2006 DA

3leches said:
US training camp on the 17th for the 2006 age group.
11 from LAFC
7 from LAG ( surprising consider how bad this team did last season)
5 FC Golden State
2 Santa Barbara
And strikers
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What a joke, so more LA Galaxy and FCGS players than TFA and LAFC bench players over TFA starters. Thank goodness it isn't a political thing. US Soccer needs to stop running on the typical American Jock recruiting mind set and start focusing on those with soccer smarts and vision along with athleticism.
 
Kante said:
Here actuals vs predicts from last weekend (9/7/19)
Los Angeles:
predict: LA Galaxy 4 vs LA Surf 1. Actuals: LA Galaxy 5 vs LA Surf 3
Seems like a fun match to watch. per game report, LA Surf was up 3-1 at half but LAG came back w/ PR scoring a hat trick in the 2h. PR is new to LAG from the Strikers (and looks like a very tough match-up) and averaged 1.1 goals per game last season. Any other commentary?
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Surf surprised Galaxy by scoring three goals in the 1st half, Surf is not a bad team at all. Surf CB fouled a player and NS scored on a free kick which put Galaxy on the score map. I felt the level of play was equal on both sides of the field, Surf lacks a little bit of strength in the middle and right side.. Galaxy was flat most of the game until PR was able to come in to be a game changer, he will be a player to watch this season.
Exciting good game , as the DA likes to say "meaningful match"...
 
Here's predicts for this weekend (9/14/19). Home teams listed first. Am still dialing in the accuracy leveraging last season's results. Thanks for the patience with the this experiment.

Los Angeles
Legends 1 vs TFA 9
LAFC 2 vs Pateadores 1 - match to watch note: Pats were pretty strong last year and the result against Santa Barbara looks like they're continuing that trend. Will be a good test for both teams
Ventura Fusion 4 vs LAUFA 2
FC Golden State 4 vs Santa Barbara 1
Real So Cal 2 vs LA Surf 3 - match to watch note: both teams are solidly in the LA tier 2 (which is not a backhanded compliment when the LA group includes LAFC and TFA). Be interesting to see how they do against each other.

San Diego
Albion 4 vs Arsenal 2
Strikers 3 vs San Diego Surf 2 - match to watch
LAGSD 2 vs San Diego SC 0
Murrieta Surf 0 vs Nomads 0 note: the algo is not showing the Nomads any love despite their win last weekend. hopefully they continue the trend and show the algo who's boss...



size_five said:
re: LAUFA - we've had some recent departures, including our top three scorers. Most recently we lost our top striker to TFA. A few 07's have been playing up. Will likely have several 07's this weekend in order to field a full team.
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size_five, got it. thx for the heads-up and best of luck this weekend. how was the match against the Pats last weekend?
 
Kante said:
Here's predicts for this weekend (9/14/19). Home teams listed first. Am still dialing in the accuracy leveraging last season's results. Thanks for the patience with the this experiment.

Los Angeles
Legends 1 vs TFA 9
LAFC 2 vs Pateadores 1 - match to watch note: Pats were pretty strong last year and the result against Santa Barbara looks like they're continuing that trend. Will be a good test for both teams
Ventura Fusion 4 vs LAUFA 2
FC Golden State 4 vs Santa Barbara 1
Real So Cal 2 vs LA Surf 3 - match to watch note: both teams are solidly in the LA tier 2 (which is not a backhanded compliment when the LA group includes LAFC and TFA). Be interesting to see how they do against each other.

San Diego
Albion 4 vs Arsenal 2
Strikers 3 vs San Diego Surf 2 - match to watch
LAGSD 2 vs San Diego SC 0
Murrieta Surf 0 vs Nomads 0 note: the algo is not showing the Nomads any love despite their win last weekend. hopefully they continue the trend and show the algo who's boss...




size_five, got it. thx for the heads-up and best of luck this weekend. how was the match against the Pats last weekend?
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RSC beat LA Surf 3:0, TR two goals.
 
Golden State beat SB: 9-2 .. I think
I have friend on both Real and Premier:
Real So Cal Parents: We dominated possession and shut them out. They couldn’t handle our middle.
Premier Parents: We dominated possession 3/4 of the game , couldn’t put it in the back of the net. 2 of the 3 goals the goalie gave to Real .

Interesting how both sides see the game.
 
3leches said:
Golden State beat SB: 9-2 .. I think
I have friend on both Real and Premier:
Real So Cal Parents: We dominated possession and shut them out. They couldn’t handle our middle.
Premier Parents: We dominated possession 3/4 of the game , couldn’t put it in the back of the net. 2 of the 3 goals the goalie gave to Real .

