El Trafico 2019 is here! For those interested, the match will be at Carson on Field #3 this Saturday, October 5th with a game start of 10am. Short version: LAG will be missing a couple of key players - including BT and JO (per reports) - so this changes the original predict and the focus for keys to the game. revised: LA Galaxy 1 vs LAFC 4 (fyi, the algo more exactly says w/ BT and JO out, predict is now LAG 1.2 vs LAFC 3.52; for reference, the original predict said LAG 1.29 vs LAFC 2.49) Here's keys to the game: 1) With BT out, two cents is that the results will be determined in the mid, specifically in LAG's mid can rise to the occasion. LAFC’s DC has been en fuego so far this season, averaging 1.65 goals personally scored per 80 minutes played. However, the rest of the LAFC offense has been slowing down a bit when DC is on the field, with the whole rest of the team only averaging .99 goals scored per 80 minutes played during this time. (Caveats are that it’s a small sample size (only five games) so both of the above items may be outliers, and not sure how either will affect the outcome.) DC showed a tendency to shrink a bit when challenged with physical play by the other team’s mids. Will be interesting to see if this is the case against LA Galaxy. Not sure if AK will be available, but whoever LAG has in the mid will need to really get stuck in to make this a competitive match. 2) Both teams these days are scoring and allowing goals fairly evenly over the course of the game, but LAFC does tend to put their foot on the gas offensively from the 51st to the 70th minutes, which is also when LA Galaxy tend to give up more goals that typical. Balance of the game could tip here. 3) LA Galaxy also need to be mindful of allowing goal scoring by LAFC btw the 11 and 20th minutes and right before the end of the first half. 4) LAFC need to be defensively careful right at the beginning of the second half, and also at the 61st to 70th minute period. 5) Doesn't sound like it will be a problem, but LA Galaxy have picked up two reds in their last five games, and have had to play one man down twice for extended periods of time against good teams. Reports say these cards have been one off flukes, but LA Galaxy/LAFC matches pretty intense so something to watch for. ___________ Good luck to both teams! Should be a fun one to watch.