2005 DA Standings

FC Golden State 2 vs Santa Barbara SC 2
both teams maybe have a player who might be at the camp, and likely have a big dependency on these players. Plus, FC Golden State recently added three new solid players to their roster and, in addition, have been improving significantly over the course of the season (eg, FCG beat TFA 2-0 in their last 2018 match).

Net net, although the teams tied last time they played, this match could be a blow-out for FCG.
Forecasting the results from how much FCG/SBSC has improved/declined puts the final score at 5-1 FCG. On the other hand, Santa Barbara SC may match up well which may be why the two teams tied the first time out.

Final score
FCGS - 10
SBSC - 0

I wasn’t at the game since my daughter was playing at the same time in Silverlakes but it sounded like Santa Barbara only had 10 players or no subs. Since it is a holiday weekend maybe some players were out of town, but I’m not sure.
 
Here's predict vs actuals for last weekend. Home team is listed first.

Los Angeles:

Predict: Pats 1 vs Legends 3 - Actuals: Pats 3 vs Legends 2 (Pats were missing one defender who was at the camp but added a 2004 who scored one of their goals. Good on the Pats. Hopefully the tie w/ LAUFA and the win this weekend are part of a trend in the right direction)

Predict: TFA 5 vs LAUFA 2 -
Actuals: TFA 4 vs LAUFA 1 (TFA was missing an 05 defender at the camp)

Predict: FC Golden State 2 vs Santa Barbara SC 2
- Actuals: FCG 10 - Santa Barbara SC 0 (?) Note: There hasn't been a game report posted but have heard it was about 10-0 FCG. Also heard from two sources that Santa Barbara SC only had 10 players (Redcard(thx!) +1 other) at the game and one person said they played with only 9 players for most of the game due to an injury. Ain't good. And going to take a mulligan on the predict. Santa Barbara FC had one midfielder at the camp)
 
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here's predicts for this weekend (1/26 & 1/27). home team is listed first.

FC Golden State 0 vs LA Galaxy 4
LAUFA 1 vs LAFC 4
SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 6
Santa Barbara SC 1 vs Real SoCal 2
Strikers 4 vs OC Surf 1
TFA 4 vs Legends 1
 
Anybody see the Legends/TFA match and can offer some color on how the match went?

Game report had it 3-0 Legends.
Looks like TFA was missing three players but still should have done better. Per game report, Legends scored all their goals in 2h when it also got a little chippy (3 cards given in 2h)
 
Final score from UC Riverside

FC Golden State - 3
LA Galaxy - 0

I just caught the last 25 minutes since I was refereeing at Silverlakes today but it was a great game from want I saw. And that’s with our 2nd keeper inbewtween the posts the entire game since the 1st keeper wasn’t feeling good. Huge win for FC Golden State!!!
 
Final score from UC Riverside

FC Golden State - 3
LA Galaxy - 0

I just caught the last 25 minutes since I was refereeing at Silverlakes today but it was a great game from want I saw. And that’s with our 2nd keeper inbewtween the posts the entire game since the 1st keeper wasn’t feeling good. Huge win for FC Golden State!!!

Isn’t the 2nd keeper your son?
 
Isn’t the 2nd keeper your son?
Yep
He was expecting to play no more than a half (most likely less) since it wasn’t good when he played against LAFC last month. What really helped out was the keeper coach was there also to talk to him before the game. Like I said I only saw the last 25 minutes or so back it was a good 25 minutes.
 
Final score from UC Riverside

FC Golden State - 3
LA Galaxy - 0

I just caught the last 25 minutes since I was refereeing at Silverlakes today but it was a great game from want I saw. And that’s with our 2nd keeper inbewtween the posts the entire game since the 1st keeper wasn’t feeling good. Huge win for FC Golden State!!!
congrats red card! well done by FCG 05.
 
Well done by FCGS. Galaxy had three key players out due to suspension over the us soccer training center event., in addition to some 2006 playing up.
 
Here actuals vs predicts for last weekend. Lots of interesting results this last weekend. Seems like there may have been a fair amount of winter break rust, but, still, a number of LA teams did much better than expected. Ironically, given the recent news about MLS clubs making noise about withdrawing from USSDA, there may be some parity between teams starting to emerge in the LA group (which was dominated last year by LAFC) now that all teams have played each other at least once.

But, one weekend does not make anything close to a trend, and we’ll see if it continues into the coming weekend.

Here’s the results for last weekend (1/26 & 1/27) vs predicts. Home team is listed first.

Predict: FC Golden State 0 vs LA Galaxy 4. Actuals: FC Golden State 3 vs LAG 0.