Interesting how both sides see the game.
Click to expand...

LA Surf dominated first 23 min of the game, then RSC introduced smaller lineup with their subs (7 came in with ZS who actually played that part of the match as def mid), from that point on RSC had clear possession and Surf was totally indolent for the rest of the game...last goal was totally mistake by the former galaxy keeper/now surf's backup goalie, but Surf's defense could not contain TR, CC, or ZS later on.
 
Here's actuals vs predicts for this last weekend (9/14/19). Home teams listed first. Am still dialing in the accuracy leveraging last season's results. Thanks for the patience with this experiment.

Los Angeles
predict: Legends 1 vs TFA 9. Actuals: Legends 2 vs TFA 10

predict: LAFC 2 vs Pateadores 1. Actuals: LAFC 4 vs Pateadores 0
note: not much in this game report. Last year’s match at Cal State LA was a little more wide open but similar result 6-2 for LAFC. Would have thought that the Pats would have done a bit better. Any commentary on this one?

predict: Ventura Fusion 4 vs LAUFA 2. Actuals: Ventura Fusion 6 vs LAUFA 3
note: Ventura off to a decent start and could be a contender solid Tier 3 contender (below TFA & LAFC at Tier 1, and then also below LAG & RSC at Tier 2). Tbd.


predict: FC Golden State 4 vs Santa Barbara 1. Actuals: FC Golden State 1 vs Santa Barbara 1
note: Santa Barbara looks a little better w/ the improvement starting about mid-May of last season but FCG is not all that (e.g., defense has consistently declined since last season and the decline is continuing this year). Neither team may have much impact this season.

predict: Real So Cal 2 vs LA Surf 3. Actual: Real So Cal 3 vs LA Surf 0
note: strong performance by RSC. TR - coming back to RSC from LAFC – has four goals in two games so far. RSC’s match next week against LA Galaxy will be one to watch. Here’s commentary from match (thx tres leches and Zvezdas!)

“Real So Cal Parents: We dominated possession and shut them out. They couldn’t handle our middle.
Premier Parents: We dominated possession 3/4 of the game, couldn’t put it in the back of the net. 2 of the 3 goals the goalie gave to Real .”

“LA Surf dominated first 23 min of the game, then RSC introduced smaller lineup with their subs (7 came in with ZS who actually played that part of the match as def mid), from that point on RSC had clear possession and Surf was totally indolent for the rest of the game...last goal was totally mistake by the former galaxy keeper/now surf's backup goalie, but Surf's defense could not contain TR, CC, or ZS later on.”​

One item that could be tough for RSC is that they’re listing 19 players on the roster, and it sounds like they’re doing line change substitutions (seven came in). Tough on development, and maintaining momentum in the match.

Any other commentary here?

San Diego
predict: Albion 4 vs Arsenal 2. Actuals: Albion 0 vs Arsenal 3
note: nice and unexpected win for Arsenal. Arsenal has shown consistent offensive improvement since last year that looks like it’s continuing this season, and look like they have made some defensive adjustments this season. Not sure what the story is with Albion. JL – averaged about 1 goal a game last year and had all four against SDSC last week – was quiet. Off game or good play by Arsenal?

Any other commentary or insights?

predict: Strikers 3 vs San Diego Surf 2. Actual: Strikers 2 vs San Diego Surf 0
note: not much in the game report. Any other commentary or insights?

predict: LAGSD 2 vs San Diego SC 0. Actual: LAGSD 3 vs San Diego SC 3
note: per game report, looks like an exciting match. SDSC went down 0-3 but came back with three goals after the 50th minute. Any other commentary or insights?

predict: Murrieta Surf 0 vs Nomads 0. Actuals: Murrieta Surf 1 vs Nomads 0
note: looks like algo was close to spot on, with Murrieta’s goal coming at the 75th minute. Any other commentary or insights?
 
3leches said:
Golden State beat SB: 9-2 .. I think
I have friend on both Real and Premier:
Real So Cal Parents: We dominated possession and shut them out. They couldn’t handle our middle.
Premier Parents: We dominated possession 3/4 of the game , couldn’t put it in the back of the net. 2 of the 3 goals the goalie gave to Real .

Interesting how both sides see the game.
Click to expand...
You definitely have to take the anecdotal data on here about matches with a grain of salt. Highly subjective. I have seen some of the matches discussed on here and thought, what match were they watching. We all have our perspectives and bias.
 
here's predicts for this weekend. home team is listed first. am including predicts for the AZ games but most of the AZ team data is from YSR ... most of the data for the other teams is still from last season, so insert all previous caveats here.

