2017/2018 GDA Club Standings

I agree RPI has its flaws. For example, the NCAA's RPI formula (the same one I used) would have placed UCLA Women's Soccer 5th last season. https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-women/d1/ncaa-womens-soccer-rpi But no rational person would say UCLA should have been ranked behind South Carolina (which was 8th in the final coach's poll).

But we don't have a coach's poll (or YSR) for GDA, so if we want to try to determine relative strength of teams and divisions this imperfect rating is the best we've got.

After the latest showcase we have a lot more interdivisional games, so my latest ranking should be more accurate in predicting relative strength. But I acknowledge this is a development league so coaches might not be going for the win in each game to the same extent college coaches do. The real test will be if the RPI ranking is able to predict playoff outcomes. I plan to do one more RPI ranking right before playoffs to test it out.

The other issue with the NCAA's soccer RPI is that teams don't get a bump for having a larger goal differential. That's why I included goal differential in my RPI summaries. Just another piece of data.


I like it. Regarding goal differential I think that it isn't very indicative of a team's strength. The RPI doesn't take into account due to the disparate strength of various team's schedules. Sometimes a team scores more goals against a better team because the coach of the better team plays to win. My players team only faced 3 teams all year that I can say were playing to win. Most teams play not to lose when they are playing a superior opponent and this can obscure the usefulness of goal differential in my opinion.
 
That is actually incorrect. The way that it is calculated it works out to being slightly less than 50% for the teams performance and slightly more than 50% for the 2 strength of schedule components combined. Here is a pretty detailed analysis of the formula with regard to D1 women's soccer.

https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/rpi-formula

Help me understand what I am missing. 25% is based on your own winning percentage. 50% is based on your opponents winning percentage. And 25% is based on your opponents opponents winning percentage. Your team has nothing to do with your opponents winning percentage and their opponents winning percentage other than the games you might play against them. So that is where I got the 75% percent from.
 
Help me understand what I am missing. 25% is based on your own winning percentage. 50% is based on your opponents winning percentage. And 25% is based on your opponents opponents winning percentage. Your team has nothing to do with your opponents winning percentage and their opponents winning percentage other than the games you might play against them. So that is where I got the 75% percent from.

Here is the relevant passage in the link that I posted. Please let me know if you need a little more plain English explanation.

As the table shows, the spreads for the three elements grow smaller when progressing from Element 1 to Element 3. The reason for the diminishing spreads is obvious, if one thinks about it. The computation of Element 1 looks at one team's record. Individual teams' records reasonably can range from undefeated (an RPI Element 1 of 1.0000) to all losses (an RPI Element 1 of 0.0000), for a maximum reasonable (though not average) spread of 1.0000. For Element 2, the computation looks at about 19 teams' records and averages them out. Teams, on average, play about 19 games in a season. With this many teams' records being used for Element 2, nearly all of the teams are going to have some wins and some losses, so the high Element 2 is going to be less than 1.0000 and the low is going to be higher than 0.0000. Similarly, for Element 3 the computation looks at about 361 (19 x 19) teams' records. This inclusion of a very large number of teams' records produces Element 3 numbers that are even less at the extremes than for Element 2, making Element 3's maximum reasonable (and average) spread smaller than for Element 2 and much smaller than for Element 1.

At the bottom right of the table, the yellow highlighted numbers show the average effective weights of the three elements over the 11 year period covered by the table, when the three elements are incorporated into the RPI formula using the 25%-50%-25% formula ratios:

Element 1: 49.6% -- roughly 50%

Element 2: 38.9% -- roughly 40%

Element 3: 11.5% -- roughly 10%

If you are having trouble understanding this, think of fruit salad. I want my fruit salad to consist of 50% cantaloupe, 40% oranges, and 10% kiwi fruit. To do that, I compare the fruit sizes and figure out that the right ratio of ingredients is 1 cantaloupe to 2 oranges to 1 kiwi fruit. In this analogy, 1 canteloupe = 1 x RPI Element 1; 2 oranges = 2 x RPI Element 2; and 1 kiwi fruit = 1 x RPI Element 3.

The 50-40-10 percentages suggest that the NCAA adopted the 1:2:1 weights in the formula for the three Elements in order to have a team's winning percentage count for approximately half the team's RPI (Element 1's roughly 50% effective impact) and the team's strength of schedule count for the other half of the team's RPI (Element 2's roughly 40% effective impact plus Element 3's roughly 10% effective impact). In a January 23, 2009 Memorandum from the NCAA's Associate Director of Statistics to the Division I Men's Basketball Committee, the NCAA confirmed that this is its intention: "About half of the rating is based on winning percentage and the other half on strength of schedule. Winning percentage (Factor I) only receives a 25 percent weighting although its real strength is larger. There always is a far wider gap in the rankings between the top and bottom teams in this category than between the first and last in Factors II and III."
 
Here is the relevant passage in the link that I posted. Please let me know if you need a little more plain English explanation.

As the table shows, the spreads for the three elements grow smaller when progressing from Element 1 to Element 3. The reason for the diminishing spreads is obvious, if one thinks about it. The computation of Element 1 looks at one team's record. Individual teams' records reasonably can range from undefeated (an RPI Element 1 of 1.0000) to all losses (an RPI Element 1 of 0.0000), for a maximum reasonable (though not average) spread of 1.0000. For Element 2, the computation looks at about 19 teams' records and averages them out. Teams, on average, play about 19 games in a season. With this many teams' records being used for Element 2, nearly all of the teams are going to have some wins and some losses, so the high Element 2 is going to be less than 1.0000 and the low is going to be higher than 0.0000. Similarly, for Element 3 the computation looks at about 361 (19 x 19) teams' records. This inclusion of a very large number of teams' records produces Element 3 numbers that are even less at the extremes than for Element 2, making Element 3's maximum reasonable (and average) spread smaller than for Element 2 and much smaller than for Element 1.

At the bottom right of the table, the yellow highlighted numbers show the average effective weights of the three elements over the 11 year period covered by the table, when the three elements are incorporated into the RPI formula using the 25%-50%-25% formula ratios:

Element 1: 49.6% -- roughly 50%

Element 2: 38.9% -- roughly 40%

Element 3: 11.5% -- roughly 10%

If you are having trouble understanding this, think of fruit salad. I want my fruit salad to consist of 50% cantaloupe, 40% oranges, and 10% kiwi fruit. To do that, I compare the fruit sizes and figure out that the right ratio of ingredients is 1 cantaloupe to 2 oranges to 1 kiwi fruit. In this analogy, 1 canteloupe = 1 x RPI Element 1; 2 oranges = 2 x RPI Element 2; and 1 kiwi fruit = 1 x RPI Element 3.

The 50-40-10 percentages suggest that the NCAA adopted the 1:2:1 weights in the formula for the three Elements in order to have a team's winning percentage count for approximately half the team's RPI (Element 1's roughly 50% effective impact) and the team's strength of schedule count for the other half of the team's RPI (Element 2's roughly 40% effective impact plus Element 3's roughly 10% effective impact). In a January 23, 2009 Memorandum from the NCAA's Associate Director of Statistics to the Division I Men's Basketball Committee, the NCAA confirmed that this is its intention: "About half of the rating is based on winning percentage and the other half on strength of schedule. Winning percentage (Factor I) only receives a 25 percent weighting although its real strength is larger. There always is a far wider gap in the rankings between the top and bottom teams in this category than between the first and last in Factors II and III."

Thanks I got it. I had not read this portion. I do have a mechanical engineering degree so it is easy to follow. Basically while Element 2 and 3 account for 75% of the formula the actual don't vary as much as Element 1 so they their influence is reduced to around 50%.
 
Thanks I got it. I had not read this portion. I do have a mechanical engineering degree so it is easy to follow. Basically while Element 2 and 3 account for 75% of the formula the actual don't vary as much as Element 1 so they their influence is reduced to around 50%.

Sorry if it came off sounding like you didn't understand. I assumed you hadn't read the relevant part so no worries. I have spent the last two years being heavily invested in the RPI formula due to it's influence on my daughter's team's seeding in the NCAA tournament. The seeding is a huge factor and determines who gets to host games prior to the College Cup and believe me that makes a HUGE difference.
 
Interesting discussion @Simisoccerfan and @MakeAPlay. Since you both understand this stuff, I'll mention that my original shortcut was just to use the opponents' average RPI for element 2 (and opponents' opponents' RPI for element 3). My refinement was to go to the trouble to actually back out the result from the game played in computing the opponent's RPI for that game, per the following formulas:

Opponent loses game: (OW + 1/2OT)/(OW + (OL - 1) + OT)
Tie: (OW + 1/2(OT - 1))/(OW + OL + (OT - 1))
Opponent wins game: ((OW - 1) + 1/2OT)/((OW - 1) + OL + OT)

Considering the passage @MakeAPlay quoted above, it makes sense why this refinement ended up having so little impact.
 
