2005 DA Standings

here's predicts for the Galaxy Cup Tournie Thursday games today (4/18).

Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0
note: two SD group teams with Nomads trending positive on both side of the ball and Arsenal trending the other way. last time these teams met, result was 1-2 Arsenal. The algo says that the trends will drive an opposite result today.

LAGSD 1 vs Legends 2 * good LA vs SD match to watch *

note: Legends had been improving significantly on the goal scoring side over most of the 2018-19 season to go with a very good defense but seem to have lost a bit of their goal scoring mojo against LAFC and then RSC yesterday. on the flip side, LAGSD has been pretty consistent this season with an OK offense and a good defense. be interesting to see the result here.

FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 2 * good LA vs SD match to watch *

note: am assuming the SD Surf shock and awe caught FCG off guard, making the 0-5 result an outlier. for reference, Albion recent results against SD Surf were 1-4 the first match and 0-1 the 2nd match, so FCG should not underestimate Albion.

LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 1 * match to watch *
note: the algo had this at 1-3 Seattle, even after discounting for the easier WA group that Seattle plays in. However, the algo also had Seattle 6-1 over Arsenal and the actual result was 2-1. So, calling it 1-1 but rooting LAUFA to pull out a win.


Seattle had two players called up to the US Soccer West Regional Camp whereas LAUFA didn't have any, and Top Drawer has Seattle #12 while ranking LAUFA at #25.


Pacific Northwest 1 vs LA Galaxy 3 * match to watch *
note: the algo has this one at 1-3 LAG. However, LAG is the type of team - big/fast/strong - that PNW had some challenges with at the showcase. Plus, LAG is a step up from quality wise from those teams. Drawing Albion 4-4 does not bode well for PNW against LAG today. On the flip side, JO - 17 goals in 19 games - may still be out with an injury and LAG has a significant reliance on him offensively.

TopDrawer has LAG at #16 in the country while not ranking PNW. With Seattle ranked at #12 but w/ PNW beating Seattle 5-3 in April, not sure that PNW not being ranked makes sense.


US Soccer seems to think the teams are roughly equivalent with LAG having five players called up to the US Soccer West Regional Camp and PNW having four players called up.

No Data for algo-based predicts:

Sporting KC vs SD Surf. * match to watch *
note: SKC had a solid 2-1 win over LAG yesterday but SD Surf beat LAG 3-0 in a 50 minute game at the showcase. (saw that match and thought it was closer than the result with LAG getting unlucky/not being clinical on some of their opportunities but that's a different conversation...)


SD Surf has had nine players called up to the US Soccer Regional Camps (8 at the west and 1 at the central) and SKC had four players called up. Top Drawer has SD Surf as the #1 u14 team in the country.

best guess is SKC 1 vs SD Surf 3.


Real Salt Lake vs Real SoCal
note: RSL seems to be very strong defensively and have a good but not great offense. At the showcase, RSL beat PNW 4-3, and RSC lost to PNW 0-1. RSC has trended worse offensively since but their defense is solid.

RSL had five players called up to US Soccer West Regional Camp, and is ranked #2 in the country by TopDrawer.

best guess is RSL 3 vs RSC 0.





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I think Laufa will win this group
Arsenal vs Seattle United was a 50/50 game with refs being one sided towards Seattle's favor
A good game it was though. Seattle won on a last minute goal
Arsenal vs Nomads will be a good test for arsenal last time they played Nomads had no mercy and ended 6-2
Arsenal had one key injury but still nomads has improved tremendously in my opinion.
 
For the FCGS vs SD Surf:
FCGS hit the post on a nice shot within the opening minute of the match and it went quickly downhill from there. Surf strikers were just too fast for the defense. Painful to watch for the FCGS fans.

Quick note on the match against Albion later today - FCGS played Albion in January in the Albion showcase held at USD and the match ended 0-0. If I remember correctly, we controlled the game but every call went against FCGS. It was so bad the after the game, the referee ran up to the coach and started yelling at him then issued a red card to the coach. Lucky some of the brass for the tournament witness this and quickly reversed the red card given to the coach. Crazy....
 
For the FCGS vs SD Surf:
FCGS hit the post on a nice shot within the opening minute of the match and it went quickly downhill from there. Surf strikers were just too fast for the defense. Painful to watch for the FCGS fans.

Quick note on the match against Albion later today - FCGS played Albion in January in the Albion showcase held at USD and the match ended 0-0. If I remember correctly, we controlled the game but every call went against FCGS. It was so bad the after the game, the referee ran up to the coach and started yelling at him then issued a red card to the coach. Lucky some of the brass for the tournament witness this and quickly reversed the red card given to the coach. Crazy....
yeah, the SD Surf forwards are tough to stop. lots of size and speed, and if the backline gets preoccupied with the big SDS striker, the other forwards and mids go to town. but, that's the level if the boys want to take the next step. a good experience.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for Galaxy Cup Tournie Wednesday games (4/17).

predict: FC Golden State 1 vs SD Surf 4. Actuals: FC Golden State 0 vs SD Surf 5. note: full disclosure, the algo had the score at 0-5 but tweaked it due to slightly lower relative performance by SD teams at the showcase.