Honestly, thought this might be closer than the algo said due to FCG’s rate of improvement this season plus it being an away game for LAG, but did not expect this result. Even allowing for these two items, predicted score would have been 1-1. So, a big kudos to FCG.

Now, the caveats/commentary:

1) Per the game report, LAG was missing four players including two players who are listed as being were called up to the YNT West regional camp over the Jan 20 weekend. Net impact of missing these four players is that LAG was missing 1.08 goals per game against FCG plus the impact of missing a key defender.

2) FCG has been aggressively adding players (and presumably dropping some players) over the season. While the data still looks like FCG’s rate of improvement is due to player development, FCG has 24 players listed on their USSDA roster but, per the game report, did not play eight of these players.

May be a hopeless romantic, but it would be nice to think that FCG is a player development success story/best practice rather than a recruitment story but that may not be the case.

Predict: LAUFA 1 vs LAFC 4. Actuals: LAUFA 0 vs LAFC 0.

LAUFA has had a tough time this year relative to their results last year, with LAG poaching a number of key 2017-18 players and then a fair amount of player churn through the season to date. This result, particularly given that the previous result vs LAFC was 0-9 loss, is solid.

The game report lists a couple of LAUFA cards and that LAFC fielded a mostly full 05 team. So not much detail. Does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs Real SoCal 2. Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 3 vs Real SoCal 0.

Real SoCal has gone scoreless in its last four matches, and has been allowing more goals as a % of average goals scored every week since they beat LAFC 1-0. See chart below.

By way of background, Santa Barbara SC had a bad weekend on 1/20, rostering only 10 players to play FCG in 0-10 loss but seems to be recovering, rostering 15 players for a solid result this weekend. Also, their player who attended the 1/20 YNT West regional camp was back, and contributed two of their three goals against RSC.

Other than that, not a lot of info from the game report, does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Here's the RSC goals allowed % chart (because it's goals allowed, a negative % is better):

upload_2019-1-28_10-57-36.png

Predict: Strikers 4 vs OC Surf 1. Actuals: Strikers 3 vs OC Surf 0.

Not a lot in the game report. OC Surf improved on their previous 1-6 loss result with the Strikers. does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: TFA 4 vs Legends 1. Actuals: TFA 0 vs Legends 3.

Another match with a surprising result. Not quite sure how to call this one. This feels similar to when TFA posted a 0-2 loss the FCG in November. In their first meeting with each team, TFA beat FCG 7-0 and beat Legends 3-0. Does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 6. Actuals: SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 4

From the game report, SD Surf scored 3 of four goals in the 2nd half, so may have sat most of their starting front line in the first half. does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?
 
Here actuals vs predicts for last weekend. Lots of interesting results this last weekend. Seems like there may have been a fair amount of winter break rust, but, still, a number of LA teams did much better than expected. Ironically, given the recent news about MLS clubs making noise about withdrawing from USSDA, there may be some parity between teams starting to emerge in the LA group (which was dominated last year by LAFC) now that all teams have played each other at least once.

But, one weekend does not make anything close to a trend, and we’ll see if it continues into the coming weekend.

Here’s the results for last weekend (1/26 & 1/27) vs predicts. Home team is listed first.

Predict: FC Golden State 0 vs LA Galaxy 4. Actuals: FC Golden State 3 vs LAG 0.

Honestly, thought this might be closer than the algo said due to FCG’s rate of improvement this season plus it being an away game for LAG, but did not expect this result. Even allowing for these two items, predicted score would have been 1-1. So, a big kudos to FCG.

Now, the caveats/commentary:

1) Per the game report, LAG was missing four players including two players who are listed as being were called up to the YNT West regional camp over the Jan 20 weekend. Net impact of missing these four players is that LAG was missing 1.08 goals per game against FCG plus the impact of missing a key defender.

2) FCG has been aggressively adding players (and presumably dropping some players) over the season. While the data still looks like FCG’s rate of improvement is due to player development, FCG has 24 players listed on their USSDA roster but, per the game report, did not play eight of these players.

May be a hopeless romantic, but it would be nice to think that FCG is a player development success story/best practice rather than a recruitment story but that may not be the case.

Predict: LAUFA 1 vs LAFC 4. Actuals: LAUFA 0 vs LAFC 0.

LAUFA has had a tough time this year relative to their results last year, with LAG poaching a number of key 2017-18 players and then a fair amount of player churn through the season to date. This result, particularly given that the previous result vs LAFC was 0-9 loss, is solid.

The game report lists a couple of LAUFA cards and that LAFC fielded a mostly full 05 team. So not much detail. Does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs Real SoCal 2. Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 3 vs Real SoCal 0.