Los Angeles
TFA 8 vs LA Galaxy 3

Ventura Fusion 3 vs Pateadores 4 - match to watch
note: this match is Ventura's best measuring stick to date to see how they match up in a new age group. Pateadores have underperformed a bit this season relative to last season but still look like they're in the tier just below TFA and LAFC.

LAUFA 1 vs FC Golden State 3

Santa Barbara SC 2 vs Legends 2

Real So Cal 2 vs LA Galaxy 2 - match to watch
note: Real SoCal seems to be on the cusp of breaking out of the lower tier. LA Galaxy added a number of new players at the end of last season and saw immediate improvement in results. This match will be interesting to watch.

San Diego
Arsenal 2 vs San Diego SC 2
note: this match could be an opportunity for Arsenal's trend line to continue up and move up a tier competitively.

Real Salt Lake AZ 3 vs OC Surf 1
note: all the AZ matches are based mostly on YSR rankings data, so ...

San Diego Surf 2 vs Murrieta Surf 1
note: SD Surf don't look like they're quite what they were last season. Could be an opportunity for Murrieta to grab some unexpected points.

SC del Sol 2 vs Strikers 2
note: all the AZ matches are based mostly on YSR rankings data, so ...

Real Salt Lake AZ 2 vs Strikers 3
note: all the AZ matches are based mostly on YSR rankings data, so ...

SC del Sol 5 vs OC Surf 2
note: all the AZ matches are based mostly on YSR rankings data, so ...
 
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here's actuals vs predicts for this weekend (9/21/19). home team is listed first.

algo is just starting to get enough data to start to get in dialed in, a little bit ahead of schedule... the caveats are the games against the AZ teams, so hang in there, should be decent for AZ predict in another 3-4 games.

Los Angeles
predict: TFA 8 vs LA Galaxy 3 Actuals: TFA 4 vs LA Galaxy 2
note: per the game report, 1st half looked like it might have been tentative/slow with score was only 1-0 TFA at the half. But TFA went up 3-0 about 15 minutes into the 2nd half. At that point, something broke down for TFA and LAG made it a game with two quick ones to bring the score to 3-2. DBA put in his second goal for the day at the very end of the game to make it a 4-2 final result.

OK result for LAG but TFA may have some things to look at.

predict: Ventura Fusion 3 vs Pateadores 4 Actuals: Ventura Fusion 2 vs Pateadores 2
note: decent performance by Ventura against a good Pateadores team. For a team that is playing DA for the first time this season, Ventura's been showing up. On the flip side, Pateadores have underperformed a bit this season relative to last season. Not sure why that is.

predict: LAUFA 1 vs FC Golden State 3 Actuals: LAUFA 1 vs FC Golden State 3

predict: Santa Barbara SC 2 vs Legends 2 Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 2 vs Legends 1
note: Santa Barbara picked up their first win of the season against a Legends team that has now been outscored 18-6 in their first three matches of the season.

predict: Real So Cal 2 vs LA Galaxy 2. Actuals: Real So Cal 1 vs LA Galaxy 2
note: Real SoCal seems to be on the cusp of breaking out of the lower tier but not quite yet. per the game report, LAG scored early but RSC matched them at about the 20th minute, so tied 1-1 at half. Game remained scoreless until LAG added another one at the 66th minute. RSC's leading scorer - TR, a player who came back to RSC after playing for LAFC for one year - picked up a yellow at the 68th minute so there may have been a little frustration going on. next week, RSC has the Pats away and that will be another opportunity to step their game up a notch.

San Diego
predict: Arsenal 2 vs San Diego SC 2. Actuals: Arsenal 2 vs San Diego SC 2

predict: Real Salt Lake AZ 3 vs OC Surf 1 Actuals: Real Salt Lake AZ 2 vs OC Surf 1

predict: San Diego Surf 2 vs Murrieta Surf 1 Actuals: San Diego Surf 4 vs Murrieta Surf 2
note: per the game report, SD Surf scored one early for a 1-0 lead, and then two more right before half for 3-0 halftime lead. Murrieta seems to have woken in the 2nd half, and got two in the first ten minutes of the 2nd half to make the score 3-2, but SD Surf got it together to hold off Murrieta and EP put one in at the 68th minute, and then promptly picked up a yellow, for the final result 4-2. Seems like the last 30 minutes were probably pretty intense.

