2005 DA Standings

LAGSD vs TFA
judging based on the game report. LAGSD seems to be stronger than before. game was tied near to the end by an ungoal from Galaxy.[/QUOTE]

Box score a little misleading. TFA owned first 10 min and missed a very good chance during that stretch - passed around LAGSD defense and #10 played beautiful diagonal left-to-right chip to charging winger who hit crossbar with the volley. After that game settled down with chances both ways. LAGSD winger (#19) made most of his chances with two clinical finishes in second half. Due to injury with about 15 minutes left, LAGSD ended game with 10 players. Last play of game was TFA bending right-to-left corner that damn near went in on the fly - hit left post, bounced down and off goalie and was cleared. Both teams kept ball on the ground and tried to play. Fun game to watch!
 
oldman said:
LAGSD vs TFA
judging based on the game report. LAGSD seems to be stronger than before. game was tied near to the end by an ungoal from Galaxy.
Click to expand...

Box score a little misleading. TFA owned first 10 min and missed a very good chance during that stretch - passed around LAGSD defense and #10 played beautiful diagonal left-to-right chip to charging winger who hit crossbar with the volley. After that game settled down with chances both ways. LAGSD winger (#19) made most of his chances with two clinical finishes in second half. Due to injury with about 15 minutes left, LAGSD ended game with 10 players. Last play of game was TFA bending right-to-left corner that damn near went in on the fly - hit left post, bounced down and off goalie and was cleared. Both teams kept ball on the ground and tried to play. Fun game to watch![/QUOTE]
I read game very similar to the way you described it. Both teams had chances and good movement at times. I’m sure both sides are ok with the draw.
 
Here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (9/1)

predict: LAGSD 2 vs TFA 1. actuals: LAGSD 2 vs TFA 2
thanks for the commentary from oldman and soccerdad2016. (see above) sounds like it was a good match-up. looks like both teams are continuing their trends from last season, which bodes well for LAGSD but not so much for TFA.

predict: LA Galaxy 3 vs FC Golden State 1. actuals: LA Galaxy 2 vs FC Golden State 1
per the game report, seems like both LAG and FCG may have been testing out some players. LAG had seven subs in the match, and FCG had five. Both of LAG's goals were the first half and FCG scored in the second half. The game report reads like it may have been more of LAG's game but tough to tell. Any commentary on this one?

predict: Pats 2 SD Surf 2. actuals: Pats 1 SD Surf 1
looking at the game report roster, SD Surf did indeed take it on the head this year, losing 16 players out of 23. The algo predicted 2-9 results in SD Surf's favor based on data from last season. Obviously, that didn't happen. Looks like it could be a tough season for SD Surf given that they have one of the more difficult DA cup groups in the country.

predict: Sacramento Republic 0 vs LAFC 2. actuals: Sacramento Republic 1 vs LAFC 6
will own it. the first comment from the LAFC predicts for this weekend was that, last year, LAFC had some difficulty scoring goals... four different LAFC players scored against Sac, including a double from SR, the forward they added from the Strikers. This game could be an early indication that LAFC has taken a step up from last year. be interesting to see how things unfold.

predict: De Anza 0 vs LAFC 3. actuals: De Anza 0 vs LAFC 5
btw the two matches this weekend, LAFC outscored two good teams one or both may be ranked to TDS Top 25) 11-1 with seven different LAFC players scoring.
 