Interesting discussion @Simisoccerfan and @MakeAPlay. Since you both understand this stuff, I'll mention that my original shortcut was just to use the opponents' average RPI for element 2 (and opponents' opponents' RPI for element 3). My refinement was to go to the trouble to actually back out the result from the game played in computing the opponent's RPI for that game, per the following formulas:

Opponent loses game: (OW + 1/2OT)/(OW + (OL - 1) + OT)
Tie: (OW + 1/2(OT - 1))/(OW + OL + (OT - 1))
Opponent wins game: ((OW - 1) + 1/2OT)/((OW - 1) + OL + OT)

Considering the passage @MakeAPlay quoted above, it makes sense why this refinement ended up having so little impact.

Yup. There since the net results of all games played are zero (somebody wins and somebody loses or it is a draw) the spread between strength of schedule is very small thus reducing it's impact and increasing the impact of a team's record. This is one of the reasons why RPI isn't a clear indicator of a teams TRUE strength. The eye test is usually best but extremely difficult to watch that volume of games and impossible for you to watch enough GDA games to have a true idea. With colleges it is pretty easy to watch games and if you watch the top 20 or so teams enough you have an idea of who the best teams are. Because of this as soon as I saw the brackets come out for the College Cup it was pretty easy to pick out 3 of the 4 participants as they were MUCH better if you just considered the eye test (3 of the 4 teams in the College Cup were true possession teams by the way).

Keep up the good work it has piqued my interest and I don't have a club player any longer.
 
As promised, I'm creating a pre-playoffs DA RPI analysis. We'll see how these rankings pan out in the playoffs.

To start, here's my (now revised) U16/U17 RPI rankings for all games through 6/12/18.

SW is the 4th overall division. At this age group, my theory that the dual clubs are the strongest didn't pan out, at least in So Cal. While Slammers looks to be a national championship contender, SC Blues and Surf missed out on a wild card (with the Blues having a particularly miserable spring.)

RPI Rank Club (W-L-T) PCT ((1*W+.5*T)/(W+L+T)) Opponents' Avg (weighted) PCT Opponents' Opponents' Avg (wtd) PCT RPI Goal Differential

1 FC Dallas (23-2-5) PCT: 0.85 OPP: 0.5509 OPOP: 0.5315 RPI: 0.6208 GD: 63
2 Nationals (22-3-5) PCT: 0.8167 OPP: 0.5468 OPOP: 0.519 RPI: 0.6073 GD: 73
3 NTH Tophat (22-5-3) PCT: 0.7833 OPP: 0.5559 OPOP: 0.5086 RPI: 0.6009 GD: 65

4 LAFC Slammers (29-2-4) PCT: 0.8857 OPP: 0.5044 OPOP: 0.4998 RPI: 0.5986 GD: 107
5 Crossfire Premier (22-3-2) PCT: 0.8519 OPP: 0.5037 OPOP: 0.4976 RPI: 0.5892 GD: 60
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (23-4-4) PCT: 0.8065 OPP: 0.5224 OPOP: 0.4946 RPI: 0.5864 GD: 60
7 Lonestar SC Academy (17-6-6) PCT: 0.6897 OPP: 0.5526 OPOP: 0.5276 RPI: 0.5806 GD: 38
8 Solar Soccer Club (18-8-4) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.5542 OPOP: 0.5313 RPI: 0.5766 GD: 19
9 Sky Blue - PDA (23-7-1) PCT: 0.7581 OPP: 0.5169 OPOP: 0.491 RPI: 0.5707 GD: 60
10 Real Colorado (17-5-6) PCT: 0.7143 OPP: 0.5201 OPOP: 0.5236 RPI: 0.5695 GD: 38
11 Midwest United FC (20-10-0) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.542 OPOP: 0.5166 RPI: 0.5668 GD: 74
12 Concorde Fire (19-7-4) PCT: 0.7 OPP: 0.5266 OPOP: 0.509 RPI: 0.5655 GD: 25
13 Cincinnati Development Academy (16-7-7) PCT: 0.65 OPP: 0.547 OPOP: 0.514 RPI: 0.5645 GD: 22

14 Legends FC (24-7-4) PCT: 0.7429 OPP: 0.5004 OPOP: 0.4989 RPI: 0.5606 GD: 53
15 San Jose Earthquakes (24-6-1) PCT: 0.7903 OPP: 0.4647 OPOP: 0.4954 RPI: 0.5538 GD: 66
16 United Soccer Alliance (20-9-2) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5149 OPOP: 0.5044 RPI: 0.5529 GD: 50

17 Real So Cal (20-7-8) PCT: 0.6857 OPP: 0.5114 OPOP: 0.5007 RPI: 0.5523 GD: 33
18 IMG Academy (19-8-4) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5109 OPOP: 0.5068 RPI: 0.5515 GD: 46
19 FC Virginia (21-6-4) PCT: 0.7419 OPP: 0.4826 OPOP: 0.4969 RPI: 0.551 GD: 63
20 Washington Spirit Academy - Virginia (19-8-4) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5025 OPOP: 0.4928 RPI: 0.5438 GD: 33

21 LA Galaxy San Diego (17-9-9) PCT: 0.6143 OPP: 0.5247 OPOP: 0.4946 RPI: 0.5396 GD: 21
22 FC Fury NY (21-9-1) PCT: 0.6935 OPP: 0.4824 OPOP: 0.4772 RPI: 0.5339 GD: 53
23 West Coast Futbol Club (18-8-9) PCT: 0.6429 OPP: 0.4991 OPOP: 0.4926 RPI: 0.5334 GD: 25
24 Michigan Hawks (13-10-6) PCT: 0.5517 OPP: 0.5268 OPOP: 0.5154 RPI: 0.5302 GD: 16
25 Eclipse Select Soccer Club (16-7-7) PCT: 0.65 OPP: 0.4751 OPOP: 0.5175 RPI: 0.5294 GD: 33
26 FC United Soccer Club (17-10-3) PCT: 0.6167 OPP: 0.4902 OPOP: 0.5198 RPI: 0.5292 GD: 17
27 Boston Breakers Academy (22-8-1) PCT: 0.7258 OPP: 0.4498 OPOP: 0.4778 RPI: 0.5258 GD: 76
28 New York City FC (18-9-4) PCT: 0.6452 OPP: 0.4874 OPOP: 0.4738 RPI: 0.5235 GD: 31
29 Charlotte Soccer Academy (15-9-8) PCT: 0.5938 OPP: 0.4976 OPOP: 0.5044 RPI: 0.5234 GD: 33
30 Reign Academy (14-8-5) PCT: 0.6111 OPP: 0.493 OPOP: 0.4922 RPI: 0.5223 GD: 24

31 Beach Futbol Club (17-14-4) PCT: 0.5429 OPP: 0.5187 OPOP: 0.4984 RPI: 0.5197 GD: 7
32 San Diego Surf (15-12-8) PCT: 0.5429 OPP: 0.5171 OPOP: 0.4931 RPI: 0.5175 GD: 8

33 NC Courage (13-11-6) PCT: 0.5333 OPP: 0.514 OPOP: 0.5061 RPI: 0.5169 GD: 5
34 SPORTING Blue Valley (11-11-6) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.5178 OPOP: 0.5212 RPI: 0.5142 GD: 18
35 La Roca Futbol Club (15-10-2) PCT: 0.5926 OPP: 0.4813 OPOP: 0.4954 RPI: 0.5127 GD: 29
36 Dallas Texans (13-15-2) PCT: 0.4667 OPP: 0.527 OPOP: 0.5279 RPI: 0.5122 GD: -1
37 Weston FC (11-14-6) PCT: 0.4516 OPP: 0.5193 OPOP: 0.5053 RPI: 0.4989 GD: -15
38 Colorado Rush (11-10-6) PCT: 0.5185 OPP: 0.4752 OPOP: 0.5219 RPI: 0.4977 GD: 7
39 Lamorinda Soccer Club (13-14-4) PCT: 0.4839 OPP: 0.5057 OPOP: 0.4897 RPI: 0.4963 GD: -11
40 Oakwood Soccer Club (17-12-2) PCT: 0.5806 OPP: 0.4643 OPOP: 0.4741 RPI: 0.4958 GD: 26

41 Eagles Soccer Club (14-14-7) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.482 OPOP: 0.4997 RPI: 0.491 GD: -4
42 Indiana Fire Academy (10-18-2) PCT: 0.3667 OPP: 0.5291 OPOP: 0.5146 RPI: 0.4849 GD: -39
43 Portland Thorns FC (9-14-4) PCT: 0.4074 OPP: 0.5104 OPOP: 0.4884 RPI: 0.4791 GD: -4
44 California Thorns FC (11-15-5) PCT: 0.4355 OPP: 0.4778 OPOP: 0.4964 RPI: 0.4719 GD: -2
45 Boca United Football Club (10-17-4) PCT: 0.3871 OPP: 0.4961 OPOP: 0.5019 RPI: 0.4703 GD: -27