Here's commentary from redcard (thx!):

"FCGS hit the post on a nice shot within the opening minute of the match and it went quickly downhill from there. Surf strikers were just too fast for the defense. Painful to watch for the FCGS fans.

Quick note on the match against Albion later today - FCGS played Albion in January in the Albion showcase held at USD and the match ended 0-0. If I remember correctly, we controlled the game but every call went against FCGS. It was so bad the after the game, the referee ran up to the coach and started yelling at him then issued a red card to the coach. Lucky some of the brass for the tournament witness this and quickly reversed the red card given to the coach. Crazy..."

predict: Real SoCal 0 vs Legends 2. Actuals: Real SoCal 0 vs Legends 1

predict: Albion 1 vs Pacific Northwest 4. Actuals: Albion 4 vs Pacific Northwest 4
note: really interesting result. if anything, would have thought maybe a 1-2 or 0-1 result in favor of PNW due to Albion's D. The result was both the 2nd most goals scored by Albion this season and the 2nd most goals allowed by Albion this season. seems like Albion made a statement but not entirely sure what that statement was.

*anyone have more color on how this one went down?*

predict: Seattle United 6 vs Arsenal 1. Actuals: Seattle United 2 vs Arsenal 1
note: Decent showing by Arsenal. Have been rooting for them to get back on track for a bit. maybe a turning point here.

Here's commentary from 66 gto (thx!):
"I think Laufa will win this group. Arsenal vs Seattle United was a 50/50 game with refs being one sided towards Seattle's favor . A good game it was though. Seattle won on a last minute goal.

Arsenal vs Nomads will be a good test for arsenal last time they played Nomads had no mercy and ended 6-2. Arsenal had one key injury but still nomads has improved tremendously in my opinion."

predict: Nomads 2 vs LAUFA 1. Actuals: Nomads 2 vs LAUFA 3


*anyone have more color on how this one went down?*

Actuals: Real Salt Lake 2 vs LAGSD 0
Actuals: LA Galaxy 1 vs Sporting KC 2. note: Does anyone know if LAG's JO is back from injury yet?

*Looks like the two above games that couldn't be forecasted were both solid. Any commentary?*

More commentary on FCGS vs. Surf game -

Surf 5 - FCGS 0
Goals: GE 2, MMG 1, AL 1, EZ 1

FCGS applied great pressure on Surf to play out of the back for the first 10-15 mins of the game. Pressure had Surf disjointed which resulted in turnovers in the final third for FCGS. FCGS had quite a few real chances, with one hitting the post, due to their pressure. The first time Surf broke the lines of pressure it resulted in GE's first goal and the game opened up after that. Once Surf figured out how to break the pressure it was all Surf.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for the Galaxy Cup Tournie Thursday games today (4/18). anyone have additional comments on how the games went?

predict: Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0. Actuals: Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0.

here's comments from 66gto (thx!):
"Was a good fought game. Arsenal had only one sub for the game the def center mid #17 Had a few clean chances including one hit from way outside the 18 and hit cross bar. Very surprised Laufa lost we’ll see them tomorrow.
Good games so far."​

predict: LAGSD 1 vs Legends 2. Actuals: LAGSD 0 vs Legends 0

predict: FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 2. Actuals: FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 1. note: had comments from justneedaname that this match got a little "ugly" with FCGS reportedly receiving 6 yellows. Any additional comments/color on this one?

predict: LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 1 (algo had it at LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 3...) Actuals: LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 3

predict: Pacific Northwest 1 vs LA Galaxy 3. Actuals: Pacific Northwest 3 vs LA Galaxy 4. note: Any comments on this match? would have thought LAG's physicality plus quality play would have made it tougher for PNW. Good on PNW for rising to the occasion. Also was JO available for this match?

best guess: Sporting KC 1 vs SD Surf 3. Actuals: Sporting KC 2 vs SD Surf 2.

here's comments from soccerdad2016 (thx!):

"I saw first half of Surf SKC game. Surf went up 2-0 and then SKC came back with 2. All in first half .SKC seemed to figure out the Surf player who scored first goal and marked him with an as fast and strong defender. It was a really fun battle to watch. I'm surprised neither team scored in second half as there were a lot of chances in first."

here's comments from 66gto (thx!):
"Saw Surf vs Kansas and surf could had gone up 4-0 in the first 15 mins
Surf is a beast of a team. Their second goal was a beauty..."
best guess: Real Salt Lake 3 vs Real SoCal 0. Actuals: RSL 2 vs RSC 0.
 
