2005 DA Standings

Some Friday evening handicapping for the weekend.

San Diego:
SDSC v Albion: Albion win 4-0
SD Surf v OC Surf: SD Surf win 4-1
Strikers v LAGSD: LAGSD win 1-0

Los Angeles:
LAFC v LAUFA: LAUFA win 2-1
TFA v SBSC: TFA win 4-1
FC Golden State v Legends: Legends win 3-0
Pats v Real SoCal: Real SoCal win 3-1
 
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Kante said:
Some Friday evening handicapping for the weekend.

San Diego:
SDSC v Albion: Albion win 4-0
SD Surf v OC Surf: SD Surf win 4-1
Strikers v LAGSD: LAGSD win 1-0

Los Angeles:
LAFC v LAUFA: LAUFA win 2-1
TFA v SBSC: TFA win 4-1
FC Golden State v Legends: Legends win 3-0
Pats v Real SoCal: Real SoCal win 3-1
Click to expand...
Rough handicapping weekend for you so far. Had to figure LAFC was ready to explode. But 9 on a good team? Wow.
 
Ilikefutbol said:
Rough handicapping weekend for you so far. Had to figure LAFC was ready to explode. But 9 on a good team? Wow.
Click to expand...

Yeah. Well. Fair point.

So, here's results vs prediction so far:

LAFC beat LAUFA 9-0 (had LAUFA winning 2-1)
Strikers beat LAGSD 7-1 (had LAGSD winning 1-0)
FC Golden State beat Legends 2-0 (had Legends winning 3-0)
Albion tied SDSC 1-1 (had Albion winning 4-0)
TFA beat Santa Barbara SC 6-0 (had TFA winning 4-1)
SD Surf beat OC Surf 6-0 (had SD Surf winning 4-1)

It will be an interesting season as teams sort themselves out. Here's comments on all games this weekend:
  • From my POV, both LAG and Real Socal (the two teams LAFC has lost to so far this year) got bigger this year, and it directly affected LAFC's ability to do what they are used to doing, particularly in the midfield. LAUFA also lost some significant players from last year, and only beat the Pats 2-1 with the winning goal coming in the last five minutes of the game. Will be interesting to see how TFA does against LAFC and LAG. Should be good games. Their loss 1-4 to LAUFA may have been a fluke, but maybe not.
  • Took the Strikers a couple of games to wake up. One caveat is that they've got a 2004 playing down who is tied for being the leading scorer on the team. Strikers next two games are against OC Surf and the SD Surf. We'll see how that goes.
  • FC Golden State had a tough schedule to start which included LAFC, TFA and LAG as three of their first four games. The Legends seem like they are reasonably good team, so maybe there's something more to FC Golden State than what their first four games showed.
  • Albion tied it up in the last minutes of the game. Good midfield but both defense and offense took a hit with players going to other clubs. Weird result since Albion beat Strikers 1-0 and then Strikers went on to beat SDSC 10-0. Maybe SDSC continues to get better, or maybe they just got a lucky early goal which exposed Albion's increased difficulty creating scoring opportunities in 2018-19.
  • TFA was only up 1-0 at half but came out strong in the 2nd half to run the score up to 6-0. After losing 2-5 the first time against TFA, would have expected more from Santa Barbara SC.
  • SD Surf - playing with a complete front line - officially welcomed OC Surf to DA with a 6-0 win, which included five goals scored in the first half. (The first game, which SD Surf won 5-2, was played with SD Surf missing two of three starting forwards)
All said, key takeaways from this weekend seem to be:

1) LAFC are back but their Achilles heel (playing against similar sized teams) may have been exposed against LAG and especially Real SoCal.

2) In the LA group, TFA is the biggest question mark, are they for real or not? They're playing Real SoCal, LAFC and LAG in their next three DA group matches, so we'll see.

3) The San Diego group has SD Surf, and maybe the Strikers (but maybe not). After that, the other higher level teams from last year have taken a step down due to player attrition (and some lower level teams look like they got a bit better). Will be interesting to see, with SD Surf consolidating talent and only regularly competing in SD, if the SD Surf players continue develop in the coming season and next year.
 
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Revised the algorithm and here's best guess for the weekend. the algo says it's going to be a tough weekend for some of the LA teams.

LA
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCG v LAUFA: 0-4
TFA v RealSocal: 4-1

SD
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-4
Nomads v Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0
 
Kante said:
Revised the algorithm and here's best guess for the weekend. the algo says it's going to be a tough weekend for some of the LA teams.