46 Los Angeles Premier Futbol Club (11-19-5) PCT: 0.3857 OPP: 0.4919 OPOP: 0.4973 RPI: 0.4667 GD: -18
47 Houston Dash (7-21-2) PCT: 0.2667 OPP: 0.5359 OPOP: 0.5222 RPI: 0.4652 GD: -47
48 LA Galaxy (10-17-8) PCT: 0.4 OPP: 0.4741 OPOP: 0.4961 RPI: 0.4611 GD: -10
49 So Cal Blues Soccer Club (12-21-2) PCT: 0.3714 OPP: 0.489 OPOP: 0.4942 RPI: 0.4609 GD: -22

50 Placer United SC (8-17-6) PCT: 0.3548 OPP: 0.4931 OPOP: 0.4926 RPI: 0.4584 GD: -30
51 United Futbol Academy (6-17-7) PCT: 0.3167 OPP: 0.4981 OPOP: 0.5033 RPI: 0.454 GD: -42
52 Sockers FC (4-16-10) PCT: 0.3 OPP: 0.5017 OPOP: 0.5119 RPI: 0.4539 GD: -35
53 Orlando Pride (7-18-6) PCT: 0.3226 OPP: 0.4717 OPOP: 0.5069 RPI: 0.4432 GD: -27
54 PA Classics (8-17-6) PCT: 0.3548 OPP: 0.463 OPOP: 0.4905 RPI: 0.4428 GD: -25
55 SC del Sol (7-20-8) PCT: 0.3143 OPP: 0.477 OPOP: 0.4938 RPI: 0.4405 GD: -19
56 FC Stars (8-18-5) PCT: 0.3387 OPP: 0.4739 OPOP: 0.4724 RPI: 0.4397 GD: -26
57 FC Kansas City (3-21-1) PCT: 0.14 OPP: 0.5419 OPOP: 0.5141 RPI: 0.4345 GD: -80
58 Washington Spirit Academy - Baltimore Armour (6-23-2) PCT: 0.2258 OPP: 0.5013 OPOP: 0.4881 RPI: 0.4291 GD: -49

59 Pateadores (9-24-2) PCT: 0.2857 OPP: 0.4645 OPOP: 0.4941 RPI: 0.4272 GD: -43
60 Cedar Stars Academy - Monmouth (6-21-4) PCT: 0.2581 OPP: 0.4737 OPOP: 0.4925 RPI: 0.4245 GD: -36
61 Sky Blue - NYSC (9-20-2) PCT: 0.3226 OPP: 0.4464 OPOP: 0.4747 RPI: 0.4225 GD: -52
62 West Florida Flames (5-24-2) PCT: 0.1935 OPP: 0.4851 OPOP: 0.503 RPI: 0.4167 GD: -64
63 Shattuck - Saint Mary's (1-26-3) PCT: 0.0833 OPP: 0.5267 OPOP: 0.5104 RPI: 0.4118 GD: -131

64 Albion SC (6-28-1) PCT: 0.1857 OPP: 0.4842 OPOP: 0.488 RPI: 0.4105 GD: -84
65 Virginia Development Academy (3-24-4) PCT: 0.1613 OPP: 0.4871 OPOP: 0.4901 RPI: 0.4064 GD: -83
66 Burlingame Soccer Club (0-25-0) PCT: 0 OPP: 0.5357 OPOP: 0.4882 RPI: 0.3899 GD: -75
67 Empire United (4-25-2) PCT: 0.1613 OPP: 0.4606 OPOP: 0.4717 RPI: 0.3885 GD: -114
68 Long Island SC (2-26-3) PCT: 0.1129 OPP: 0.4403 OPOP: 0.4728 RPI: 0.3666 GD: -121
69 PSV Union Football Club (3-28-0) PCT: 0.0968 OPP: 0.4311 OPOP: 0.4944 RPI: 0.3633 GD: -141



Conference Rankings
1 Frontier - Central Division 0.5302
2 Mid-America - Central Division 0.5198
3 Southeast - East Division 0.5086

4 Southwest - West Division 0.4985
5 Atlantic - East Division 0.4944
6 Northwest - West Division 0.4837
7 Northeast - East Division 0.4620
 
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You would think LA Galaxy (SB) would have a much better showing for all DA age groups with the facilities and backing that they have. Youngers have a great program as well. Mystery to me.




As promised, I'm creating a pre-playoffs DA RPI analysis. We'll see how these rankings pan out in the playoffs.

To start, here's my draft U16/U17 RPI rankings for all games through 6/12/18.

SW division seems to have dropped overall (which I will double-check later). At this age group, my theory that the dual clubs are the strongest didn't pan out, at least in So Cal. While Slammers looks to be a national championship contender, SC Blues and Surf missed out on a wild card (with the Blues having a particularly miserable spring.)

RPI Rank Club (W-L-T) PCT ((1*W+.5*T)/(W+L+T)) Opponents' Avg (weighted) PCT Opponents' Opponents' Avg (wtd) PCT RPI Goal Differential
1 FC Dallas (23-2-5) PCT: 0.85 OPP: 0.5576 OPOP: 0.5239 RPI: 0.6223 GD: 63
2 LAFC Slammers (29-2-4) PCT: 0.8857 OPP: 0.5295 OPOP: 0.4993 RPI: 0.611 GD: 107
3 Nationals (22-3-5) PCT: 0.8167 OPP: 0.5523 OPOP: 0.5169 RPI: 0.6095 GD: 73
4 NTH Tophat (22-5-3) PCT: 0.7833 OPP: 0.5524 OPOP: 0.511 RPI: 0.5998 GD: 65
5 Crossfire Premier (22-3-2) PCT: 0.8519 OPP: 0.5235 OPOP: 0.4847 RPI: 0.5959 GD: 60
6 FC Virginia (21-6-4) PCT: 0.7419 OPP: 0.5567 OPOP: 0.5013 RPI: 0.5892 GD: 63
7 Solar Soccer Club (18-8-4) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.5743 OPOP: 0.528 RPI: 0.5858 GD: 19
8 Midwest United FC (20-10-0) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.5731 OPOP: 0.524 RPI: 0.5842 GD: 74
9 Concorde Fire (19-7-4) PCT: 0.7 OPP: 0.5472 OPOP: 0.5039 RPI: 0.5746 GD: 25
10 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (23-4-4) PCT: 0.8065 OPP: 0.4909 OPOP: 0.5042 RPI: 0.5731 GD: 60
11 Real Colorado (17-5-6) PCT: 0.7143 OPP: 0.5248 OPOP: 0.5174 RPI: 0.5703 GD: 38
12 Real So Cal (20-7-8) PCT: 0.6857 OPP: 0.5396 OPOP: 0.4982 RPI: 0.5658 GD: 33
13 Washington Spirit Academy - Virginia (19-8-4) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5433 OPOP: 0.4898 RPI: 0.5634 GD: 33
14 Sky Blue - PDA (23-7-1) PCT: 0.7581 OPP: 0.4924 OPOP: 0.5028 RPI: 0.5614 GD: 60
15 Cincinnati Development Academy (16-7-7) PCT: 0.65 OPP: 0.5378 OPOP: 0.5171 RPI: 0.5606 GD: 22
16 Lonestar SC Academy (17-6-6) PCT: 0.6897 OPP: 0.5112 OPOP: 0.5249 RPI: 0.5593 GD: 38
17 Legends FC (24-7-4) PCT: 0.7429 OPP: 0.4806 OPOP: 0.5019 RPI: 0.5515 GD: 53
18 IMG Academy (19-8-4) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5074 OPOP: 0.5029 RPI: 0.5488 GD: 46
19 San Jose Earthquakes (24-6-1) PCT: 0.7903 OPP: 0.4554 OPOP: 0.4925 RPI: 0.5484 GD: 66
20 United Soccer Alliance (20-9-2) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.4985 OPOP: 0.5048 RPI: 0.5448 GD: 50
21 Michigan Hawks (13-10-6) PCT: 0.5517 OPP: 0.5463 OPOP: 0.5296 RPI: 0.5435 GD: 16
22 Eclipse Select Soccer Club (16-7-7) PCT: 0.65 OPP: 0.4966 OPOP: 0.5275 RPI: 0.5427 GD: 33
23 West Coast Futbol Club (18-8-9) PCT: 0.6429 OPP: 0.5131 OPOP: 0.4934 RPI: 0.5406 GD: 25
24 LA Galaxy San Diego (17-9-9) PCT: 0.6143 OPP: 0.5212 OPOP: 0.4889 RPI: 0.5364 GD: 21

