G04 Rankings

Updated CAS G04 Rankings as of 9/19.

http://coachingkidssoccer.blogspot.com/2016/09/cas-g04-youth-soccer-rankings-8.html

Not a whole lot of changes in the top ten as sample sizes are pretty solid for the big name teams and one game doesn't sway the rankings too much unless it is a surprise result. A few teams didn't report scores over the weekend.

1. SD Surf (1)
2. Slammers Macias (2)
3. Arsenal Brown (3)
4. Strikers FC - OC EGSL Bull (4)
5. Real SoCal (5)
6. Beach FC LB Arrache (7)
7. LA Galaxy SD Elite (6)
8. IE Surf Premier RB (8)
9. West Coast (9)
10. Sharks Toumi (11)
 
Updated CAS G04 Rankings as of 9/26

http://coachingkidssoccer.blogspot.com/2016/09/cas-g04-youth-soccer-rankings-9.html

Rank. Team (Previous Rank)
1. SD Surf (1)
2. Slammers Macias (2)
3. Arsenal Brown (3)
4. Strikers FC - OC EGSL Bull (4)
5. Real SoCal (5)
6. Beach FC LB Arrache (6)
7. LA Galaxy SD Elite (7)
8. West Coast (9)
9. IE Surf Premier RB (8)
10. SoCal Blues Dido (11)

Notable movers:
Fullerton Rangers White moved from 22 to 19
CDA Slammers Huie moved from 25 to 21
Legends FC dropped from 19 to 22
CDA Slammers Gimenez dropped from 20 to 23
CCU SoCal Academy dropped from 28 to 33
Coachella Valley Desert Storm moved from 48 to 40
CZ Elite Quesada moved from 56 to 44
Anaheim Surf dropped from 42 to 52
SC Antelope moved from 68 to 55
Arsenal FC Hollis moved from 70 to 61
Futbol Foundation moved from 72 to 62
Albion SC OC White moved from 81 to 63
Claremont Stars Black dropped from 58 to 72
Pateadores Long Beach Blue dropped from 57 to 78
 
Updated CAS G04 Rankings as of 10/3.

http://coachingkidssoccer.blogspot.com/2016/10/cas-g04-youth-soccer-rankings-10.html

Big mover of the week is Eagles, who moved up four spots from #13 to #9. IE Surf RB drops out of the top ten. Really close between #4-#6 and then really close again between #9-#14.

1. SD Surf (1)
2. Slammers Macias (2)
3. Arsenal Brown (3)
4. Real SoCal EGSL (5)
5. Strikers FC OC Bull (4)
6. Beach FC Arrache (6)
7. LA Galaxy SD Elite (7)
8. West Coast Swanson (8)
9. Eagles (13)
10. DMCV Sharks Toumi (11)
 
Interesting to See Arsenal slipping down since they are barely beating the bottom feeders in Tier1 if they aren't using the ECNL players. Just look at the scores and who they play you can totally see what games they bring the "ringers" in for.
 
Interesting to See Arsenal slipping down since they are barely beating the bottom feeders in Tier1 if they aren't using the ECNL players. Just look at the scores and who they play you can totally see what games they bring the "ringers" in for.

Strikers, RSC and Arsenal are so close together that I would consider that a statistical tie for third in the rankings. Surf has a huge pad for the top ranking.
 
CAS G04 Rankings updated as of 11/14.

http://coachingkidssoccer.blogspot.com/2016/11/cas-g04-youth-soccer-rankings-16.html

  • Team #3 to #7 are all very close and within margin of error.
  • By the end of this month I will start weighting the more recent games heavier than previous ones. It won't have a huge effect on the rankings, but I believe it will do a better job of showing the present strength of each team.
I can not understand why San Diego Soccer Club is droping in the Ranking?
 
I can not understand why San Diego Soccer Club is droping in the Ranking?

Thanks for the question. Just a quick look at it, they are either not beating weaker teams or not beating them by the expected amount of goals.

Let's go back to the beginning of October and look at their results vs expected results.

The Strength Rating (SRS) for SDSC is 6.66, which means they should beat a team with an SRS of 4.66 by 2 goals. A negative number in the (Actual - Expected) column is a bad result, a positive number is a good result. With that in mind...

Date / Opponent / Opponent SRS / SDSC Expected Win Margin / Actual Win Margin / Actual - Expected
Oct 2 / Encinitas Express / 4.52 / 2.14 / 0 / -2.38
Oct 8 / Slammers Winn / 7.15 / -0.49 / 0 / +0.49
Oct 16 / SD Surf Velloso / 4.28 / 2.38 / 0 / -2.38
Oct 22 / Strikers North Flores / 5.78 / 0.88 / 1 / +0.12
Oct 22 / Soccer Life Academy / 5.75 / 0.91 / 1 / +0.09
Oct 29 / South Slammers Black / 2.44 / 4.22 / 5 / +0.78
Oct 30 / California Football Academy / 2.93 / 3.73 / 2 / -1.73
Nov 5 / Encinitas Express / 4.52 / 2.14 / 1 / -1.14
Nov 6 / SD Surf Velloso / 4.28 / 2.38 / 0 / -2.38


So it looks like bad results are weighing them down. If any of the data looks bad let me know.
 
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