LA
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCG v LAUFA: 0-4
TFA v RealSocal: 4-1

SD
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-4
Nomads v Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0
Click to expand...
like your predictions but showing no love for Real SoCAl and OC Surf
I agree with the teams picked to win but the scores I would cut them in half. We'll See
What team does your player play for ? We are with Arsenal
 
Here's results vs predicts so far:

LA predicts:
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCGS v LAUFA: 1-4
TFA v Real SoCal: 4-1

LA Actuals:
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-4
FGS c LAUFA: 1-1
TFA v Real SoCal: 2-1

SD Predicts:
OC Surf vs Strikers : 1-4
Nomads vs Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0

SD Actuals:
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-6
Nomads v Albion 2-3
Arsenal v SDSC: 0-0

Notes:
  • SBSC had two critical ~10 minute breakdowns against the SoCal DA All-star team, I mean, LA Galaxy, once in the 1H from minute 25 to minute 34 for three goals by LAG, and again in the 2H from minute 50 to minute 58 for another three goals by LAG .
  • Pats held mostly strong through the 1H going into halftime 0-1, but broke allowed another three goals in the 2H by LAFC from minute 60 to minute 70.
  • Looks like it was a solid match-up between FGS and LAUFA. FGS gave up an early goal to LAUFA but came back to tie it up before the half, and then 2H played to a draw.
  • TFA had early two early goals on Real SoCal and had another goal thwarted by a foul by the Real SoCal goalie at the 48th minute (goalie was given a red card for denying an obvious goal scoring opportunity). Real SoCal held up for rest of 2H and got one back late.
  • OC Surf held in there for the 1H but couldn't maintain in the 2H
  • Albion and Nomads was back and forth with Albion getting a late goal in the last five minutes for the win
 
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Kante said:
Here's results vs predicts so far:

LA predicts:
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCGS v LAUFA: 1-4
TFA v Real SoCal: 4-1

LA Actuals:
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-4
FGS c LAUFA: 1-1
TFA v Real SoCal: 2-1

SD Predicts:
OC Surf vs Strikers : 1-4
Nomads vs Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0

SD Actuals:
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-6
Nomads v Albion 2-3
Arsenal v SDSC: 0-0

Notes:
  • Looks like ti was a solid match-up between FGS and LAUFA. FGS gave up an early goal to LAUFA but came back to tie it up before the half, and then 2H played to a draw.
Click to expand...


Actually, it was 1-0 LAUFA at halftime. FCGS scored on a PK (handball) in the 2nd half. FCGS had 2 great chances to win with 1 shot going of the crossbar and another high shot on frame, but the LAUFA goalie made an outstanding one handed save that deflected over the crossbar. But overall an very good game by both teams.
 
  • “TFA had early two early goals on Real SoCal and had another goal thwarted by a foul by the Real SoCal goalie at the 48th minute (goalie was given a red card for denying an obvious goal scoring opportunity). Real SoCal held up for rest of 2H and got one back late.”
1st TFA goal was a dive. RSC keeper comes out and gets to ball first. TFA player kicks it out of his hands and afterward dives and gets the penalty. Second TFA goal was a well taken goal down left flank. About 10 min into 2nd half RSC keeper gets straight red for coming out well outside his 18 and takes out TFA player. After that, RSC gets a quick goal and was unlucky not to put two more in if forward was more clinical. Could’ve easily ended in a draw. 1st half was all TFA, 2nd half was all RSC with a man down. True to form was Coach W losing his shit and screaming at the boys while a 10 man RSC dominated most of 2nd half. TFA is a solid team. Very direct into the final third of the field. Lots of long balls to their pacey forwards.
 
top drawer just came out w/ u14 Top 25 rankings. They have LAFC as #1 in the country, LAG as #10, LAUFA as #14, TFA as #17, SD Surf as #20 and FCGS as #24.

Did a RPI calc over the weekend and added meaningful head to head game results between the top tier SoCal teams and have some different rankings. As an fyi, RPI calcs typically weight team pts per game as 25% of RPI, strength of schedule (i.e. the pts per game of their opponents) as 50% of RPI and Opponents Opponents Pts per Game as 25% of RPI. Here's a link for more info:

Three items of note: 1) SD has SD Surf as its sole Tier 1 team 2) LAG had a solid win against LAFC but has had a very soft schedule and has played four of their five games at home. 3) FCGS and Santa Barbara SC haven't got results but have also had the two toughest schedules to date in SoCal.

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Friday morning handicapping:

LA:
LAG vs LAUFA: 5-0
LAG has four players who played for LAUFA last year, including LAUFA's 2017-18 leading scorer, their goalie and their defensive mid. LAUFA also has several former LAG players. LAUFA beat LAG last year both times they played. The first 15-20 minutes should be fun to watch but LAG's quality will take over after that.