25 New York City FC (18-9-4) PCT: 0.6452 OPP: 0.5104 OPOP: 0.4666 RPI: 0.5332 GD: 31
26 FC United Soccer Club (17-10-3) PCT: 0.6167 OPP: 0.4816 OPOP: 0.5282 RPI: 0.527 GD: 17
27 Charlotte Soccer Academy (15-9-8) PCT: 0.5938 OPP: 0.4992 OPOP: 0.508 RPI: 0.525 GD: 33
28 Beach Futbol Club (17-14-4) PCT: 0.5429 OPP: 0.517 OPOP: 0.5036 RPI: 0.5201 GD: 7
29 Reign Academy (14-8-5) PCT: 0.6111 OPP: 0.4888 OPOP: 0.4881 RPI: 0.5192 GD: 24
30 Boston Breakers Academy (22-8-1) PCT: 0.7258 OPP: 0.4364 OPOP: 0.4719 RPI: 0.5176 GD: 76
31 San Diego Surf (15-12-8) PCT: 0.5429 OPP: 0.5159 OPOP: 0.4852 RPI: 0.515 GD: 8
32 FC Fury NY (21-9-1) PCT: 0.6935 OPP: 0.4445 OPOP: 0.4746 RPI: 0.5143 GD: 53
33 Indiana Fire Academy (10-18-2) PCT: 0.3667 OPP: 0.578 OPOP: 0.5283 RPI: 0.5127 GD: -39
34 NC Courage (13-11-6) PCT: 0.5333 OPP: 0.504 OPOP: 0.5097 RPI: 0.5127 GD: 5
35 Dallas Texans (13-15-2) PCT: 0.4667 OPP: 0.5333 OPOP: 0.5145 RPI: 0.5119 GD: -1
36 Oakwood Soccer Club (17-12-2) PCT: 0.5806 OPP: 0.4828 OPOP: 0.4711 RPI: 0.5044 GD: 26
37 Weston FC (11-14-6) PCT: 0.4516 OPP: 0.5216 OPOP: 0.5043 RPI: 0.4998 GD: -15
38 La Roca Futbol Club (15-10-2) PCT: 0.5926 OPP: 0.4554 OPOP: 0.494 RPI: 0.4994 GD: 29
39 SPORTING Blue Valley (11-11-6) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.4873 OPOP: 0.519 RPI: 0.4984 GD: 18
40 Lamorinda Soccer Club (13-14-4) PCT: 0.4839 OPP: 0.5043 OPOP: 0.4919 RPI: 0.4961 GD: -11
41 Eagles Soccer Club (14-14-7) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.474 OPOP: 0.5043 RPI: 0.4881 GD: -4
42 Colorado Rush (11-10-6) PCT: 0.5185 OPP: 0.4488 OPOP: 0.5234 RPI: 0.4849 GD: 7
43 Portland Thorns FC (9-14-4) PCT: 0.4074 OPP: 0.5151 OPOP: 0.4921 RPI: 0.4824 GD: -4
44 Boca United Football Club (10-17-4) PCT: 0.3871 OPP: 0.5194 OPOP: 0.4992 RPI: 0.4813 GD: -27
45 California Thorns FC (11-15-5) PCT: 0.4355 OPP: 0.4807 OPOP: 0.5017 RPI: 0.4747 GD: -2
46 LA Galaxy (10-17-8) PCT: 0.4 OPP: 0.4962 OPOP: 0.5034 RPI: 0.474 GD: -10
47 Sockers FC (4-16-10) PCT: 0.3 OPP: 0.5324 OPOP: 0.5217 RPI: 0.4716 GD: -35
48 Los Angeles Premier Futbol Club (11-19-5) PCT: 0.3857 OPP: 0.4903 OPOP: 0.5079 RPI: 0.4686 GD: -18
49 United Futbol Academy (6-17-7) PCT: 0.3167 OPP: 0.5131 OPOP: 0.5094 RPI: 0.4631 GD: -42
50 PA Classics (8-17-6) PCT: 0.3548 OPP: 0.4962 OPOP: 0.4961 RPI: 0.4608 GD: -25
51 Cedar Stars Academy - Monmouth (6-21-4) PCT: 0.2581 OPP: 0.5309 OPOP: 0.511 RPI: 0.4577 GD: -36
52 So Cal Blues Soccer Club (12-21-2) PCT: 0.3714 OPP: 0.4722 OPOP: 0.4994 RPI: 0.4538 GD: -22
53 Houston Dash (7-21-2) PCT: 0.2667 OPP: 0.5146 OPOP: 0.514 RPI: 0.4525 GD: -47
54 Placer United SC (8-17-6) PCT: 0.3548 OPP: 0.4782 OPOP: 0.4889 RPI: 0.4501 GD: -30
55 FC Kansas City (3-21-1) PCT: 0.14 OPP: 0.5633 OPOP: 0.5091 RPI: 0.4439 GD: -80
56 Orlando Pride (7-18-6) PCT: 0.3226 OPP: 0.467 OPOP: 0.5102 RPI: 0.4417 GD: -27
57 SC del Sol (7-20-8) PCT: 0.3143 OPP: 0.4716 OPOP: 0.5003 RPI: 0.4395 GD: -19
58 FC Stars (8-18-5) PCT: 0.3387 OPP: 0.465 OPOP: 0.4729 RPI: 0.4354 GD: -26
59 Washington Spirit Academy - Baltimore Armour (6-23-2) PCT: 0.2258 OPP: 0.4972 OPOP: 0.5066 RPI: 0.4317 GD: -49
60 Albion SC (6-28-1) PCT: 0.1857 OPP: 0.518 OPOP: 0.492 RPI: 0.4284 GD: -84
61 Pateadores (9-24-2) PCT: 0.2857 OPP: 0.4431 OPOP: 0.5039 RPI: 0.4189 GD: -43

62 Burlingame Soccer Club (0-25-0) PCT: 0 OPP: 0.5804 OPOP: 0.4955 RPI: 0.4141 GD: -75
63 West Florida Flames (5-24-2) PCT: 0.1935 OPP: 0.4613 OPOP: 0.512 RPI: 0.407 GD: -64
64 Sky Blue - NYSC (9-20-2) PCT: 0.3226 OPP: 0.4141 OPOP: 0.4767 RPI: 0.4069 GD: -52
65 Virginia Development Academy (3-24-4) PCT: 0.1613 OPP: 0.4695 OPOP: 0.5086 RPI: 0.4022 GD: -83
66 Shattuck - Saint Mary's (1-26-3) PCT: 0.0833 OPP: 0.4813 OPOP: 0.53 RPI: 0.394 GD: -131
67 Long Island SC (2-26-3) PCT: 0.1129 OPP: 0.482 OPOP: 0.4661 RPI: 0.3857 GD: -121
68 Empire United (4-25-2) PCT: 0.1613 OPP: 0.4314 OPOP: 0.4718 RPI: 0.374 GD: -114
69 PSV Union Football Club (3-28-0) PCT: 0.0968 OPP: 0.407 OPOP: 0.5023 RPI: 0.3533 GD: -141


Conference Rankings
Mid-America - Central Division 0.5273
Frontier - Central Division 0.5255
Southeast - East Division 0.5090
Atlantic - East Division 0.5049

Southwest - West Division 0.5008 :(
Northwest - West Division 0.4833
Northeast - East Division 0.4589
Northeast - East Division 0.4446
 
You would think LA Galaxy (SB) would have a much better showing for all DA age groups with the facilities and backing that they have. Youngers have a great program as well. Mystery to me.
They don’t have the Coaching at the Olders that they do at the Youngers.

Sad, but true.
 
As promised, I'm creating a pre-playoffs DA RPI analysis. We'll see how these rankings pan out in the playoffs.

To start, here's my draft U16/U17 RPI rankings for all games through 6/12/18.

SW division seems to have dropped overall (which I will double-check later). At this age group, my theory that the dual clubs are the strongest didn't pan out, at least in So Cal. While Slammers looks to be a national championship contender, SC Blues and Surf missed out on a wild card (with the Blues having a particularly miserable spring.)

