Simisoccerfan
PREMIER
In honor of Signing Day and the end my dd’s first year of college soccer I thought to look at some data to see how many Freshman actually play and the odds of making it all four years at the college where they signed. So far I have looked at six years of data for 12 major mostly SoCal schools. I have seen enough data to draw the following conclusion:
- About 66% of college Freshman make it into a game during their first season. This means 1/3 of your dd’s that just signed won’t even play one minute next season. The range so far is from the low 50% to mid 70%. The quality of the program doesn’t seem to make a difference but more the overall size of the team. Stanford is leading the way with 75% of Freshman playing.
- Only about 60% of college Freshman are on their team‘s roster by their Senior year. The range is plus or minus 10%. Of course some of the 40% that don’t stay transfer to play elsewhere but there is no way to track this. So 40% of your dd’s signing today won’t still be playing for this team in 4 years.
- Just 1/3 of college Freshman that ride the pine their Freshman year are still on the team by their Senior year. This appears to be mostly made of goalies and players missing their first season due to injury. The odds are really stacked against Freshman field players that are healthy and can’t find playing time their first year.