Legends vs Real SoCal: 1-3

Santa Barbara SC vs FC Golden State: 1-3

LAFC vs TFA: the algorithm says 1-2 TFA wins but my gut says LAFC rallies at home to win 4-1
LAFC has lost a step offensively this year. One of their top 2017-18 scorers left to go to TFA in 2018-19, and the attack has been off balance this season.

SD:
SD Surf vs Nomads: 4-1

Albion vs Arsenal: 1-2
This one will be an interesting test for Arsenal. Albion, while still good, lost most of their goal scoring options from 2017-18, and Arsenal is much improved this year, particularly on the defensive side.

LAGSD vs OC Surf: 3-2



 
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Results so far:

Predict: LAG 5 vs LAUFA 0
Actuals: LAG 5 vs LAUFA 2

Looks like LAUFA started strong with two quick ones, but LAG came back w/ physical play in the 2H and had five in to win it. Please see Ferbert's post later in this thread for more detail.

Predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs FC Golden State 3
Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 2 vs FC Golden State 2

Per Red Card, Santa Barbara SC got two early ones, and then FC Golden State got one before half and then one in 2H to even it up.

Predict: San Diego Surf 4 vs Nomads 1
Actuals: San Diego Surf 4 vs Nomads 0
See Pirlo's comments for more detail on the match.

Predict: Legends 1 vs RealSocal 3
Actuals: Legends 1 vs RealSoCal 0

Predict: LAFC 4 vs TFA 1
Actuals: LAFC 4 vs TFA 1
Does anyone have any additional commentary on this match? It looks like LAFC went up in the first 10 minutes, TFA picked up one at the 20 minute mark to tie it, but then LAFC added one before halftime and then two more in 2H to seal the deal.

Predict: Albion 1 vs Arsenal 2
Actuals: Albion 0 vs Arsenal 3
Game report looks like it was pretty solid for Arsenal over the course of the whole game. Any additional commentary?

Predicts: LAGSD 3 vs OC Surf 2
Actuals: LAGSD 2 vs OC Surf 2
LAGSD went up 1-0 in the 1H and then added another later in 2h, but OC Surf came back with two to tie in the last ten minutes.
 
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Kante said:
Results so far:

Actuals: LAG 5 vs LAUFA 2
Predict: LAG 5 vs LAUFA 0

Looks like LAUFA started strong with two quick ones, but LAG came back hard in the 2H with five to win it. Any other commentary from folks at the games (Ferbert?) on how the match went would be welcome. Am sure it was an exciting match.
Click to expand...
Excellent game.
Laufa started very strong, 2 well worked early goals. 1h ended 2-1. We got couple key players out injured due to the fact that the game was too physical, good thing the ref let the boys play. Galaxy tied the game around mid 2h followed by another goal. We almost tied the game when galaxys keeper handed the ball out of the 18 (red card). Then, a nice shot that hits the post. Last 8 min galaxy scored 2 more goals playing long ball.
Galaxy team is strong at the most part thanks for 2 ex laufa players.
Very good game overall. I say the result doesn't reflect the quality of the game. Congrats to Galaxy on their victory. We are happy for the good competition.
 
Final score alert
Santa Barbara SC - 2
FC Golden State - 2

SBSC scores 2 early goals in the 1st 12 minutes or so.
FCGS scored before the half then tied it up in the 2nd half.
Pretty good back and forth game.
 
Kante said:
Results so far:

Predict: LAG 5 vs LAUFA 0
Actuals: LAG 5 vs LAUFA 2

Looks like LAUFA started strong with two quick ones, but LAG came back w/ physical play in the 2H and had five in to win it. Please see Ferbert's post later in this thread for more detail.

Predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs FC Golden State 3
Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 2 vs FC Golden State 2

Per Red Card, Santa Barbara SC got two early ones, and then FC Golden State got one before half and then one in 2H to even it up.

Actuals: San Diego Surf 4 vs Nomads 0
Predict: San Diego Surf 4 vs Nomads 1

Predicts still pending:
Legends 1 vs Real SoCal 3
LAFC 4 vs TFA 1
Albion 1 vs Arsenal 2
LAGSD 3 vs OC Surf 2
Click to expand...
Surf was not overwhelming but saying that Nomads didn’t muster one shot on goal.Nomads played with 2 deep blocks of 4 and was damage limitation!!Surf vGalaxy In showcase will be 1 to watch!!
 
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