RPI Rank Club (W-L-T) PCT ((1*W+.5*T)/(W+L+T)) Opponents' Avg (weighted) PCT Opponents' Opponents' Avg (wtd) PCT RPI Goal Differential
1 FC Dallas (23-2-5) PCT: 0.85 OPP: 0.5576 OPOP: 0.5239 RPI: 0.6223 GD: 63
2 LAFC Slammers (29-2-4) PCT: 0.8857 OPP: 0.5295 OPOP: 0.4993 RPI: 0.611 GD: 107
3 Nationals (22-3-5) PCT: 0.8167 OPP: 0.5523 OPOP: 0.5169 RPI: 0.6095 GD: 73
4 NTH Tophat (22-5-3) PCT: 0.7833 OPP: 0.5524 OPOP: 0.511 RPI: 0.5998 GD: 65
5 Crossfire Premier (22-3-2) PCT: 0.8519 OPP: 0.5235 OPOP: 0.4847 RPI: 0.5959 GD: 60
6 FC Virginia (21-6-4) PCT: 0.7419 OPP: 0.5567 OPOP: 0.5013 RPI: 0.5892 GD: 63
7 Solar Soccer Club (18-8-4) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.5743 OPOP: 0.528 RPI: 0.5858 GD: 19
8 Midwest United FC (20-10-0) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.5731 OPOP: 0.524 RPI: 0.5842 GD: 74
9 Concorde Fire (19-7-4) PCT: 0.7 OPP: 0.5472 OPOP: 0.5039 RPI: 0.5746 GD: 25
10 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (23-4-4) PCT: 0.8065 OPP: 0.4909 OPOP: 0.5042 RPI: 0.5731 GD: 60
11 Real Colorado (17-5-6) PCT: 0.7143 OPP: 0.5248 OPOP: 0.5174 RPI: 0.5703 GD: 38
12 Real So Cal (20-7-8) PCT: 0.6857 OPP: 0.5396 OPOP: 0.4982 RPI: 0.5658 GD: 33
13 Washington Spirit Academy - Virginia (19-8-4) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5433 OPOP: 0.4898 RPI: 0.5634 GD: 33
14 Sky Blue - PDA (23-7-1) PCT: 0.7581 OPP: 0.4924 OPOP: 0.5028 RPI: 0.5614 GD: 60
15 Cincinnati Development Academy (16-7-7) PCT: 0.65 OPP: 0.5378 OPOP: 0.5171 RPI: 0.5606 GD: 22
16 Lonestar SC Academy (17-6-6) PCT: 0.6897 OPP: 0.5112 OPOP: 0.5249 RPI: 0.5593 GD: 38
17 Legends FC (24-7-4) PCT: 0.7429 OPP: 0.4806 OPOP: 0.5019 RPI: 0.5515 GD: 53
18 IMG Academy (19-8-4) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.5074 OPOP: 0.5029 RPI: 0.5488 GD: 46
19 San Jose Earthquakes (24-6-1) PCT: 0.7903 OPP: 0.4554 OPOP: 0.4925 RPI: 0.5484 GD: 66
20 United Soccer Alliance (20-9-2) PCT: 0.6774 OPP: 0.4985 OPOP: 0.5048 RPI: 0.5448 GD: 50
21 Michigan Hawks (13-10-6) PCT: 0.5517 OPP: 0.5463 OPOP: 0.5296 RPI: 0.5435 GD: 16
22 Eclipse Select Soccer Club (16-7-7) PCT: 0.65 OPP: 0.4966 OPOP: 0.5275 RPI: 0.5427 GD: 33
23 West Coast Futbol Club (18-8-9) PCT: 0.6429 OPP: 0.5131 OPOP: 0.4934 RPI: 0.5406 GD: 25
24 LA Galaxy San Diego (17-9-9) PCT: 0.6143 OPP: 0.5212 OPOP: 0.4889 RPI: 0.5364 GD: 21

25 New York City FC (18-9-4) PCT: 0.6452 OPP: 0.5104 OPOP: 0.4666 RPI: 0.5332 GD: 31
26 FC United Soccer Club (17-10-3) PCT: 0.6167 OPP: 0.4816 OPOP: 0.5282 RPI: 0.527 GD: 17
27 Charlotte Soccer Academy (15-9-8) PCT: 0.5938 OPP: 0.4992 OPOP: 0.508 RPI: 0.525 GD: 33
28 Beach Futbol Club (17-14-4) PCT: 0.5429 OPP: 0.517 OPOP: 0.5036 RPI: 0.5201 GD: 7
29 Reign Academy (14-8-5) PCT: 0.6111 OPP: 0.4888 OPOP: 0.4881 RPI: 0.5192 GD: 24
30 Boston Breakers Academy (22-8-1) PCT: 0.7258 OPP: 0.4364 OPOP: 0.4719 RPI: 0.5176 GD: 76
31 San Diego Surf (15-12-8) PCT: 0.5429 OPP: 0.5159 OPOP: 0.4852 RPI: 0.515 GD: 8
32 FC Fury NY (21-9-1) PCT: 0.6935 OPP: 0.4445 OPOP: 0.4746 RPI: 0.5143 GD: 53
33 Indiana Fire Academy (10-18-2) PCT: 0.3667 OPP: 0.578 OPOP: 0.5283 RPI: 0.5127 GD: -39
34 NC Courage (13-11-6) PCT: 0.5333 OPP: 0.504 OPOP: 0.5097 RPI: 0.5127 GD: 5
35 Dallas Texans (13-15-2) PCT: 0.4667 OPP: 0.5333 OPOP: 0.5145 RPI: 0.5119 GD: -1
36 Oakwood Soccer Club (17-12-2) PCT: 0.5806 OPP: 0.4828 OPOP: 0.4711 RPI: 0.5044 GD: 26
37 Weston FC (11-14-6) PCT: 0.4516 OPP: 0.5216 OPOP: 0.5043 RPI: 0.4998 GD: -15
38 La Roca Futbol Club (15-10-2) PCT: 0.5926 OPP: 0.4554 OPOP: 0.494 RPI: 0.4994 GD: 29
39 SPORTING Blue Valley (11-11-6) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.4873 OPOP: 0.519 RPI: 0.4984 GD: 18
40 Lamorinda Soccer Club (13-14-4) PCT: 0.4839 OPP: 0.5043 OPOP: 0.4919 RPI: 0.4961 GD: -11
41 Eagles Soccer Club (14-14-7) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.474 OPOP: 0.5043 RPI: 0.4881 GD: -4
42 Colorado Rush (11-10-6) PCT: 0.5185 OPP: 0.4488 OPOP: 0.5234 RPI: 0.4849 GD: 7
43 Portland Thorns FC (9-14-4) PCT: 0.4074 OPP: 0.5151 OPOP: 0.4921 RPI: 0.4824 GD: -4
44 Boca United Football Club (10-17-4) PCT: 0.3871 OPP: 0.5194 OPOP: 0.4992 RPI: 0.4813 GD: -27
45 California Thorns FC (11-15-5) PCT: 0.4355 OPP: 0.4807 OPOP: 0.5017 RPI: 0.4747 GD: -2
46 LA Galaxy (10-17-8) PCT: 0.4 OPP: 0.4962 OPOP: 0.5034 RPI: 0.474 GD: -10
47 Sockers FC (4-16-10) PCT: 0.3 OPP: 0.5324 OPOP: 0.5217 RPI: 0.4716 GD: -35
48 Los Angeles Premier Futbol Club (11-19-5) PCT: 0.3857 OPP: 0.4903 OPOP: 0.5079 RPI: 0.4686 GD: -18
49 United Futbol Academy (6-17-7) PCT: 0.3167 OPP: 0.5131 OPOP: 0.5094 RPI: 0.4631 GD: -42
50 PA Classics (8-17-6) PCT: 0.3548 OPP: 0.4962 OPOP: 0.4961 RPI: 0.4608 GD: -25
51 Cedar Stars Academy - Monmouth (6-21-4) PCT: 0.2581 OPP: 0.5309 OPOP: 0.511 RPI: 0.4577 GD: -36
52 So Cal Blues Soccer Club (12-21-2) PCT: 0.3714 OPP: 0.4722 OPOP: 0.4994 RPI: 0.4538 GD: -22
53 Houston Dash (7-21-2) PCT: 0.2667 OPP: 0.5146 OPOP: 0.514 RPI: 0.4525 GD: -47
54 Placer United SC (8-17-6) PCT: 0.3548 OPP: 0.4782 OPOP: 0.4889 RPI: 0.4501 GD: -30
55 FC Kansas City (3-21-1) PCT: 0.14 OPP: 0.5633 OPOP: 0.5091 RPI: 0.4439 GD: -80
56 Orlando Pride (7-18-6) PCT: 0.3226 OPP: 0.467 OPOP: 0.5102 RPI: 0.4417 GD: -27
57 SC del Sol (7-20-8) PCT: 0.3143 OPP: 0.4716 OPOP: 0.5003 RPI: 0.4395 GD: -19
58 FC Stars (8-18-5) PCT: 0.3387 OPP: 0.465 OPOP: 0.4729 RPI: 0.4354 GD: -26
59 Washington Spirit Academy - Baltimore Armour (6-23-2) PCT: 0.2258 OPP: 0.4972 OPOP: 0.5066 RPI: 0.4317 GD: -49
60 Albion SC (6-28-1) PCT: 0.1857 OPP: 0.518 OPOP: 0.492 RPI: 0.4284 GD: -84
61 Pateadores (9-24-2) PCT: 0.2857 OPP: 0.4431 OPOP: 0.5039 RPI: 0.4189 GD: -43

62 Burlingame Soccer Club (0-25-0) PCT: 0 OPP: 0.5804 OPOP: 0.4955 RPI: 0.4141 GD: -75
63 West Florida Flames (5-24-2) PCT: 0.1935 OPP: 0.4613 OPOP: 0.512 RPI: 0.407 GD: -64
64 Sky Blue - NYSC (9-20-2) PCT: 0.3226 OPP: 0.4141 OPOP: 0.4767 RPI: 0.4069 GD: -52
65 Virginia Development Academy (3-24-4) PCT: 0.1613 OPP: 0.4695 OPOP: 0.5086 RPI: 0.4022 GD: -83
66 Shattuck - Saint Mary's (1-26-3) PCT: 0.0833 OPP: 0.4813 OPOP: 0.53 RPI: 0.394 GD: -131
67 Long Island SC (2-26-3) PCT: 0.1129 OPP: 0.482 OPOP: 0.4661 RPI: 0.3857 GD: -121
68 Empire United (4-25-2) PCT: 0.1613 OPP: 0.4314 OPOP: 0.4718 RPI: 0.374 GD: -114
69 PSV Union Football Club (3-28-0) PCT: 0.0968 OPP: 0.407 OPOP: 0.5023 RPI: 0.3533 GD: -141


Conference Rankings
Mid-America - Central Division 0.5273
Frontier - Central Division 0.5255
Southeast - East Division 0.5090
Atlantic - East Division 0.5049

Southwest - West Division 0.5008 :(
Northwest - West Division 0.4833
Northeast - East Division 0.4589
Northeast - East Division 0.4446

The Conference rankings make sense when you consider that these ranking are really only measuring inter conference play and the two showcases were both back east. It will be interesting to see how the eastern and midwest teams will do when they are the ones traveling and dealing with time zone changes.
 
