's the player quality at the beginning of the season chart:
Am using a simple statistical calc – regression – to look at how each team performed relative their group peers this season over time. The calc generates two key numbers:
a) coefficient = the amount of goal differential % a team improves/decline by over time. For example, if a team gets 5% better each game on average, then, at the end of a 23 game season, that team would be 115% better in the last game of the season than they were in their first game of the season.
The coefficient number is good surrogate for how much team development occurred over the course of the season. However, there's some caveats (adding players, injuries to key players, suspensions etc) to this.
b) intercept = this is the starting point where the team was in terms of goal differential % before they played their first game.
This intercept number is a very good surrogate for the quality of the players put together by a team at the beginning of the season i.e. how good are a team’s players as a group before receiving coaching. For example, LAFC players stand out as being head and shoulders ahead of the other teams. Probably due to both the quality of their players and getting an early start to training in the summer.
Here’s the ranked list of teams by how much they improved - or didn't improve - in 2018-19:
Here's the improvement ranking as a chart:
Here’s the ranked list of teams for the player quality that each team started with at the beginning of the season.
Here's the player quality at the beginning of the season chart:
Kante
PREMIER
In the first round of the DA u15 play-offs, TDS' #1 team in the country - LAFC - just beat Philadelphia Union - the TDS #2 team in the country - 5-1. Philly had the size but LAFC had everything else. At times, it looked like LAFC just had more players on the field. here's link to the match:
Also, if you get a chance, can you take this poll asking what would be interesting/engaging for next year? gracias! http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...r-the-new-season-please-pick-the-top-3.17573/
Also, if you get a chance, can you take this poll asking what would be interesting/engaging for next year? gracias! http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...r-the-new-season-please-pick-the-top-3.17573/
Fishme1
GOLD
LAFC Defense and offense had their way with PU.