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Kante said:
Here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (9/1)

predict: LAGSD 2 vs TFA 1. actuals: LAGSD 2 vs TFA 2
thanks for the commentary from oldman and soccerdad2016. (see above) sounds like it was a good match-up. looks like both teams are continuing their trends from last season, which bodes well for LAGSD but not so much for TFA.

predict: LA Galaxy 3 vs FC Golden State 1. actuals: LA Galaxy 2 vs FC Golden State 1
per the game report, seems like both LAG and FCG may have been testing out some players. LAG had seven subs in the match, and FCG had five. Both of LAG's goals were the first half and FCG scored in the second half. The game report reads like it may have been more of LAG's game but tough to tell. Any commentary on this one?

predict: Pats 2 SD Surf 2. actuals: Pats 1 SD Surf 1
looking at the game report roster, SD Surf did indeed take it on the head this year, losing 16 players out of 23. The algo predicted 2-9 results in SD Surf's favor based on data from last season. Obviously, that didn't happen. Looks like it could be a tough season for SD Surf given that they have one of the more difficult DA cup groups in the country.

predict: Sacramento Republic 0 vs LAFC 2. actuals: Sacramento Republic 1 vs LAFC 6
will own it. the first comment from the LAFC predicts for this weekend was that, last year, LAFC had some difficulty scoring goals... four different LAFC players scored against Sac, including a double from SR, the forward they added from the Strikers. This game could be an early indication that LAFC has taken a step up from last year. be interesting to see how things unfold.

predict: De Anza 0 vs LAFC 3. actuals: pending (does anyone have results and/or commentary here?)
Click to expand...

5-0 LAFC vs De Anza
 
Soccerdad2016 said:
Box score a little misleading. TFA owned first 10 min and missed a very good chance during that stretch - passed around LAGSD defense and #10 played beautiful diagonal left-to-right chip to charging winger who hit crossbar with the volley. After that game settled down with chances both ways. LAGSD winger (#19) made most of his chances with two clinical finishes in second half. Due to injury with about 15 minutes left, LAGSD ended game with 10 players. Last play of game was TFA bending right-to-left corner that damn near went in on the fly - hit left post, bounced down and off goalie and was cleared. Both teams kept ball on the ground and tried to play. Fun game to watch!
Click to expand...
I read game very similar to the way you described it. Both teams had chances and good movement at times. I’m sure both sides are ok with the draw.[/QUOTE]

The LAGSD goal scorer is a 2007. Pretty incredible to be doing that well while playing two years up.
 
Kante said:
thx. any commentary on either match? 1st match had LAFC looking pretty solid.
Click to expand...
I wonder for what club you son is currently playing or used to play at KANTE?
I want to see your commentary balance/fairness between clubs. I have the feeling that you put some in a pedestal and some at the limbo based on your personal criteria or preference.
 
Emilio Castro said:
I wonder for what club you son is currently playing or used to play at KANTE?
I want to see your commentary balance/fairness between clubs. I have the feeling that you put some in a pedestal and some at the limbo based on your personal criteria or preference.
Click to expand...

Inquiring minds would like to know! But to be fair to Kante, his commentary balance has been pretty fair IMO.

Besides.... I think it's safe to say we all put teams on a "pedestal and some at the limbo" based on our own understanding of the game.
 
Emilio Castro said:
I wonder for what club you son is currently playing or used to play at KANTE?
I want to see your commentary balance/fairness between clubs. I have the feeling that you put some in a pedestal and some at the limbo based on your personal criteria or preference.
Click to expand...
A roll call would be ideal...
Soccer community is smaller than we think..
 
Is there a deadline for DAs to post rosters to the USSDA website? Curious about a few rosters and it looks like some, e.g. Barca, Seattle, still haven't posted anything.
 
Hot off the presses, below predicts for matches this weekend.

Still mostly based on results and trends from last year (so insert all of last week's caveats here) but modified algo to include an adjustment to a team's likely result based on relative strength/weakness of 2018-19 group.

Ex. Oregon score just over 50% fewer goals per game than SD teams. Similarly, Oregon teams typically allow about 3x more goals than SD teams. So, while the top Oregon team may blow out the other Oregon teams, they really are middle of the pack relative to SoCal teams.

A good real world example of this is that RSL (w/ a number of SoCal players) tied Portland Timbers 3-3 even though RSL played most of the match down a man. (Speaking of RSL, will try to include RSL predicts as of next week. Need to do include some data that's not currently in the model to be anywhere close to accurate for RSL)​

Here's predicts. Home (as always) is listed first. Best of luck!