The Conference rankings make sense when you consider that these ranking are really only measuring inter conference play and the two showcases were both back east. It will be interesting to see how the eastern and midwest teams will do when they are the ones traveling and dealing with time zone changes.
Good point Simi. Let's hope the home teams see a bump
 
MUCH better results for the home teams at U18-19.

I don't follow this age group, but from these stats it looks like a tragedy that only Slammers, Surf and SC Del Sol are among the 16 team playoff field. Real, Blues, and Legends were all robbed. [Edit: per the post below, Real and Legends are now in the playoffs.]


1 LAFC Slammers (26-4-2) PCT: 0.8438 OPP: 0.525 OPOP: 0.5207 RPI: 0.6036 GD: 101
2 Crossfire Premier (22-0-2) PCT: 0.9583 OPP: 0.4773 OPOP: 0.4938 RPI: 0.6017 GD: 82
3 NC Courage (23-2-2) PCT: 0.8889 OPP: 0.5111 OPOP: 0.4914 RPI: 0.6006 GD: 72
4 Solar Soccer Club (23-1-3) PCT: 0.9074 OPP: 0.479 OPOP: 0.5195 RPI: 0.5962 GD: 77
5 NTH Tophat (20-1-6) PCT: 0.8519 OPP: 0.5174 OPOP: 0.4892 RPI: 0.594 GD: 87
6 San Diego Surf (26-5-1) PCT: 0.8281 OPP: 0.5103 OPOP: 0.5227 RPI: 0.5929 GD: 86
7 Sky Blue - PDA (23-3-2) PCT: 0.8571 OPP: 0.5037 OPOP: 0.5013 RPI: 0.5915 GD: 87
8 Real So Cal (21-7-4) PCT: 0.7188 OPP: 0.5485 OPOP: 0.5192 RPI: 0.5837 GD: 41
9 SC del Sol (23-4-5) PCT: 0.7969 OPP: 0.5088 OPOP: 0.5181 RPI: 0.5831 GD: 45
10 Eclipse Select Soccer Club (19-4-2) PCT: 0.8 OPP: 0.5057 OPOP: 0.5175 RPI: 0.5822 GD: 54
11 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (20-5-3) PCT: 0.7679 OPP: 0.5223 OPOP: 0.4982 RPI: 0.5777 GD: 66
12 Real Colorado (18-3-3) PCT: 0.8125 OPP: 0.4904 OPOP: 0.5132 RPI: 0.5766 GD: 54
13 Concorde Fire (20-5-2) PCT: 0.7778 OPP: 0.5163 OPOP: 0.4915 RPI: 0.5755 GD: 54
14 Legends FC (21-6-5) PCT: 0.7344 OPP: 0.5188 OPOP: 0.5217 RPI: 0.5734 GD: 34
15 So Cal Blues Soccer Club (18-8-6) PCT: 0.6563 OPP: 0.5443 OPOP: 0.5175 RPI: 0.5656 GD: 54

16 Midwest United FC (15-6-5) PCT: 0.6731 OPP: 0.5263 OPOP: 0.5128 RPI: 0.5596 GD: 34
17 Michigan Hawks (17-4-4) PCT: 0.76 OPP: 0.4801 OPOP: 0.5153 RPI: 0.5589 GD: 60
18 FC Virginia (20-7-1) PCT: 0.7321 OPP: 0.4763 OPOP: 0.5026 RPI: 0.5469 GD: 60
19 Sockers FC (13-8-4) PCT: 0.6 OPP: 0.536 OPOP: 0.5126 RPI: 0.5462 GD: 15
20 Boston Breakers Academy (24-3-1) PCT: 0.875 OPP: 0.4167 OPOP: 0.4703 RPI: 0.5447 GD: 132
21 La Roca Futbol Club (16-4-4) PCT: 0.75 OPP: 0.4607 OPOP: 0.4942 RPI: 0.5414 GD: 40
22 Lonestar SC Academy (11-9-6) PCT: 0.5385 OPP: 0.5556 OPOP: 0.5074 RPI: 0.5393 GD: 2
23 Beach Futbol Club (16-9-7) PCT: 0.6094 OPP: 0.511 OPOP: 0.5223 RPI: 0.5384 GD: 33
24 Portland Thorns FC (12-5-7) PCT: 0.6458 OPP: 0.4937 OPOP: 0.4891 RPI: 0.5306 GD: 19
25 FC Dallas (14-11-2) PCT: 0.5556 OPP: 0.5124 OPOP: 0.5142 RPI: 0.5236 GD: 18
26 Lamorinda Soccer Club (15-11-2) PCT: 0.5714 OPP: 0.5012 OPOP: 0.5013 RPI: 0.5188 GD: 30
27 Cincinnati Development Academy (10-9-5) PCT: 0.5208 OPP: 0.5203 OPOP: 0.5131 RPI: 0.5186 GD: 3
28 Charlotte Soccer Academy (13-10-6) PCT: 0.5517 OPP: 0.5063 OPOP: 0.4893 RPI: 0.5134 GD: 24
29 LA Galaxy San Diego (13-13-6) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.5108 OPOP: 0.5201 RPI: 0.5104 GD: -5
30 SPORTING Blue Valley (12-10-3) PCT: 0.54 OPP: 0.491 OPOP: 0.5115 RPI: 0.5084 GD: 7
31 Washington Spirit Academy - Baltimore Armour (10-10-7) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.5125 OPOP: 0.4982 RPI: 0.5058 GD: -4
32 Eagles Soccer Club (9-15-8) PCT: 0.4063 OPP: 0.5499 OPOP: 0.5145 RPI: 0.5051 GD: -16
33 United Futbol Academy (12-14-1) PCT: 0.463 OPP: 0.5289 OPOP: 0.4852 RPI: 0.5015 GD: -2
34 Houston Dash (9-12-5) PCT: 0.4423 OPP: 0.5175 OPOP: 0.5138 RPI: 0.4978 GD: -18
35 West Coast Futbol Club (12-16-4) PCT: 0.4375 OPP: 0.5164 OPOP: 0.5186 RPI: 0.4972 GD: -7
36 New York City FC (17-8-3) PCT: 0.6607 OPP: 0.4298 OPOP: 0.4674 RPI: 0.497 GD: 38
37 Placer United SC (11-13-4) PCT: 0.4643 OPP: 0.4971 OPOP: 0.4975 RPI: 0.489 GD: -9
38 Oakwood Soccer Club (15-10-2) PCT: 0.5926 OPP: 0.4418 OPOP: 0.4686 RPI: 0.4862 GD: 25
39 Orlando Pride (13-13-2) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.4822 OPOP: 0.4794 RPI: 0.486 GD: 3
40 Nationals (8-17-2) PCT: 0.3333 OPP: 0.5456 OPOP: 0.5087 RPI: 0.4833 GD: -24
41 Pateadores (10-17-5) PCT: 0.3906 OPP: 0.5134 OPOP: 0.5113 RPI: 0.4822 GD: -29
42 Reign Academy (8-13-3) PCT: 0.3958 OPP: 0.5176 OPOP: 0.487 RPI: 0.4795 GD: -26
43 California Thorns FC (9-14-4) PCT: 0.4074 OPP: 0.4949 OPOP: 0.4976 RPI: 0.4737 GD: -19
44 Cedar Stars Academy - Monmouth (8-17-2) PCT: 0.3333 OPP: 0.5297 OPOP: 0.4981 RPI: 0.4727 GD: -34
45 Indiana Fire Academy (8-15-3) PCT: 0.3654 OPP: 0.5083 OPOP: 0.5073 RPI: 0.4723 GD: -7
46 Colorado Rush (7-14-3) PCT: 0.3542 OPP: 0.513 OPOP: 0.5086 RPI: 0.4722 GD: -11
47 Washington Spirit Academy - Virginia (7-14-7) PCT: 0.375 OPP: 0.5051 OPOP: 0.5002 RPI: 0.4714 GD: -34
48 LA Galaxy (7-21-4) PCT: 0.2813 OPP: 0.538 OPOP: 0.5208 RPI: 0.4695 GD: -49
49 FC Stars (12-14-0) PCT: 0.4615 OPP: 0.4676 OPOP: 0.4648 RPI: 0.4654 GD: -31
50 Shattuck - Saint Mary's (6-16-5) PCT: 0.3148 OPP: 0.5094 OPOP: 0.5116 RPI: 0.4613 GD: -45
51 Albion SC (8-23-1) PCT: 0.2656 OPP: 0.5193 OPOP: 0.517 RPI: 0.4553 GD: -54
52 PA Classics (6-18-2) PCT: 0.2692 OPP: 0.5192 OPOP: 0.4935 RPI: 0.4503 GD: -47
53 FC United Soccer Club (6-18-2) PCT: 0.2692 OPP: 0.5094 OPOP: 0.5124 RPI: 0.4501 GD: -59
54 Los Angeles Premier Futbol Club (6-23-3) PCT: 0.2344 OPP: 0.5236 OPOP: 0.5178 RPI: 0.4498 GD: -66
55 Dallas Texans (5-19-3) PCT: 0.2407 OPP: 0.523 OPOP: 0.5091 RPI: 0.449 GD: -40
56 United Soccer Alliance (11-13-4) PCT: 0.4643 OPP: 0.4216 OPOP: 0.4865 RPI: 0.4485 GD: -7
57 FC Fury NY (11-16-0) PCT: 0.4074 OPP: 0.4569 OPOP: 0.4603 RPI: 0.4454 GD: -30
58 Virginia Development Academy (6-19-3) PCT: 0.2679 OPP: 0.4973 OPOP: 0.5003 RPI: 0.4407 GD: -51
59 FC Kansas City (5-20-0) PCT: 0.2 OPP: 0.5264 OPOP: 0.4994 RPI: 0.4381 GD: -57
60 San Jose Earthquakes (6-21-1) PCT: 0.2321 OPP: 0.4703 OPOP: 0.5007 RPI: 0.4184 GD: -56
61 West Florida Flames (6-19-3) PCT: 0.2679 OPP: 0.4562 OPOP: 0.4832 RPI: 0.4158 GD: -45
62 Boca United Football Club (6-19-3) PCT: 0.2679 OPP: 0.4413 OPOP: 0.4834 RPI: 0.4085 GD: -70
~ Lakeland FC (0-0-3) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.3076 OPOP: 0.4984 RPI: 0.4034 GD: 0
63 PSV Union Football Club (3-23-1) PCT: 0.1296 OPP: 0.4867 OPOP: 0.4959 RPI: 0.3997 GD: -101
64 Sky Blue - NYSC (6-20-2) PCT: 0.25 OPP: 0.4429 OPOP: 0.4627 RPI: 0.3996 GD: -53
65 IMG Academy (3-23-4) PCT: 0.1667 OPP: 0.4736 OPOP: 0.4758 RPI: 0.3974 GD: -85
66 Long Island SC (4-20-1) PCT: 0.18 OPP: 0.4754 OPOP: 0.4547 RPI: 0.3964 GD: -71
67 Weston FC (4-22-2) PCT: 0.1786 OPP: 0.4568 OPOP: 0.4793 RPI: 0.3929 GD: -84
68 Burlingame Soccer Club (0-25-0) PCT: 0 OPP: 0.5175 OPOP: 0.5006 RPI: 0.3839 GD: -75
69 Empire United (1-24-3) PCT: 0.0893 OPP: 0.4696 OPOP: 0.4614 RPI: 0.3725 GD: -116