Real SoCal has gone scoreless in its last four matches, and has been allowing more goals as a % of average goals scored every week since they beat LAFC 1-0. See chart below.

By way of background, Santa Barbara SC had a bad weekend on 1/20, rostering only 10 players to play FCG in 0-10 loss but seems to be recovering, rostering 15 players for a solid result this weekend. Also, their player who attended the 1/20 YNT West regional camp was back, and contributed two of their three goals against RSC.

Other than that, not a lot of info from the game report, does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Here's the RSC goals allowed % chart (because it's goals allowed, a negative % is better):

View attachment 3879

Predict: Strikers 4 vs OC Surf 1. Actuals: Strikers 3 vs OC Surf 0.

Not a lot in the game report. OC Surf improved on their previous 1-6 loss result with the Strikers. does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: TFA 4 vs Legends 1. Actuals: TFA 0 vs Legends 3.

Another match with a surprising result. Not quite sure how to call this one. This feels similar to when TFA posted a 0-2 loss the FCG in November. In their first meeting with each team, TFA beat FCG 7-0 and beat Legends 3-0. Does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 6. Actuals: SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 4

From the game report, SD Surf scored 3 of four goals in the 2nd half, so may have sat most of their starting front line in the first half. does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?
FCG vs LAG : LA Galaxy had a total of 5 starting players out including 3 that got called to the YNT camp only 1 got to play the second half of the game when they were already down 2-0. Also they played a couple of 06's that did really good in this game.
 
Here actuals vs predicts for last weekend. Lots of interesting results this last weekend. Seems like there may have been a fair amount of winter break rust, but, still, a number of LA teams did much better than expected. Ironically, given the recent news about MLS clubs making noise about withdrawing from USSDA, there may be some parity between teams starting to emerge in the LA group (which was dominated last year by LAFC) now that all teams have played each other at least once.

But, one weekend does not make anything close to a trend, and we’ll see if it continues into the coming weekend.

Here’s the results for last weekend (1/26 & 1/27) vs predicts. Home team is listed first.

Predict: FC Golden State 0 vs LA Galaxy 4. Actuals: FC Golden State 3 vs LAG 0.

Honestly, thought this might be closer than the algo said due to FCG’s rate of improvement this season plus it being an away game for LAG, but did not expect this result. Even allowing for these two items, predicted score would have been 1-1. So, a big kudos to FCG.

Now, the caveats/commentary:

1) Per the game report, LAG was missing four players including two players who are listed as being were called up to the YNT West regional camp over the Jan 20 weekend. Net impact of missing these four players is that LAG was missing 1.08 goals per game against FCG plus the impact of missing a key defender.

2) FCG has been aggressively adding players (and presumably dropping some players) over the season. While the data still looks like FCG’s rate of improvement is due to player development, FCG has 24 players listed on their USSDA roster but, per the game report, did not play eight of these players.

May be a hopeless romantic, but it would be nice to think that FCG is a player development success story/best practice rather than a recruitment story but that may not be the case.

Predict: LAUFA 1 vs LAFC 4. Actuals: LAUFA 0 vs LAFC 0.

LAUFA has had a tough time this year relative to their results last year, with LAG poaching a number of key 2017-18 players and then a fair amount of player churn through the season to date. This result, particularly given that the previous result vs LAFC was 0-9 loss, is solid.

The game report lists a couple of LAUFA cards and that LAFC fielded a mostly full 05 team. So not much detail. Does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs Real SoCal 2. Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 3 vs Real SoCal 0.

Real SoCal has gone scoreless in its last four matches, and has been allowing more goals as a % of average goals scored every week since they beat LAFC 1-0. See chart below.

By way of background, Santa Barbara SC had a bad weekend on 1/20, rostering only 10 players to play FCG in 0-10 loss but seems to be recovering, rostering 15 players for a solid result this weekend. Also, their player who attended the 1/20 YNT West regional camp was back, and contributed two of their three goals against RSC.

Other than that, not a lot of info from the game report, does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Here's the RSC goals allowed % chart (because it's goals allowed, a negative % is better):

View attachment 3879

Predict: Strikers 4 vs OC Surf 1. Actuals: Strikers 3 vs OC Surf 0.

Not a lot in the game report. OC Surf improved on their previous 1-6 loss result with the Strikers. does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: TFA 4 vs Legends 1. Actuals: TFA 0 vs Legends 3.

Another match with a surprising result. Not quite sure how to call this one. This feels similar to when TFA posted a 0-2 loss the FCG in November. In their first meeting with each team, TFA beat FCG 7-0 and beat Legends 3-0. Does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?