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here's predicts vs actuals for the Galaxy Cup Tournie Thursday games today (4/18). anyone have additional comments on how the games went?

predict: Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0. Actuals: Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0.

predict: LAGSD 1 vs Legends 2. Actuals: LAGSD 0 vs Legends 0

predict: FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 2. Actuals: FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 1. note: had comments from justneedaname that this match got a little "ugly" with FCGS reportedly receiving 6 yellows. Any additional comments/color on this one?

predict: LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 1 (algo had it at LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 3...) Actuals: LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 3

predict: Pacific Northwest 1 vs LA Galaxy 3. Actuals: Pacific Northwest 3 vs LA Galaxy 4. note: Any comments on this match? would have thought LAG's physicality plus quality play would have made it tougher for PNW. Good on PNW for rising to the occasion. Also was JO available for this match?

best guess: Sporting KC 1 vs SD Surf 3. Actuals: Sporting KC 2 vs SD Surf 2 Any comments on this match?

best guess: Real Salt Lake 3 vs Real SoCal 0. Actuals: RSL 2 vs RSC 0.
I saw first half of Surf SKC game. Surf went up 2-0 and then SKC came back with 2. All in first half .SKC seemed to figure out the Surf player who scored first goal and marked him with an as fast and strong defender. It was a really fun battle to watch. I'm surprised neither team scored in second half as there were a lot of chances in first.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for the Galaxy Cup Tournie Thursday games today (4/18). anyone have additional comments on how the games went?

predict: Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0. Actuals: Nomads 2 vs Arsenal 0.

predict: LAGSD 1 vs Legends 2. Actuals: LAGSD 0 vs Legends 0

predict: FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 2. Actuals: FC Golden State 2 vs Albion 1. note: had comments from justneedaname that this match got a little "ugly" with FCGS reportedly receiving 6 yellows. Any additional comments/color on this one?

predict: LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 1 (algo had it at LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 3...) Actuals: LAUFA 1 vs Seattle United 3

predict: Pacific Northwest 1 vs LA Galaxy 3. Actuals: Pacific Northwest 3 vs LA Galaxy 4. note: Any comments on this match? would have thought LAG's physicality plus quality play would have made it tougher for PNW. Good on PNW for rising to the occasion. Also was JO available for this match?

best guess: Sporting KC 1 vs SD Surf 3. Actuals: Sporting KC 2 vs SD Surf 2.

here's comments from soccerdad2016 (thx!):

"I saw first half of Surf SKC game. Surf went up 2-0 and then SKC came back with 2. All in first half .SKC seemed to figure out the Surf player who scored first goal and marked him with an as fast and strong defender. It was a really fun battle to watch. I'm surprised neither team scored in second half as there were a lot of chances in first."
best guess: Real Salt Lake 3 vs Real SoCal 0. Actuals: RSL 2 vs RSC 0.
Nomads vs Arsenal
Was a good fought game
Arsenal had only one sub for the game the def center mid #17 Had a few clean chances including one hit from way outside the 18 and hit cross bar.
Saw Surf vs Kansas and surf could had gone up 4-0 in the first 15 mins
Surf is a beast of a team
Their second goal was a beauty...

Very surprised Laufa lost we’ll see them tomorrow.
Good games so far
 
Nomads vs Arsenal
Was a good fought game
Arsenal had only one sub for the game the def center mid #17 Had a few clean chances including one hit from way outside the 18 and hit cross bar.
Saw Surf vs Kansas and surf could had gone up 4-0 in the first 15 mins
Surf is a beast of a team
Their second goal was a beauty...

Very surprised Laufa lost we’ll see them tomorrow.
Good games so far
thx for this. LAUFA has been really up and down this year. They'll tie LAFC 0-0 and then lose to a team like Santa Barbara SC. good luck tomorrow. if your guys can keep LAUFA's #9 from scoring in the first 10 minutes (they try to open very strong at the beginning of games), you've got a a real shot.
 
here's predicts for this morning's (4/20) LAG Cup matches:

best guess: Sporting KC 3 vs Albion 0
predict: Pacific Northwest 1 vs SD Surf 3
predict: Nomads 0 vs Seattle 1
best guess: RSL 1 vs Legends 0
predict: LA Galaxy 2 vs FCG 1
predict: LAUFA 1 vs Arsenal 1
predict: LAGSD 1 vs RealSoCal 2

good luck socal!
 
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here's predicts for this morning's (4/20) LAG Cup matches:

best guess: Sporting KC 3 vs Albion 0
predict: Pacific Northwest 1 vs SD Surf 3
predict: Nomads 0 vs Seattle 1

good luck socal!

more predicts for rest of day to follow in a bit
Gracias Kante. My algo has Legends 1, Real AZ 1
 
8-2 Surf over PAC NW. like a hot knife thru butter. So much firepower, and the center mid and striker didn’t even play the last 25 mins.
 
FCGS - 2
LAG - 1

0-0 at half
LAG scored within the 1st minute of the 2nd half
FCGS scored with about 15 minutes left on a DFK about 25 yards out. Ball bounced off the keepers chest and a player got the rebound.
FCGS scored about a minute or 2 later. Player got in on the keepers left side and put it in near post.
3 or 4 yellows in the match... Could of been more.
 
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