Conference Rankings

1 Southwest - West Division 0.5293

2 Mid-America - Central Division 0.5147
3 Frontier - Central Division 0.5112
4 Atlantic - East Division 0.5071
5 Southeast - East Division 0.4849
6 Northwest - West Division 0.4837
7 Northeast - East Division 0.4509


Corrected on 6/16/18 (had the same formula error as my draft U16/17 calc - didn't pick up all the games)
 
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Most of the parents and players in U18-19 want nothing to do with the playoffs. The players are getting ready for college and the parents are trying to squeeze in a little family time between HS graduation and their DD's reporting to college. In my opinion GDA U18/19 should have ended with league and even that could have been cut short.
 
Most of the parents and players in U18-19 want nothing to do with the playoffs. The players are getting ready for college and the parents are trying to squeeze in a little family time between HS graduation and their DD's reporting to college. In my opinion GDA U18/19 should have ended with league and even that could have been cut short.
Thus confirming how little I know about this age group. Thanks for the insight @outside!.
 
Thus confirming how little I know about this age group. Thanks for the insight @outside!.
The top and the bottom of the standings probably reflect reality. There was so much going on with this age group that any given game depended very much on who showed up, who had senior year activities the night before, etc., such that the middle of the standings are more a reflection of that than the quality of the teams.
 
Real and Legends are IN in the 11th hour....two teams from back east dropped out (Eclipse and NY) so they went down the next teams on wildcard list...
But like Outside commented-- it's been VERY difficult to get a roster for this-- everyone had college plans/summer school/working camps/family vacations and other committments.
The U18 teams for playoffs will probably not be the same rosters you see during the season (maybe youngers brought up/DPL players brought in/etc) and even during the season, it was all over the place with senior events/prom/testing/etc
Absolutely agree with Outside-- suggestion for next year-- end the season for the 18s EARLY and do playoffs at end of May or early June-- if they even do them...
 
U15 RPI (through 6/12/18)

The future looks bright for Beach and Blues. Legends and Surf impressing as well. SW pretty much in a statistical tie with Frontier for top conference.

This age group will be a real test of my RPI as a predictor of future performance. Sky Blue - PDA is the #1 overall seed in the playoffs, but I have them as #11 in my RPI. Similarly as to San Jose Earthquakes (#3 vs #12) and NYC FC (#7 vs #23). Conversely, Surf is a wild card team but I have them #7.

RPI Rank Club (W-L-T) PCT ((1*W+.5*T)/(W+L+T)) Opponents' Avg (weighted) PCT Opponents' Opponents' Avg (wtd) PCT RPI Goal Differential

1 FC Dallas (21-2-7) PCT: 0.8167 OPP: 0.5636 OPOP: 0.5298 RPI: 0.6184 GD: 50
2 Solar Soccer Club (19-5-6) PCT: 0.7333 OPP: 0.5681 OPOP: 0.5284 RPI: 0.5995 GD: 54

3 Beach Futbol Club (24-5-6) PCT: 0.7714 OPP: 0.5202 OPOP: 0.5198 RPI: 0.5829 GD: 54
4 Dallas Texans (18-7-5) PCT: 0.6833 OPP: 0.5483 OPOP: 0.5325 RPI: 0.5781 GD: 34
5 So Cal Blues Soccer Club (22-9-4) PCT: 0.6857 OPP: 0.5516 OPOP: 0.5204 RPI: 0.5773 GD: 48
6 NTH Tophat (20-3-7) PCT: 0.7833 OPP: 0.5188 OPOP: 0.4869 RPI: 0.577 GD: 92
7 San Diego Surf (20-7-8) PCT: 0.6857 OPP: 0.5485 OPOP: 0.5218 RPI: 0.5761 GD: 38
8 Legends FC (20-5-10) PCT: 0.7143 OPP: 0.5358 OPOP: 0.5185 RPI: 0.5761 GD: 38

9 Eclipse Select Soccer Club (20-4-6) PCT: 0.7667 OPP: 0.5058 OPOP: 0.5196 RPI: 0.5744 GD: 66
10 Michigan Hawks (16-6-8) PCT: 0.6667 OPP: 0.5417 OPOP: 0.5183 RPI: 0.5671 GD: 26
11 Sky Blue - PDA (24-3-4) PCT: 0.8387 OPP: 0.473 OPOP: 0.4834 RPI: 0.567 GD: 85
12 San Jose Earthquakes (22-5-4) PCT: 0.7742 OPP: 0.4865 OPOP: 0.5098 RPI: 0.5643 GD: 51
13 Lonestar SC Academy (10-7-13) PCT: 0.55 OPP: 0.5742 OPOP: 0.528 RPI: 0.5566 GD: 9
14 Concorde Fire (18-6-6) PCT: 0.7 OPP: 0.5138 OPOP: 0.4888 RPI: 0.5541 GD: 42
15 Charlotte Soccer Academy (19-6-5) PCT: 0.7167 OPP: 0.5017 OPOP: 0.489 RPI: 0.5523 GD: 56

16 LA Galaxy San Diego (16-11-8) PCT: 0.5714 OPP: 0.554 OPOP: 0.5174 RPI: 0.5492 GD: 23
17 Albion SC (16-10-9) PCT: 0.5857 OPP: 0.5388 OPOP: 0.517 RPI: 0.5451 GD: 9