Predict: SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 6. Actuals: SDSC 0 vs SD Surf 4

From the game report, SD Surf scored 3 of four goals in the 2nd half, so may have sat most of their starting front line in the first half. does anyone have more color/info/opinions on this match?
Legends defense controlled TFAs talented front line for the most part. TFA did break through to get a few good chances in 1st half, but shots nearly missed and keeper made an amazing save on one. Legends was opportunistic to put in a couple, and put in a late goal when TFa was pressing.
It could have been worse. TFA striker received his 2nd yellow card with about 25 mins to go, but he did not get thrown out. Definitely a chippy affair, and the field TFA plays on his really beat up, making it tough to play a clean brand of soccer.
 
Here’s predicts for this weekend (2/2/& 2/3). Home team is listed first. The extended notes on LA are due, mostly, to what could be greater emerging parity within the LA group. Next week will take a look at SD match ups in more detail to see where things are at after the winter break.

San Diego
Albion 2 v. OC Surf 2

Arsenal 1 v. SD Surf 2 (SD Surf is ranked #1 tin the country by TopDrawer Dec '18)
This match is the most interesting SD match of the weekend. These teams are two of SD's top three teams (the other being the Strikers) and Arsenal may have the backline size to handle SD Surf's striker. However, it's Arsenal's first group play match since 11/17 so there will be some rust.

LAGSD 3 v. Nomads 1


Los Angeles
FC Golden State 3 v. Pateadores 1

This game will be the most interesting LA match of the weekend. FCG has been improving significantly over the course of the season. If they continue their improvements, the projection – as opposed to the general algorithm - for this match is FCG 7 v. Pats 0.

However, the Pats, after getting off to a not great start this season, have produced unexpected positive results in their last two matches with a tie against LAUFA two weeks back and a win last week against Legends. For context, both are solid teams and for example, last week, LAUFA tied LAFC 0-0 and the Legends beat TFA.

Pats seem to have pulled out these results with two new players, one from the Fullerton Rangers and one from North Huntington Beach.

And adding to the narrative, FC Golden State also have very recently added players from the Fullerton and NHB, and these players also seem to be contributing to positive results

Net net, lots of interesting plot and subplots here. Should be fun to watch.

LAFC 5 v. Santa Barbara SC 0 (LAFC is ranked #6 in the country by TopDrawer Dec '18)
Last week, LAFC had a less than optimal result against LAUFA and Santa Barbara SC had a solid result against Real SoCal, but, likely, both teams will revert to their mean this weekend

Real SoCal 1 v. TFA 3 (TFA is ranked #8 in the country by Top Drawer Dec '18)
Another interesting match. Real SoCal, despite recently adding a couple of new players, has gone scoreless in their last four matches and, looking at the trends, may have peaked w/ their 1-0 result against LAFC in the fourth game of the season.

On the other hand, TFA is a relatively young team and may have a hard time matching up w/ older, bigger teams (the last two matches against FCG and Legends being examples) and Real SoCal has some bigger players. And, similar to Real SoCal, TFA has been trending worse as well.

And both team have a significant home/away effect, with TFA being -50% worse away team and RealSoCal being a much better home team.

Last time these teams played it was 2-1 for TFA. With TFA being the home team

Accounting for the trends and the home/away effect (Real SoCal is the home team this weekend), the projection – as opposed to the general algo – is, ironically after all that, Real SoCal 1 v. TFA 3.
 
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FC Golden State 3 v. Pateadores 1
This game will be the most interesting LA match of the weekend. FCG has been improving significantly over the course of the season. If they continue their improvements, the projection – as opposed to the general algorithm - for this match is FCG 7 v. Pats 0.

However, the Pats, after getting off to a not great start this season, have produced unexpected positive results in their last two matches with a tie against LAUFA two weeks back and a win last week against Legends. For context, both are solid teams and for example, last week, LAUFA tied LAFC 0-0 and the Legends beat TFA.

Pats seem to have pulled out these results with two new players, one from the Fullerton Rangers and one from North Huntington Beach.

And adding to the narrative, FC Golden State also have very recently added players from the Fullerton and NHB, and these players also seem to be contributing to positive results

Net net, lots of interesting plot and subplots here. Should be fun to watch.

Final from UC Riverside
FCGS - 2
Pats - 0
Truthfully it was a pretty sloppy game for FCGS. 1st goal was caused by a bad play by the Pats goalie. He lost the ball on a play back from his defender. 2nd goal was a good from the left side of the field. Plus 2 shots off the crossbar. Practice should be interesting this week.

Pats came with only 12 players and FCGS had at least 2 out sick ( a forward and a goalie ).

As for the weather, it was wet and cold of course. The turf field was slippery. No down pour but there was light rain on and off during the match.

Now to dry up and get ready for The Super Bowl.
 
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