SD Surf 2 vs De Anza 1
SD Surf performed about as expected last week. As a reminder, they lost most of their starting line-up from 2018-19 to RSL and Barcelona but do still have XG and TW, which is non-trivial.

Despite the 8/31 0-5 scoreline against LAFC, De Anza is a good team. On the flip side, best bet is that last week's tie against the Pats was a wake-up call/reality check for the SD Surf, and adjustments will be made this week.

LA Galaxy 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes 2 - match to watch
LAG started slow against FCG with the 2-1 win but only four LAG players went the full 80, and AK (in the mid) and JO (up top) were not rostered. Best guess is that they're going to strong against San Jose. On the flip side, San Jose had one of the D's in the country last year, particularly towards the end of the season with six shut-outs in their last six regular season away games.

Key to match for LAG - and, two cents here, for the season - is if JO is back, can they get JO and JR on the field at the time and have them be productive.

Strikers 5 vs Real SoCal 1
Strikers lost SR, who accounted for about 20% of the Strikers scoring in 2018-19, to LAFC, and it's unclear if FJ, who signed something with OC Blues, will be rostered. Still, the Strikers have a fair amount of firepower in most spots.

On the flip, RSC slimmed their roster down while adding size and speed, and could have one of the stronger midfields in SoCal this year. However, RSC still doesn't look like they have answers for how to get the ball in the back of the net, a problem they had last year, for example, averaging .85 goals per game in away matches.

LAFC 11 vs Pateadores 0
Yeah. Unfortunately, Pats tied SD Surf 1-1 last week, and, this season, LAFC '05s may be looking to make a statement.

FC Golden State 2 vs Sacramento Republic 2 - match to watch
This one is interesting. FC Golden State has added some firepower and, at least as of last season, had good size. On the other hand, Sacramento is no slouch and would give them the edge at home. But, FCG is tough to play at home and Sacramento has tough travel to get out to FCG's home field, so calling it a tie. Will be a good measure for how FCG is likely to do this season.

TFA 5 vs Ballistic 3
TFA picked up a number of solid players from LAUFA but aren't what they were last year where they were knocking on LAG and LAFC's door. Ballistic has a solid D but is traveling. Edge to TFA.

LAUFA 2 vs LAGSD 3
LAUFA will have their hands full with LAGSD's big forward and this one looks like it will be match-up driven. Algo says it will be close but it could get away from LAUFA if they don't have a defender who can match up.

Pateadores 1 vs San Jose Earthquakes 5
Tough weekend for the Pats, but they should feel good if they can get one in and if they can keep San Jose under five goals.

LAUFA 5 vs Ballistic 2
Interestingly, the algo has LAUFA doing a little bit better against Ballistic than TFA, holding Ballistic to one fewer goals. Will likely be theme thru the season where LAUFA and TFA project out with similar results. Be interesting to see the directions which player and team development take over the course of the season.

FC Golden State 4 vs De Anza 2
Reports had De Anza as the better team than Sacramento against LAFC, but the algo has Sacramento, based on results last season, has the stronger away team.

 
Kante said:
Hot off the presses, below predicts for matches this weekend.



LA Galaxy 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes 2 - match to watch
LAG started slow against FCG with the 2-1 win but only four LAG players went the full 80, and AK (in the mid) and JO (up top) were not rostered. Best guess is that they're going to strong against San Jose. On the flip side, San Jose had one of the D's in the country last year, particularly towards the end of the season with six shut-outs in their last six regular season away games.

Key to match for LAG - and, two cents here, for the season - is if JO is back, can they get JO and JR on the field at the time and have them be productive.

Click to expand...

Galaxy lost 4 -1. Not a good game and imho San Jose had control of the game. It’s only the second game in and maybe galaxy will find their groove. Time will tell.
 
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