18 La Roca Futbol Club (17-7-3) PCT: 0.6852 OPP: 0.4937 OPOP: 0.4989 RPI: 0.5429 GD: 28
19 Cincinnati Development Academy (13-9-8) PCT: 0.5667 OPP: 0.5435 OPOP: 0.5174 RPI: 0.5427 GD: 12
20 SC del Sol (18-12-5) PCT: 0.5857 OPP: 0.5272 OPOP: 0.5172 RPI: 0.5393 GD: 0
21 Reign Academy (14-8-5) PCT: 0.6111 OPP: 0.5162 OPOP: 0.5024 RPI: 0.5365 GD: 22
22 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (20-8-3) PCT: 0.6935 OPP: 0.4796 OPOP: 0.4835 RPI: 0.5341 GD: 49
23 New York City FC (22-7-2) PCT: 0.7419 OPP: 0.4551 OPOP: 0.4834 RPI: 0.5339 GD: 57
24 California Thorns FC (15-9-7) PCT: 0.5968 OPP: 0.5137 OPOP: 0.5099 RPI: 0.5335 GD: 8
25 Indiana Fire Academy (14-9-7) PCT: 0.5833 OPP: 0.5144 OPOP: 0.5208 RPI: 0.5332 GD: 3

26 LAFC Slammers (17-12-6) PCT: 0.5714 OPP: 0.5121 OPOP: 0.5198 RPI: 0.5289 GD: 30
27 Nationals (13-11-6) PCT: 0.5333 OPP: 0.5308 OPOP: 0.519 RPI: 0.5285 GD: 8
28 NC Courage (14-9-7) PCT: 0.5833 OPP: 0.5157 OPOP: 0.4822 RPI: 0.5242 GD: 26
29 Crossfire Premier (13-9-5) PCT: 0.5741 OPP: 0.5097 OPOP: 0.502 RPI: 0.5238 GD: 13
30 Real Colorado (15-10-2) PCT: 0.5926 OPP: 0.4804 OPOP: 0.5145 RPI: 0.517 GD: 27
31 FC United Soccer Club (13-9-8) PCT: 0.5667 OPP: 0.4891 OPOP: 0.5165 RPI: 0.5154 GD: 18
32 Placer United SC (15-12-4) PCT: 0.5484 OPP: 0.4995 OPOP: 0.5026 RPI: 0.5125 GD: 12
33 FC Virginia (18-10-3) PCT: 0.629 OPP: 0.4706 OPOP: 0.4788 RPI: 0.5122 GD: 29
34 Houston Dash (9-14-6) PCT: 0.4138 OPP: 0.5535 OPOP: 0.523 RPI: 0.5109 GD: -26

35 West Coast Futbol Club (11-16-8) PCT: 0.4286 OPP: 0.5464 OPOP: 0.5209 RPI: 0.5105 GD: 0
36 LA Galaxy (15-15-5) PCT: 0.5 OPP: 0.51 OPOP: 0.5155 RPI: 0.5089 GD: 6

37 FC Stars (15-10-6) PCT: 0.5806 OPP: 0.4879 OPOP: 0.476 RPI: 0.5081 GD: 32
38 Sockers FC (9-15-6) PCT: 0.4 OPP: 0.5569 OPOP: 0.5146 RPI: 0.5071 GD: -18
39 Oakwood Soccer Club (16-12-3) PCT: 0.5645 OPP: 0.4921 OPOP: 0.478 RPI: 0.5067 GD: 36
40 FC Fury NY (16-13-2) PCT: 0.5484 OPP: 0.4825 OPOP: 0.4794 RPI: 0.4982 GD: 16
41 Midwest United FC (11-12-7) PCT: 0.4833 OPP: 0.4931 OPOP: 0.5175 RPI: 0.4968 GD: 0
42 SPORTING Blue Valley (13-12-3) PCT: 0.5179 OPP: 0.4758 OPOP: 0.5144 RPI: 0.4959 GD: 17
43 Boston Breakers Academy (17-11-3) PCT: 0.5968 OPP: 0.45 OPOP: 0.4769 RPI: 0.4934 GD: 53

44 Real So Cal (14-18-3) PCT: 0.4429 OPP: 0.5061 OPOP: 0.5165 RPI: 0.4929 GD: -12
45 Weston FC (16-12-3) PCT: 0.5645 OPP: 0.4539 OPOP: 0.4752 RPI: 0.4869 GD: 0
46 Lamorinda Soccer Club (12-17-2) PCT: 0.4194 OPP: 0.5039 OPOP: 0.4992 RPI: 0.4816 GD: -9
47 Orlando Pride (14-13-4) PCT: 0.5161 OPP: 0.4641 OPOP: 0.4791 RPI: 0.4809 GD: 21
48 United Futbol Academy (11-15-4) PCT: 0.4333 OPP: 0.4943 OPOP: 0.482 RPI: 0.476 GD: 6

49 Pateadores (10-21-4) PCT: 0.3429 OPP: 0.5221 OPOP: 0.5128 RPI: 0.475 GD: -32
50 Sky Blue - NYSC (13-15-3) PCT: 0.4677 OPP: 0.4665 OPOP: 0.4751 RPI: 0.469 GD: 7
51 Cedar Stars Academy - Monmouth (12-15-4) PCT: 0.4516 OPP: 0.473 OPOP: 0.4733 RPI: 0.4677 GD: -19
52 Virginia Development Academy (10-16-5) PCT: 0.4032 OPP: 0.4786 OPOP: 0.4742 RPI: 0.4586 GD: -8
53 PSV Union Football Club (9-19-3) PCT: 0.3387 OPP: 0.4851 OPOP: 0.5067 RPI: 0.4539 GD: -28
54 Colorado Rush (9-15-4) PCT: 0.3929 OPP: 0.4443 OPOP: 0.5106 RPI: 0.448 GD: -9

55 Los Angeles Premier Futbol Club (7-23-5) PCT: 0.2714 OPP: 0.5015 OPOP: 0.5125 RPI: 0.4467 GD: -48
56 PA Classics (11-19-1) PCT: 0.371 OPP: 0.4459 OPOP: 0.4761 RPI: 0.4347 GD: -53
~ Arlington Soccer Association (3-0-0) PCT: 1 OPP: 0.1305 OPOP: 0.4741 RPI: 0.4338 GD: 5 [Not a DA club for 2017-18]
57 West Florida Flames (10-18-3) PCT: 0.371 OPP: 0.4324 OPOP: 0.4737 RPI: 0.4274 GD: -43

58 Eagles Soccer Club (8-26-1) PCT: 0.2429 OPP: 0.4709 OPOP: 0.5184 RPI: 0.4258 GD: -77
59 Boca United Football Club (9-21-1) PCT: 0.3065 OPP: 0.4432 OPOP: 0.4752 RPI: 0.417 GD: -41
60 Shattuck - Saint Mary's (3-25-2) PCT: 0.1333 OPP: 0.519 OPOP: 0.4966 RPI: 0.417 GD: -81
61 Portland Thorns FC (6-21-0) PCT: 0.2222 OPP: 0.4718 OPOP: 0.4923 RPI: 0.4145 GD: -62
62 Washington Spirit Academy - Baltimore Armour (5-24-1) PCT: 0.1833 OPP: 0.475 OPOP: 0.4701 RPI: 0.4009 GD: -68
63 FC Kansas City (1-24-0) PCT: 0.04 OPP: 0.515 OPOP: 0.5042 RPI: 0.3936 GD: -96
64 Burlingame Soccer Club (0-25-0) PCT: 0 OPP: 0.5222 OPOP: 0.5007 RPI: 0.3863 GD: -75
65 Empire United (3-27-1) PCT: 0.1129 OPP: 0.4588 OPOP: 0.4734 RPI: 0.376 GD: -133
66 United Soccer Alliance (3-26-2) PCT: 0.129 OPP: 0.4479 OPOP: 0.4734 RPI: 0.3745 GD: 0
67 IMG Academy (3-25-3) PCT: 0.1452 OPP: 0.4451 OPOP: 0.4617 RPI: 0.3742 GD: -123
68 Washington Spirit Academy - Virginia (1-25-4) PCT: 0.1 OPP: 0.4614 OPOP: 0.4706 RPI: 0.3734 GD: -99
69 Long Island SC (2-26-3) PCT: 0.1129 OPP: 0.4583 OPOP: 0.4626 RPI: 0.373 GD: -107

Conference Rankings
1 Frontier - Central Division 0.5242
2 Southwest - West Division 0.5239
3 Mid-America - Central Division 0.5203
4 Northwest - West Division 0.4950
5 Southeast - East Division 0.4768
6 Northeast - East Division 0.4698
7 Atlantic - East Division 0.4686
 
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Heads up, I revised the U16-17 RPI (change made directly in the post up above). I had indicated "draft" initially because something didn't look right. It turns out my model wasn't picking up all the games.

Per the revised RPI some SW teams moved down slightly, some up slightly, others with no change. SW as a division improved slightly and now has the 4th overall RPI instead of 5th.
 
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Heads up, I revised the U16-17 RPI (change made directly in the post up above). I had indicated "draft" initially because something didn't look right. It turns out my model wasn't picking up all the games.

Per the revised RPI some SW teams moved down slightly, some up slightly, others with no change. SW as a division improved slightly and now has the 4th overall RPI instead of 5th.

Any chance we might again get the combined "club scorecard" list with all the teams for each age group mixed together and the clubs ranked by strength of all teams?
 
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