Any commentary/insights from anyone else?

predict: SC del Sol 2 vs Strikers 2 Actuals: SC del Sol 0 vs Strikers 1
note: not much in the game report on this one. Any commentary/insights?

predict: Real Salt Lake AZ 2 vs Strikers 3 Actuals: Real Salt Lake AZ 3 vs Strikers 3
note: per the game report, looks like a solid match that Strikers had the upper hand in. Was 3-1 Strikers at half, but RSL got back in it with a quick one after the start of the second half, and then tied it 3-3 at the 80th.

predict: SC del Sol 5 vs OC Surf 2 Actuals: SC del Sol 4 vs OC Surf 0
note: the match looks like it was tight in the first half with the score 0-0 at half. Things got more active in the 2nd half, with KS opening the scoring for SC del Sol at the 55th minute, and JG for SC del Sol then dropping three more on OC Surf, all in the next ten minutes. After that scoring flurry, SC del Sol also picked up three of the yellows in the next 15 minutes.

Any commentary/insight, particularly that 20 minute window in the 2nd half where things got "exciting"?
 
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here's predicts for this weekend (9/28/19). home team is listed first.

FYI, the algo is getting there. Last week, only one result was significantly out of band (i.e. TFA vs LAG - if anyone has commentary or insight - either to post or dm - from that match it would be super helpful!) and have come up with a workaround for the AZ teams that's relatively accurate, so will avoid the caveats this week. (fingers crossed)

Los Angeles
Pateadores 4 vs Real So Cal 2 - match to watch
note: RSC might be on the cusp of moving up to be more competitive. this week will be a good measure to see if they're up for it.

Ventura Fusion 4 vs LA Galaxy 7 - match to watch
note: Ventura can score goals but their defense is suspect. LAG - after a not great 2018-19 - seems to be righting the ship. in LAG's shoes, goals for this weekend would be looking to a) hold Ventura to one or fewer goals and b) score four or more goals. will seeing LAG can continue to make forward progress.

TFA 12 vs LA Surf 1
FC Golden State 0 vs LAFC 5
LAUFA 1 vs Santa Barbara SC 1

San Diego
note: seems like SD has their top teams - Strikers and SD Surf, and then the AZ teams - and then a lot of parity in the second tier. anyone have comments/insight on 2nd tier teams that might have a shot at breaking into the top tier?

Albion 2 vs OC Surf 2
LAGSD 2vs Murrieta 2
SDSC 1 vs SD Surf 5




 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (9/28/19). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: Pateadores 4 vs Real So Cal 2 Actuals: Pateadores 1 vs Real So Cal 1
note: per the game report, looks like a very competitive match. Pats scored one in the first half but RSC tied it at the 70th minute.

predict: Ventura Fusion 4 vs LA Galaxy 7 Actuals: Ventura Fusion 2 vs LA Galaxy 4
note: per the game report, first half was tight with it being 3-2 LAG at ht. In the 2nd half, LAG scored one more and shut down Ventura for a final result of 4-2. Anyone have more commentary/insights here?

predict: TFA 12 vs LA Surf 1 Actuals: TFA 9 vs LA Surf 1

predict: FC Golden State 0 vs LAFC 5. Actuals: FC Golden State 0 vs LAFC 0
note: surprising result by a FCG team that lost 1-6 to LAG and tied Santa Barbara 1-1. per the game report, it got a little chippy in the last ten minutes with three yellows. Am assuming that FCG bunkered and put 11 guys behind the ball for this result but could be wrong on this. Anyone have more commentary/insights here? am sure everyone would love some insight into how this one went.

predict: LAUFA 1 vs Santa Barbara SC 1 Actuals:canceled/ to be rescheduled

San Diego
predict: Albion 2 vs OC Surf 2 Actuals: pending

predict: LAGSD 2 vs Murrieta 2 Actuals: LAGSD 4 vs Murrieta 3

predict: SDSC 1 vs SD Surf 5 Actuals: SDSC 1 vs SD Surf 5
 
here's predicts for this weekend (10/4). home teams are listed first.

Los Angeles
Pateadores 3 vs LAUFA 1
LA Galaxy 1 vs LAFC 4
Real SoCal 2 vs Ventura Fusion 4
Pateadores 4 vs LA Galaxy 2
Santa Barbara SC 2 vs FC Golden State 3
Legends 2 vs LA Surf 2

San Diego
Arsenal 1 vs San Diego Surf 3
OC Surf 1 vs Nomads 1
San Diego SC 1 vs SC del Sol 3
San Diego SC 1 vs Real Salt Lake Arizona 4
LAGSD 1 vs Strikers 3
 
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